Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 28, 2011

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $246.2400 (-2.29%) ($244.8000 - $254.8800) on Thu. Apr. 28, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.07% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $246.2400(-2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    REMX(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.535% (StdDev 3.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $266.12
5 Day Moving Average   $247.39(-0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $250.34(-1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $266.12(-7.47%)
To recent high   -23%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $82.002b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.98% (three month std-dev: 3.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.65%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.76%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110528

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_28_2011	271.71	266.12	250.34	247.39	248.85	250.56	246.24(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	70	3	-77	0.01	39%	0.24	-62.7	3.07%	0	-0.9	28	0
2	Apr_27_2011	271.07	269.64	252.13	246.67	247.86	251.1	252(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	43	110	78	-63	0.01	39%	0.24	-53.3	3.1%	0	-0.8	25	0
3	Apr_26_2011	270.41	272.43	253.31	246.67	246.83	247.14	252(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	30	45	-102	0.01	39%	0.22	-49.8	3.1%	0	-0.8	21	0
4	Apr_25_2011	269.81	274.54	255.42	245.23	246.37	244.62	243.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-93	-40	-70	-162	0.01	35%	0.63	-49.8	3.14%	0	-1.3	12	0
5	Apr_21_2011	268.11	277.22	257.91	249.55	249.43	246.51	243.36(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-106	-80	-82	-176	0.01	43%	0.28	-45.7	3.14%	0	-1.5	10	0

6	Apr_20_2011	267.35	280.13	260.84	253.87	254.2	248.13	242.64(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-127	-160	-107	-186	0.01	43%	0.31	-42.7	3.3%	0	-1.7	11	0
7	Apr_19_2011	266.53	282.78	265.08	258.34	257.76	252.36	244.8(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-178	-150	-167	-212	0.02	39%	0.28	-40.4	3.34%	0	-1.9	10	0
8	Apr_18_2011	265.78	285.21	270.08	262.37	262.08	260.28	252(-4.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-104	-50	-82	-171	0.01	39%	0.3	-41.8	3.41%	0	-1.8	21	0
9	Apr_15_2011	264.99	287.19	274.64	266.98	265.5	263.16	264.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-59	-80	-33	-137	0.01	42%	0	-37.5	3.36%	0	-1.3	37	0
10	Apr_14_2011	264.99	288.29	278.89	267.55	267.84	263.88	264.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-97	-100	-80	-147	0.01	42%	0.35	-38	3.39%	0	-1.5	37	0

11	Apr_13_2011	264.07	289.84	283.11	268.99	269.91	267.84	264.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-108	-40	-96	-145	0.01	42%	0.36	-30.6	3.39%	0	-1.7	35	0
12	Apr_12_2011	263.13	291.15	288.46	273.02	273.15	271.8	264.96(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	-30	-60	-105	0.02	42%	0.33	-15.4	3.39%	0	-1.9	40	0
13	Apr_11_2011	262.27	292.99	293.03	279.07	278.19	271.98	275.04(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-97	-170	-99	-92	0.01	45%	0.36	12.8	3.37%	0	-1.4	46	0
14	Apr_8_2011	261.34	293.51	295.13	283.68	284.04	274.5	267.84(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-214	-230	-241	-131	0.01	45%	0.33	39	3.38%	0	-2.1	43	0
15	Apr_7_2011	260.48	294.37	298.21	292.03	292.77	284.4	272.16(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-183	-190	-214	-88	0.01	45%	0.35	73.1	3.4%	0	-1.8	48	0

16	Apr_6_2011	259.57	294.42	301.26	299.23	300.15	293.58	285.12(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-144	-140	-177	-45	0.02	49%	0.39	90.1	3.38%	0	-0.7	48	0
17	Apr_5_2011	258.55	293.29	302.27	306.14	306	301.14	295.2(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-97	-110	-129	1	0.02	52%	0.39	94.7	3.38%	0	0.1	56	0
18	Apr_4_2011	257.54	291.4	301.9	309.02	310.59	306.72	298.08(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-34	-70	-57	35	0.02	52%	0.39	89.4	3.37%	0	0.4	50	0
19	Apr_1_2011	256.54	288.8	301.07	308.16	310.32	310.86	309.6(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	30	-18	50	0.01	47%	0.42	78.4	3.49%	0	1	64	0
20	Mar_31_2011	255.46	285.66	298.53	305.28	307.08	314.46	308.16(-3.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	99	190	102	91	0.02	47%	0.33	70.4	3.52%	0	1	64	0

21	Mar_30_2011	254.61	282.56	297.01	303.55	303.3	309.78	319.68(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	173	150	186	135	0.03	51%	0.46	70.1	3.51%	0	1.7	75	0
22	Mar_29_2011	253.44	278.91	293.65	298.08	299.61	299.7	309.6(5.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	77	20	72	90	0.05	51%	0.35	66.6	3.49%	0	1.4	76	0
23	Mar_28_2011	252.56	275.34	292.38	294.05	296.96	296.82	293.76(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	30	-22	67	0.01	45%	0.45	62.6	3.45%	0	0.9	74	0
24	Mar_25_2011	251.42	273.25	291.31	292.9	295.29	299.52	295.2(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	120	57	120	0.02	45%	0.47	59.9	3.44%	0	1	79	0
25	Mar_24_2011	250.25	271	289.91	290.59	293.31	297.09	299.52(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	129	120	118	160	0.04	45%		52.8	3.46%	0	1.3	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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