Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $190.0800 (3.13%) ($181.4400 - $195.8400) on Mon. Apr. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.8% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $190.0800(3.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -9.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(18%)    XOP(17%)    VWO(15%)    EEM(14%)    FXI(14%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    XLU(-1%)    TIP(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.4% (StdDev 4.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

Resistance Level   $226.69
5 Day Moving Average   $195.84(-2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.83(-8.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $226.69(-16.15%)
To recent high   -30.5%
To recent low   40.4%
Market Cap   $63.3b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 11.06% (three month std-dev: 4.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2012	170.8	226.69	207.83	195.84	194.04	186.84	190.08(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-113	-290	-96	-162	0.01	64%	0.59	-16.7	4.8%	0	-1.5	23	0
2	Apr_5_2012	169.8	228.27	211.35	202.9	201.96	189.9	184.32(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-188	-430	-185	-197	0.01	64%	0.3	-6.2	4.76%	0	-1.8	17	0
3	Apr_4_2012	169.29	229.6	215.47	208.66	210.65	201.24	185.76(-7.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-194	-280	-190	-206	0.03	64%	0.3	-1.2	4.76%	0	-2	16	0
4	Apr_3_2012	168.78	230.87	222.23	215.57	217.31	214.02	201.6(-7.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-108	-80	-93	-152	0.02	68%	0.34	5.4	4.64%	0	-1.4	30	0
5	Apr_2_2012	168.2	231.19	227.24	219.31	220.46	220.05	217.44(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	0	-21	-111	0.02	72%	0.44	9.8	4.54%	0	-0.7	43	0

6	Mar_30_2012	167.46	230.96	230.59	221.62	222.08	220.59	225.36(5.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-40	-15	-94	0.03	72%	0.5	11.3	4.54%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	Mar_29_2012	166.63	229.76	234.29	221.47	223.9	220.86	213.12(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-60	-42	-84	0.05	70%	0.43	4.4	4.5%	0	-0.8	54	0
8	Mar_28_2012	165.91	229.88	240.22	223.49	225.07	223.56	220.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-57	-30	-59	-52	0.02	70%	0.44	2.6	4.48%	0	-0.4	62	0
9	Mar_27_2012	165.19	229.72	243.93	230.11	226.24	226.95	220.32(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-30	-53	-4	0.01	70%	0.46	4.5	4.53%	0	-0.4	62	0
10	Mar_26_2012	164.44	229.17	246.42	236.45	232.99	226.59	228.96(1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-240	-32	47	0.01	70%	0.51	11.3	4.49%	0	-0	66	0

11	Mar_23_2012	163.6	228.52	247.08	241.06	238.23	225.54	224.64(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-166	-410	-221	-0	0.01	70%	0.48	21.7	4.52%	0	-0.2	61	0
12	Mar_22_2012	162.82	228.8	246.8	249.12	246.33	239.4	223.2(-11.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-146	-230	-210	45	0.06	70%	0.5	39.9	4.55%	0	-0.2	65	0
13	Mar_21_2012	162.01	229.31	245.49	259.2	256.32	250.92	253.44(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-180	-61	153	0.01	78%	0.71	63.6	4.25%	0	1	67	0
14	Mar_20_2012	160.87	228.71	240.76	259.78	260.91	253.26	252(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-39	-190	-99	140	0.01	78%	0.64	81	4.26%	0	1	65	0
15	Mar_19_2012	159.85	226.64	235.94	257.76	261.36	261.72	252(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	50	-43	159	0.02	78%	0.62	86.7	4.27%	0	1.1	68	0

16	Mar_16_2012	158.87	223.71	231.66	253.73	257.13	268.56	264.96(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	181	350	164	230	0.03	82%	0.73	85.3	4.25%	0	1.8	67	0
17	Mar_15_2012	157.72	220.09	224.8	243.94	249.21	261	273.6(6.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	296	400	316	236	0.04	82%	0.86	80.8	4.24%	0	2.5	61	0
18	Mar_14_2012	156.38	215.56	218.11	229.82	234.09	245.7	256.32(5.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	184	400	203	126	0.03	80%	0.78	73.2	4.19%	0	2.2	56	0
19	Mar_13_2012	155.17	211.75	213.49	219.17	222.84	237.42	241.92(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	219	510	262	90	0.03	67%	0.64	65.8	4.14%	0	1.7	46	0
20	Mar_12_2012	154.19	208.7	209.61	211.1	214.11	222.48	231.84(7.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	173	320	216	43	0.06	70%	0.57	63.3	4.63%	0	1.4	58	0

21	Mar_9_2012	153.31	205.87	207.56	206.5	206.01	208.26	216(6.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	24	70	42	-29	0.01	70%	0.51	62	4.89%	0	0.6	61	0
22	Mar_8_2012	152.53	204.07	208.67	202.75	204.57	205.74	203.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	8	70	21	-32	0.01	68%	0.43	63.7	4.88%	0	-0.1	57	0
23	Mar_7_2012	151.87	202.73	211.53	204.48	203.94	203.76	203.04(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-15	-17	0.01	68%	0.42	70.5	4.89%	0	0	60	0
24	Mar_6_2012	151.24	200.85	215.62	206.78	206.24	203.4	201.6(-3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-100	-22	21	0.01	68%	0.43	73.4	4.9%	0	0	61	0
25	Mar_5_2012	150.59	198.38	216.85	207.65	208.4	204.12	208.8(5.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-46	-130	-69	22	0.01	70%		68.3	4.91%	0	0.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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