Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $144.0000 (-6.54%) ($144.0000 - $149.7600) on Tue. Nov. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.05% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $144.0000(-6.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(19%)    XOP(18%)    VWO(16%)    EEM(15%)    FXI(15%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)    XLU(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.025% (StdDev 6.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $144.41
5 Day Moving Average   $151.2(-4.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.38(-2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144.41(-0.28%)
To recent high   -25.4%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $47.955b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.89% (three month std-dev: 6.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2011	170.61	144.41	147.38	151.2	151.47	150.12	144(-6.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-60	-33	12	0.01	50%	-0.36	92.4	6.05%	0	-0.1	47	0
2	Oct_31_2011	171.22	143.84	147.32	150.34	150.68	154.8	154.08(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	200	33	35	0.01	52%	-0.27	66.6	6%	0	1.2	57	0
3	Oct_28_2011	171.69	142.3	145.87	149.18	147.89	152.82	158.4(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	61	210	67	43	0.02	52%	-0.32	45.7	6%	0	1.8	61	0
4	Oct_27_2011	172.24	140.44	144.55	146.88	146	146.57	154.08(5.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	10	43	34	0.03	52%	-0.34	26.7	6.01%	0	1.5	66	0
5	Oct_26_2011	172.82	138.89	143.36	144.32	144.56	142.97	145.44(4.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-10	-70	-14	3	0.01	52%	-0.5	10.1	5.98%	0	0.8	55	0

6	Oct_25_2011	173.69	138.17	143.7	143.09	143.78	145.44	139.68(-5.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	100	-5	15	0.01	52%	-0.67	-6.6	5.97%	0	0.2	59	0
7	Oct_24_2011	174.87	138.47	144.18	143.67	143.28	146.15	148.32(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	130	44	46	0.01	52%	-0.6	-11.4	5.94%	0	1.1	64	0
8	Oct_21_2011	175.92	138.23	143.57	143.67	142.03	142.12	146.88(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	10	17	42	0.01	52%	-0.67	-28.1	5.94%	0	1	69	0
9	Oct_20_2011	177.11	138.07	142.22	141.94	141.58	140.42	141.28(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-60	-21	36	0.01	52%	-0.65	-44.4	5.92%	0	0.4	68	0
10	Oct_19_2011	178.26	138.03	142.09	142.34	143.06	141.94	139.31(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-40	-16	53	0	56%	-0.75	-59.8	5.92%	0	0.1	65	0

11	Oct_18_2011	179.61	138.74	141.34	144.43	143.96	142.75	142.56(2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-70	-18	61	0.01	56%	-0.21	-60	6.13%	0	0.4	59	0
12	Oct_17_2011	179.99	139.47	140.28	144.71	145.12	144.18	139.68(-4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-40	-8	57	0.01	56%	-0.4	-58.2	6.13%	0	0	46	0
13	Oct_14_2011	180.71	140.7	138.71	145.29	144.94	145.17	146.88(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	0	7	51	0.01	56%	-0.36	-50.1	6.11%	0	0.4	50	0
14	Oct_13_2011	181.36	141.92	136.19	142.44	143.42	146.05	143.25(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	150	21	30	0.01	56%	-0.34	-46.3	6.11%	0	0.1	49	0
15	Oct_12_2011	181.97	143.75	134.19	141.72	141.67	144.71	149.76(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	150	57	29	0.01	56%	-0.25	-42.1	6.09%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Oct_11_2011	182.42	145.17	132.15	137.83	138.61	140.78	144(1.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	27	130	39	-10	0.01	56%	-0.4	-45.7	6.06%	0	-0.1	43	0
17	Oct_10_2011	183.16	146.68	132.14	135.28	135.57	138.63	142.56(7.47%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	26	160	44	-27	0.01	56%	-0.48	-42.3	6.08%	0	-0.2	40	0
18	Oct_7_2011	184.04	148.02	132.17	131.2	132.42	136.44	132.65(-5.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	27	240	54	-53	0.01	54%	-0.56	-42.3	6.01%	0	-0.7	30	0
19	Oct_6_2011	185.07	150	133.31	128.86	129.44	132.51	139.65(7.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	22	180	55	-79	0.01	54%	-0.52	-41.7	6%	0	-0.5	30	0
20	Oct_5_2011	186.04	151.94	133.33	125.52	127.05	128.39	130.29(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	110	17	-131	0.01	52%	-0.55	-42.3	5.93%	0	-1	20	0

21	Oct_4_2011	187.06	154.68	135.68	125.67	126.97	126.37	131.23(7.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-53	-0	-18	-158	0.01	52%	-0.55	-41.4	5.96%	0	-1.1	21	0
22	Oct_3_2011	188.09	155.71	138.37	128.8	130.11	125.7	122.16(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-85	-210	-56	-173	0.01	49%	-0.59	-43.9	5.93%	0	-1.6	18	0
23	Sep_30_2011	189.21	157.33	142.78	133.46	135.7	127.57	120.95(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-116	-370	-96	-176	0.01	49%	-0.58	-44.9	5.93%	0	-1.8	22	0
24	Sep_29_2011	190.31	159.42	148.21	138.35	140.79	134.52	122.96(-6.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-120	-260	-106	-162	0.02	47%	-0.55	-45	5.96%	0	-2	22	0
25	Sep_28_2011	191.37	161.93	154.32	142.02	144.59	143.82	131.05(-10.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-66	20	-47	-124	0.02	49%		-46.2	5.98%	0	-1.9	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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