Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $171.3600 (-0.83%) ($169.9200 - $174.2400) on Tue. Aug. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.05% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $171.3600(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    XOP(16%)    EEM(13%)    OIH(13%)    REMX(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    XLU(-2%)    GLD(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.525% (StdDev 5.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $180.84
5 Day Moving Average   $174.1(-1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $176.83(-3.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $180.84(-5.24%)
To recent high   -21.7%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $57.066b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 5.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.38%(17%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.16%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.95%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2013	167.97	180.84	176.83	174.1	174.42	172.8	171.36(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-60	-27	-50	0.01	65%	0.17	-93.1	5.05%	0	-1.7	22	0
2	Aug_5_2013	167.69	181.79	178.25	175.25	175.46	174.6	172.8(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-30	-19	-43	0.01	65%	0.17	-85.2	5.05%	0	-1.5	34	0
3	Aug_2_2013	167.4	183.05	179.54	175.82	176.09	176.04	175.68(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	0	-8	-35	0	65%	0.23	-68.5	5.05%	0	-1.1	43	0
4	Aug_1_2013	167.02	184.16	180.41	176.98	176.54	176.31	175.68(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-20	-10	-29	0.01	62%	0.22	-60.3	5.06%	0	-1.3	46	0
5	Jul_31_2013	166.66	185.16	181.56	178.7	177.84	176.13	174.96(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-80	-19	-26	0.01	62%	0.2	-43.2	5.1%	0	-1.6	38	0

6	Jul_30_2013	166.32	186.09	182.94	180	179.6	176.76	177.12(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-120	-43	-31	0.01	62%	0.17	-23.1	5.13%	0	-1.4	36	0
7	Jul_29_2013	166.04	187.15	183.72	181.73	181.67	179.55	175.68(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-80	-45	-30	0.01	64%	0.16	8.7	5.14%	0	-1.8	33	0
8	Jul_26_2013	165.77	187.67	184.42	183.74	183.83	182.43	181.44(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-50	-21	-23	0.01	61%	0.17	31.4	5.15%	0	-1.1	30	0
9	Jul_25_2013	165.49	188.13	184.36	184.32	184.95	183.78	184.32(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-30	-18	-30	0.01	61%	0.18	51.5	5.17%	0	-0.7	31	0
10	Jul_24_2013	165.2	188.05	184.49	184.9	185.49	185.22	181.44(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-0	-18	-34	0.01	63%	0.21	42.6	5.18%	0	-1.1	33	0

11	Jul_23_2013	164.86	187.54	185.2	186.34	186.57	186.12	185.76(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10	3	-24	0.01	61%	0.25	29.1	5.2%	0	-0.2	41	0
12	Jul_22_2013	164.45	186.59	185.58	186.05	186.84	185.76	185.76(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-4	-33	0.01	62%	0.23	11	5.21%	0	-0.1	35	0
13	Jul_19_2013	164.08	185.83	186.74	185.18	185.76	187.02	184.32(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	60	-0	-27	0.01	65%	0.2	-6.4	5.22%	0	-0.2	52	0
14	Jul_18_2013	163.76	185.22	188.1	184.32	184.59	187.92	187.2(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	28	130	40	-9	0.01	67%	0.27	-23.1	5.35%	0	0.2	49	0
15	Jul_17_2013	163.32	185.59	188.9	184.32	183.33	184.5	188.64(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	30	26	-8	0.02	67%	0.29	-26.5	5.39%	0	0.3	57	0

16	Jul_16_2013	162.84	185.49	189.3	184.03	184.14	181.26	184.32(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-110	-19	-14	0.01	67%	0.29	-33.5	5.39%	0	-0.1	64	0
17	Jul_15_2013	162.37	185.62	190.72	185.18	185.67	182.16	181.44(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-120	-72	-13	0.02	65%	0.22	-41.5	5.4%	0	-0.4	66	0
18	Jul_12_2013	162.01	186.44	191.19	188.64	189.36	187.02	180(-3.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-32	-80	-48	17	0.01	65%	0.2	-37.9	5.45%	0	-0.6	61	0
19	Jul_11_2013	161.69	187.61	192.35	192.38	193.23	189.18	185.76(-1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-15	-130	-36	47	0.01	65%	0.22	-29.7	5.43%	0	-0.2	63	0
20	Jul_10_2013	161.34	188.4	192.11	194.4	194.85	191.7	188.64(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-36	-110	-61	38	0.01	65%	0.22	-27.4	5.43%	0	0	47	0

21	Jul_9_2013	160.98	189.04	190.36	195.26	196.38	197.28	190.08(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	50	-8	53	0.01	65%	0.19	-27.9	5.43%	0	0.1	53	0
22	Jul_8_2013	160.68	190.06	188.02	196.99	196.11	198	198.72(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	46	50	39	67	0.01	65%	0.27	-19.2	5.41%	0	0.6	56	0
23	Jul_5_2013	160.24	190.61	185.05	194.11	194.22	195.48	198.72(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	50	29	37	0.01	65%	0.28	-14.8	5.41%	0	0.6	50	0
24	Jul_3_2013	159.79	191.04	182.19	192.38	191.61	194.22	195.84(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	80	26	12	0	65%	0.23	-14	5.38%	0	0.3	46	0
25	Jul_2_2013	159.43	191.7	181.87	189.5	190.08	192.96	192.96(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	120	71	16	0.01	65%		-17.6	5.38%	0	0.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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