Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $142.9200 (-2.7%) ($139.7800 - $146.8800) on Wed. Jun. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.61% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $142.9200(-2.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(15%)    EEM(14%)    OIH(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    XLU(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.305% (StdDev 4.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $155.65
5 Day Moving Average   $150.12(-4.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.36(-4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.65(-8.18%)
To recent high   -36.6%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $47.595b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.72% (three month std-dev: 4.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2012	185.75	155.65	149.36	150.12	149.83	145.86	142.92(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-190	-65	-17	0.01	48%	-0.1	-6.5	4.61%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
2	Jun_26_2012	185.93	157.2	149.86	151.49	151.74	150.39	146.88(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-60	-43	-6	0.01	48%	0	5.5	4.62%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
3	Jun_25_2012	185.93	157.9	150.05	152.06	152.46	153.81	149.04(-6.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	8	70	12	-4	0.01	48%	0.02	10.6	4.63%	0	-0.6	28	NAN
4	Jun_22_2012	185.9	157.91	150.2	152.21	151.7	153.09	159.84(5.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	23	50	36	-18	0.04	46%	0.1	11.9	4.56%	0	0.1	31	NAN
5	Jun_21_2012	185.72	157.25	148.82	150.19	150.35	151.11	151.92(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	40	20	-61	0.01	44%	0.04	10.2	4.73%	0	-0.3	21	NAN

6	Jun_20_2012	185.65	156.63	148.3	148.61	149.22	150.3	149.76(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	60	16	-102	0.01	44%	0.04	1	4.72%	0	-0.4	16	NAN
7	Jun_19_2012	185.57	156.39	148.52	148.03	148.14	149.58	149.76(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	70	19	-119	0.01	42%	0.06	-4	4.72%	0	-0.4	37	NAN
8	Jun_18_2012	185.46	156.33	151.09	147.74	147.69	148.14	149.76(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	20	18	-109	0.01	42%	0.02	-5.2	4.75%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
9	Jun_15_2012	185.42	156.15	153.98	147.89	147.24	146.7	149.76(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-40	-11	-99	0.01	45%	0.05	-9.2	4.76%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
10	Jun_14_2012	185.33	155.7	157.33	147.31	148.28	147.24	144(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-30	-8	-74	0.01	47%	0.01	-15.7	4.81%	0	-0.7	54	NAN

11	Jun_13_2012	185.32	156.47	162.19	147.89	148.46	147.78	146.88(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-20	-25	-40	0.01	49%	0.04	-15	4.88%	0	-0.6	60	NAN
12	Jun_12_2012	185.24	157.03	165.01	149.04	149.54	149.31	148.32(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-0	-22	-14	0.01	51%	0.03	-14.2	4.92%	0	-0.5	57	NAN
13	Jun_11_2012	185.18	157.19	166.44	155.09	150.8	149.13	150.48(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-52	-160	-69	1	0.01	51%	0.04	-8.9	5.02%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
14	Jun_8_2012	185.11	157.68	166.48	161.28	158.67	149.76	146.88(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-72	-440	-102	17	0.01	53%	0.05	-1	5.07%	0	-0.7	56	NAN
15	Jun_7_2012	185.02	158.37	166.78	169.06	168.39	152.46	146.88(-3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-166	-670	-225	10	0.01	53%	0.04	8.5	5.07%	0	-0.7	58	NAN

16	Jun_6_2012	184.94	159.01	166.3	178.56	177.75	167.58	152.64(-14.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-160	-410	-227	41	0.03	53%	0.1	19.5	5.06%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
17	Jun_5_2012	184.76	159.4	165.67	182.88	186.48	184.32	178.56(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-20	-9	152	0.02	60%	-0.03	23	4.75%	0	1.2	60	NAN
18	Jun_4_2012	184.82	158.66	162.51	179.14	183.33	187.92	181.44(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	250	59	162	0.02	60%	0.22	13.5	4.8%	0	1.5	64	NAN
19	Jun_1_2012	184.41	157.83	158.7	172.22	175.37	188.64	185.76(-4.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	182	580	187	168	0.02	58%	0.23	-3.4	4.87%	0	1.9	59	NAN
20	May_31_2012	183.98	157	153.8	164.16	164.75	178.74	194.4(11.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	237	610	267	148	0.04	58%	0.28	-23.3	4.84%	0	2.7	62	NAN

21	May_30_2012	183.47	155.95	149.64	152.61	154.48	162.09	174.24(9.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	158	380	189	63	0.03	54%	0.19	-53.3	4.68%	0	1.5	57	NAN
22	May_29_2012	183.13	155.81	147.54	146.27	146.83	150.75	159.84(8.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	41	200	62	-21	0.01	51%	0.39	-69.9	4.54%	0	0.3	50	NAN
23	May_25_2012	182.42	156.61	146.36	143.68	145.17	146.87	146.88(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	20	110	45	-56	0.01	45%	0.08	-69.6	4.44%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
24	May_24_2012	182.27	158.34	147.52	143.11	145.31	142.91	145.44(6.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-70	5	-81	0.01	45%	0.08	-69.8	4.47%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
25	May_23_2012	182.12	160.3	148.87	141.67	144.33	143.48	136.66(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-93	20	-79	-134	0.01	41%		-70.6	4.38%	0	-1.6	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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