Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $450.7200 (15.5%) ($429.1200 - $489.6000) on Wed. Mar. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.97% (three month average)
RSI   95
Latest Price   $450.7200(15.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 12.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 23.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    XOP(16%)    SMH(14%)    XBI(14%)    OIH(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    XLU(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.485% (StdDev 6.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $342.14(31.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $298.3(51.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $260.39(73.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   137.1%
Market Cap   $150.098b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 23.76% (three month std-dev: 6.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.38%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -27.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -29.79%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2014	220.47	260.39	298.3	342.14	353.79	417.96	450.72(15.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	772	1370	848	545	0.75	72%	1.29	69.2	6.97%	0	3.1	95	0
2	Mar_4_2014	217.66	247.11	276.32	304.13	306	333.36	390.24(24.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	450	640	485	346	0.48	71%	1.02	66.9	6.74%	0	3.2	94	0
3	Mar_3_2014	215.47	237.12	260.92	274.46	277.2	289.62	312.48(11.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	172	340	168	184	0.16	67%	0.64	68.1	6.1%	0	2.5	91	0
4	Feb_28_2014	214.09	231.5	252.36	260.93	264.87	278.64	280.8(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	181	410	182	176	0.1	65%	0.51	66.6	5.86%	0	2	90	0
5	Feb_27_2014	213.01	227.52	246.53	253.15	254.43	264.78	276.48(6.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	159	300	159	159	0.1	65%	0.51	62.1	5.9%	0	2.2	90	0

6	Feb_26_2014	211.93	223.61	240.8	247.1	247.59	251.1	260.64(7.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	91	110	80	125	0.08	64%	0.44	58	5.86%	0	1.9	89	0
7	Feb_25_2014	211	220.68	236.07	243.94	244.53	251.1	241.92(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-4	93	0.03	62%	0.33	55.7	5.8%	0	1.2	82	0
8	Feb_24_2014	210.3	218.37	233.13	245.09	245.07	244.08	244.8(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	28	-30	2	107	0.02	62%	0.33	56.9	5.79%	0	1.5	83	0
9	Feb_21_2014	209.61	216.13	229.23	242.21	243.99	244.98	241.92(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	50	19	109	0.02	62%	0.3	45.5	5.8%	0	1.5	77	0
10	Feb_20_2014	208.98	214.42	225.42	238.46	239.49	246.06	246.24(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	75	200	61	118	0.03	62%	0.32	32.9	5.79%	0	2	82	0

11	Feb_19_2014	208.31	212.71	220.66	233.28	234.36	243	244.8(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	134	270	134	133	0.04	60%	0.31	18.4	5.8%	0	2.3	83	0
12	Feb_18_2014	207.67	211.06	216.22	226.94	227.07	232.92	247.68(7.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	107	180	107	105	0.05	60%	0.41	-1	5.84%	0	3	81	0
13	Feb_14_2014	206.82	208.59	211.48	219.6	220.5	225.72	230.4(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	71	180	70	75	0.04	57%	0.2	-41.9	5.73%	0	2.5	80	0
14	Feb_13_2014	206.4	208.6	208.85	214.42	216.32	221.22	223.2(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	82	190	86	70	0.07	60%	0.17	-52.8	5.72%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Feb_12_2014	206.04	209.28	206.84	210.38	211.1	215.28	220.32(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	150	62	46	0.04	60%	0.18	-53.6	5.8%	0	0.9	56	0

16	Feb_11_2014	205.66	210.12	204.85	206.06	207.05	211.41	213.12(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	160	60	27	0.03	60%	0.15	-63.1	5.78%	0	0.2	45	0
17	Feb_10_2014	205.35	211.19	203.89	203.76	203.81	206.91	210.96(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	110	48	10	0.03	60%	0.11	-60.9	5.78%	0	-0	44	0
18	Feb_7_2014	205.12	212.33	202.37	202.18	202.05	202.68	204.48(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	20	12	-12	0.02	60%	0.1	-62.5	5.77%	0	-0.5	54	0
19	Feb_6_2014	204.92	213.78	202.06	202.46	202.95	200.7	203.04(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-70	-11	-36	0.02	60%	0.07	-53.6	5.77%	0	-0.7	34	0
20	Feb_5_2014	204.78	215.71	202.69	202.75	203.76	201.42	198.72(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-70	-43	-62	0.01	60%	0.07	-41	5.77%	0	-1	30	0

21	Feb_4_2014	204.64	218.97	204.33	203.33	205.47	205.2	201.6(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	20	-13	-60	0.02	61%	0.09	-21	5.78%	0	-0.9	30	0
22	Feb_3_2014	204.46	220.53	205.69	203.9	206.37	206.1	203.04(-1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	30	12	-58	0.03	61%	0.08	-12.9	5.81%	0	-0.9	34	0
23	Jan_31_2014	204.29	222.54	205.63	202.46	205.11	205.74	205.92(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	60	1	-80	0.02	59%	0.1	-4.3	5.81%	0	-0.9	36	0
24	Jan_30_2014	204.09	222.8	208.35	201.6	203.67	206.64	204.48(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	130	17	-76	0.02	59%	0.06	-2.2	5.85%	0	-0.9	36	0
25	Jan_29_2014	203.96	222.94	211.82	202.75	203.49	204.48	201.6(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	50	22	-72	0.03	59%		2.4	5.84%	0	-1.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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