Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $130.5200 (-6.56%) ($129.8500 - $142.3700) on Thu. Nov. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $130.5200(-6.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    EEM(14%)    VWO(14%)    FXI(13%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    XLU(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.6%

Resistance Level   $136.91
5 Day Moving Average   $139(-6.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.06(-4.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $136.91(-4.67%)
To recent high   -15.3%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $43.466b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.05% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 8.78%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2012	141.41	136.91	136.06	139	144.56	138.81	130.52(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-50	-160	-63	-10	0.02	52%	-0.14	42.5	3.69%	0	-1.2	41	0
2	Nov_7_2012	141.61	136.96	136.31	139.56	143.84	143.73	139.68(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-56	90	-70	-13	0.01	55%	-0.07	50	3.6%	0	0.5	54	0
3	Nov_6_2012	141.71	136.35	135.81	138.42	141.85	150.3	145.44(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	109	490	129	49	0.02	58%	-0.04	44.1	3.57%	0	1.6	50	0
4	Nov_5_2012	141.76	135.61	134.6	135.31	138.66	143.94	148.32(13.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	175	340	214	57	0.06	58%	-0.01	32.1	3.57%	0	2.2	57	0
5	Nov_2_2012	141.77	134.51	133.55	131.85	132.53	133.4	131.04(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	60	-4	-66	0	51%	-0.1	14.4	3.15%	0	-0.7	40	0

6	Nov_1_2012	141.91	134.59	134.77	132.84	132.44	133.38	133.3(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	40	25	-33	0.01	51%	-0.1	26.4	3.15%	0	-0.2	53	0
7	Oct_31_2012	142.05	134.28	135.09	132.56	132.8	131.67	133.99(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-50	2	-38	0	51%	-0.2	24.9	3.15%	0	-0.1	55	0
8	Oct_26_2012	142.33	133.9	136.02	132.77	132.81	131.5	129.89(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-70	-54	-38	0.01	50%	-0.12	20.5	3.08%	0	-0.7	56	0
9	Oct_25_2012	142.5	133.9	136.92	133.69	133.87	133.93	131.04(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	10	-23	-9	0	50%	-0.15	20.6	3.12%	0	-0.5	52	0
10	Oct_24_2012	142.72	133.8	138.22	135.47	135.05	134.13	135.98(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-60	-18	29	0	52%	-0.3	29.6	3.09%	0	0.4	59	0

11	Oct_23_2012	143.15	133.23	137.89	137.07	136.64	133.82	131.92(-2.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-35	-150	-56	28	0	52%	-0.35	33.8	3.08%	0	-0.2	52	0
12	Oct_22_2012	143.65	132.99	137.87	137.98	138.41	135.97	135.03(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-50	-110	-77	33	0	52%	-0.35	35.9	3.11%	0	0.3	59	0
13	Oct_19_2012	144.16	132.72	137.18	139.76	139.77	139.46	134.48(-3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-20	-37	68	0	52%	-0.41	44.7	3.11%	0	0.3	59	0
14	Oct_18_2012	144.76	132.62	136.93	140.55	140.91	140.85	139.94(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	0	11	104	0	54%	-0.24	47.6	3.08%	0	1.2	61	0
15	Oct_17_2012	145.11	132	135.69	141.34	140.71	140.07	144(5.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-50	2	105	0.01	54%	-0.11	51.5	3.1%	0	2	60	0

16	Oct_16_2012	145.27	131.14	134.4	138.89	140.22	140.97	136.43(-5.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	44	70	22	108	0.01	51%	-0.06	41.2	3.02%	0	1	61	0
17	Oct_15_2012	145.36	130.76	133.43	137.65	137.98	141.35	143.97(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	180	83	126	0	55%	-0.02	34.6	2.95%	0	2.5	64	0
18	Oct_12_2012	145.39	129.97	131.51	134.2	134.69	139.47	138.4(-3.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	121	260	125	109	0	52%	-0.05	20.3	2.91%	0	1.9	57	0
19	Oct_11_2012	145.46	129.68	130.3	132.73	131.39	134.61	143.9(9.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	114	140	123	88	0.01	55%	0.05	15.6	2.88%	0	3.5	58	0
20	Oct_10_2012	145.39	129.68	128.78	129.35	129.17	129.91	131.77(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	40	37	27	0.01	48%	-0.08	-6.8	2.65%	0	1.1	54	0

21	Oct_9_2012	145.5	128.92	127.99	129.36	128.74	128.18	130.21(2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	-40	-5	4	0	48%	-0.12	-26.1	2.65%	0	0.5	53	0
22	Oct_8_2012	145.67	128.94	127.6	128.55	129.15	128.44	126.73(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-20	-8	-9	0	45%	-0.12	-57.4	2.63%	0	-0.8	48	0
23	Oct_5_2012	145.84	129.07	127.88	128.28	128.56	129.31	131.04(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	50	2	-8	0	48%	-0.05	-84.1	2.61%	0	0.8	52	0
24	Oct_4_2012	145.92	129.05	127.95	127.42	127.91	129.86	126.98(-3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	29	120	40	-4	0.01	44%	-0.22	-100	2.58%	0	-0.8	42	0
25	Oct_3_2012	146.24	129.1	128.08	128.1	127.54	127.81	131.86(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	0	57	5	0.01	48%		-67.8	2.56%	0	0.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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