Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $167.0400 (-1.69%) ($167.0400 - $169.9200) on Wed. Aug. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $167.0400(-1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(16%)    XOP(16%)    EEM(13%)    OIH(13%)    REMX(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-2%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $170.27
5 Day Moving Average   $169.34(-1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166.76(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.27(-1.9%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $55.627b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.12% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.3%(50%) Average negative next day return: -7.74%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.77%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.77%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2013	173.09	170.27	166.76	169.34	170.14	169.74	167.04(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-0	-21	-35	0	50%	0.22	-40.7	3.62%	0	-0.6	49	0
2	Aug_27_2013	172.71	170.66	167.14	168.48	169.24	171.97	169.92(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	23	130	36	-15	0.01	50%	0.22	-50	3.61%	0	-0.1	52	0
3	Aug_26_2013	172.33	170.99	167.99	167.9	167.53	170.53	174.24(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	120	80	7	0.01	50%	0.25	-59.3	3.63%	0	0.6	52	0
4	Aug_23_2013	171.9	171.02	168.37	165.31	165.6	166.5	168.48(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	14	40	23	-15	0.01	68%	0.2	-75.3	5.1%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Aug_22_2013	171.55	171.63	169.15	164.74	165.6	164.52	167.04(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-20	0	-25	0	68%	0.22	-74.3	5.11%	0	-0.7	43	0

6	Aug_21_2013	171.18	172.46	169.47	163.87	165.15	164.7	162.72(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	0	-17	-39	0.01	69%	0.18	-78.4	5.1%	0	-1.5	39	0
7	Aug_20_2013	170.88	173.41	170.14	165.6	165.51	165.78	167.04(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	10	-20	-39	0	69%	0.19	-76	5.11%	0	-1	43	0
8	Aug_19_2013	170.55	174.32	170.6	168.19	168.11	165.6	161.28(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-110	-26	-35	0.01	69%	-0.05	-63.5	5.09%	0	-1.9	34	0
9	Aug_16_2013	170.64	175.56	171.85	171.94	171.62	165.24	165.6(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-71	-270	-80	-45	0.01	65%	0.18	-50.7	5.09%	0	-1.6	39	0
10	Aug_15_2013	170.34	176.51	172.9	174.24	175.31	170.62	162.72(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-77	-170	-88	-43	0.02	65%	0.16	-38.8	5.13%	0	-2.2	30	0

11	Aug_14_2013	170.06	177.76	174.29	175.68	177.56	178	171.36(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	50	-9	-12	0.01	65%	0.21	-34.5	5.1%	0	-1.1	33	0
12	Aug_13_2013	169.71	178.61	174.68	175.1	176.04	180	180(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	37	170	48	5	0.01	65%	0.24	-38.2	5.07%	0	0.2	46	0
13	Aug_12_2013	169.3	178.79	174.3	173.38	173.43	177.12	180(1.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	48	150	64	-1	0.01	65%	0.25	-51.1	5.07%	0	0.2	41	0
14	Aug_9_2013	168.88	178.85	173.79	171.94	171.54	172.08	177.12(4.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	12	20	25	-28	0.01	65%	0.23	-71.2	5.07%	0	-0.3	37	0
15	Aug_8_2013	168.5	179	174.1	171.65	171.27	169.74	169.92(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-70	-24	-51	0.01	65%	0.16	-84.9	5.05%	0	-1.5	27	0

16	Aug_7_2013	168.23	179.81	175.5	172.8	172.8	171	168.48(-1.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-36	-70	-30	-52	0	65%	0.15	-89.5	5.05%	0	-2	21	0
17	Aug_6_2013	167.97	180.84	176.83	174.1	174.42	172.8	171.36(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-60	-27	-50	0.01	65%	0.17	-93.1	5.05%	0	-1.7	22	0
18	Aug_5_2013	167.69	181.79	178.25	175.25	175.46	174.6	172.8(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-30	-19	-43	0.01	65%	0.17	-85.2	5.05%	0	-1.5	34	0
19	Aug_2_2013	167.4	183.05	179.54	175.82	176.09	176.04	175.68(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	0	-8	-35	0	65%	0.23	-68.5	5.05%	0	-1.1	43	0
20	Aug_1_2013	167.02	184.16	180.41	176.98	176.54	176.31	175.68(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-10	-29	0.01	62%	0.22	-60.3	5.06%	0	-1.3	46	0

21	Jul_31_2013	166.66	185.16	181.56	178.7	177.84	176.13	174.96(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-80	-19	-26	0.01	62%	0.2	-43.2	5.1%	0	-1.6	38	0
22	Jul_30_2013	166.32	186.09	182.94	180	179.6	176.76	177.12(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-120	-43	-31	0.01	62%	0.17	-23.1	5.13%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	Jul_29_2013	166.04	187.15	183.72	181.73	181.67	179.55	175.68(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-80	-45	-30	0.01	64%	0.16	8.7	5.14%	0	-1.8	33	0
24	Jul_26_2013	165.77	187.67	184.42	183.74	183.83	182.43	181.44(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-50	-21	-23	0.01	61%	0.17	31.4	5.15%	0	-1.1	30	0
25	Jul_25_2013	165.49	188.13	184.36	184.32	184.95	183.78	184.32(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-30	-18	-30	0.01	61%		51.5	5.17%	0	-0.7	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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