Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $368.6400 (0.39%) ($367.2000 - $404.6400) on Wed. Apr. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.97% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $368.6400(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    XHB(16%)    XOP(16%)    XBI(15%)    SMH(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.985% (StdDev 7.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $404.84
5 Day Moving Average   $354.24(4.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $360.23(2.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $404.84(-8.94%)
To recent high   -34.9%
To recent low   88.2%
Market Cap   $122.764b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 15.45% (three month std-dev: 7.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2014	264.9	404.84	360.23	354.24	357.48	369.18	368.64(0.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	89	260	122	-10	0.21	69%	0.69	-0.6	7.97%	0	-0.6	38	0
2	Apr_1_2014	263.08	408.95	361.08	349.63	349.47	355.14	367.2(2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	110	41	-65	0.11	69%	0.7	11.2	7.97%	0	-0.7	37	0
3	Mar_31_2014	261.26	410.48	363.55	360	352.35	345.78	357.12(8.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-190	-20	-91	0.15	69%	0.67	26.5	8.03%	0	-0.8	37	0
4	Mar_28_2014	259.53	409.1	368.12	358.56	361.26	343.8	329.76(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-132	-320	-123	-158	0.12	68%	0.55	29.2	7.92%	0	-1.1	27	0
5	Mar_27_2014	258.11	407.81	378.46	366.62	367.02	358.92	348.48(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-138	-150	-130	-163	0.13	68%	0.63	34.3	7.94%	0	-0.8	36	0

6	Mar_26_2014	256.5	405.26	390.96	366.34	368.46	378.72	345.6(-17.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	210	29	-93	0.29	68%	0.61	34.2	7.94%	0	-0.8	46	0
7	Mar_25_2014	254.94	402.11	404.58	373.25	365.58	375.12	419.04(19.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	70	120	111	-54	0.3	74%	0.89	35.8	7.56%	0	0.2	50	0
8	Mar_24_2014	252.68	393.98	409.11	368.64	366.57	358.2	349.92(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-180	-28	-107	0.2	71%	0.66	32.1	7.25%	0	-0.5	50	0
9	Mar_21_2014	251.02	389.74	429.94	379.87	375.03	356.04	370.08(6.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-200	-390	-222	-135	0.21	69%	0.74	35.6	7.18%	0	-0.2	62	0
10	Mar_20_2014	249.18	384.19	443.8	392.83	394.47	374.94	347.04(-8.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-201	-330	-238	-91	0.17	69%	0.61	40	7.21%	0	-0.4	65	0

11	Mar_19_2014	247.67	380.05	453.53	419.33	415.62	394.02	380.16(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-212	-390	-267	-45	0.16	72%	0.76	49.6	7.11%	0	0	69	0
12	Mar_18_2014	245.81	373.94	461.56	440.35	442.53	414	396(-2.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-163	-440	-229	36	0.21	73%	0.83	58	7.11%	0	0.2	72	0
13	Mar_17_2014	243.79	367	462.51	455.62	455.85	437.22	406.08(-6.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-292	-280	-399	28	0.24	65%	0.84	65.2	7.12%	0	0.4	75	0
14	Mar_14_2014	241.75	358.64	455.31	487.58	489.69	471.06	434.88(-9.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-67	-250	-152	187	0.28	66%	0.96	78.1	7.72%	0	0.7	77	0
15	Mar_13_2014	239.46	348.25	441.83	502.27	521.15	474.48	479.52(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-95	-510	-202	226	0.37	69%	1.27	85.6	7.66%	0	1.2	82	0

16	Mar_12_2014	236.46	335.13	422.61	492.48	517.64	508.32	485.28(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-230	30	-366	180	0.56	69%	1.32	86.4	7.67%	0	1.3	82	0
17	Mar_11_2014	233.38	321.22	400.87	485.57	513.05	567.81	472.32(-16.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	407	920	375	502	1.37	68%	1.29	89.3	7.68%	0	1.4	81	0
18	Mar_10_2014	230.41	307.79	378.41	469.15	487.4	526.95	565.92(11.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	688	680	701	648	0.95	74%	1.75	88.3	7.35%	0	2.5	91	0
19	Mar_7_2014	226.45	288.7	345.21	418.46	438.12	458.28	508.32(18.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	335	460	304	428	0.61	73%	1.52	82.6	7.21%	0	2.5	91	0
20	Mar_6_2014	223.06	272.56	317.5	372.96	390.6	447.84	430.56(-4.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	402	1170	400	409	0.34	72%	1.17	76.1	6.94%	0	2.2	90	0

21	Mar_5_2014	220.47	260.39	298.3	342.14	353.79	417.96	450.72(15.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	772	1370	848	545	0.75	72%	1.29	69.2	6.97%	0	3.1	95	0
22	Mar_4_2014	217.66	247.11	276.32	304.13	306	333.36	390.24(24.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	450	640	485	346	0.48	71%	1.02	66.9	6.74%	0	3.2	94	0
23	Mar_3_2014	215.47	237.12	260.92	274.46	277.2	289.62	312.48(11.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	172	340	168	184	0.16	67%	0.64	68.1	6.1%	0	2.5	91	0
24	Feb_28_2014	214.09	231.5	252.36	260.93	264.87	278.64	280.8(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	181	410	182	176	0.1	65%	0.51	66.6	5.86%	0	2	90	0
25	Feb_27_2014	213.01	227.52	246.53	253.15	254.43	264.78	276.48(6.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	159	300	159	159	0.1	65%		62.1	5.9%	0	2.2	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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