Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $269.2800 (-3.61%) ($254.8800 - $277.9200) on Mon. Dec. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.06% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $269.2800(-3.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 18.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(23%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)    REMX(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.03% (StdDev 6.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $243.94(10.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $225.15(19.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $200.89(34.04%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   78.1%
Market Cap   $89.675b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 16.69% (three month std-dev: 6.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.4%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -11.38%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.17%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2010	177.84	200.89	225.15	243.94	244.08	262.44	269.28(-3.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	246	530	235	279	0.03	69%	0.46	50.4	6.06%	0	2	78	NAN
2	Dec_17_2010	177.03	196.31	217.26	238.46	230.85	242.82	279.36(19.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	213	270	194	269	0.06	69%	0.49	49	6.03%	0	2.8	76	NAN
3	Dec_16_2010	176.17	191.13	206.52	224.35	224.46	225.72	233.28(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	140	40	115	216	0.02	65%	0.22	41.2	5.56%	0	1.9	69	NAN
4	Dec_15_2010	175.79	188.46	200.32	215.71	217.17	218.88	231.84(12.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	80	26	153	0.04	65%	0.31	23.3	5.56%	0	2.2	68	NAN
5	Dec_14_2010	175.24	185.91	193.9	206.21	208.17	223.2	205.92(-14.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	130	530	119	162	0.04	62%	0.17	6.1	5.37%	0	1.2	64	NAN

6	Dec_13_2010	174.95	185.29	189.72	202.75	200.97	215.46	241.92(15.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	281	480	300	222	0.06	69%	0.4	-6.9	5%	0	3.4	72	NAN
7	Dec_10_2010	174.25	182.86	182.18	192.96	191.61	193.14	208.8(9.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	112	30	113	108	0.03	65%	0.18	-26.8	4.63%	0	2.3	61	NAN
8	Dec_9_2010	173.93	182.38	178.47	186.34	187.65	186.48	190.08(3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-3	-20	-12	26	0.01	62%	0.11	-35.6	4.48%	0	0.7	53	NAN
9	Dec_8_2010	173.74	183.91	176.9	182.59	184.77	190.08	184.32(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	240	49	29	0.01	62%	0.05	-16.4	4.47%	0	0	49	NAN
10	Dec_7_2010	173.65	184.88	175.83	179.42	180.72	188.82	188.64(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	130	340	156	50	0.01	62%	0.07	-10.3	4.46%	0	0.2	51	NAN

11	Dec_6_2010	173.53	186.45	174.89	174.24	175.05	179.46	192.96(9.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	89	190	118	3	0.02	62%	0.09	-1.8	4.45%	0	0.4	44	NAN
12	Dec_3_2010	173.37	185.94	173.71	169.92	170.64	172.62	175.68(2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	90	26	-66	0.01	58%	0.02	-4	4.32%	0	-0.6	25	NAN
13	Dec_2_2010	173.33	186.32	174.45	169.63	170.28	170.64	171.36(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	30	14	-86	0.01	58%	0	-1.4	4.32%	0	-0.9	18	NAN
14	Dec_1_2010	173.33	186.3	175.7	170.5	171.18	168.66	168.48(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-90	-29	-125	0.01	58%	-0.07	0.4	4.37%	0	-1	10	NAN
15	Nov_30_2010	173.46	186.44	177.42	171.65	172.8	169.92	162.72(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-91	-100	-70	-152	0.03	58%	-0.07	2.7	4.32%	0	-1.4	27	NAN

16	Nov_29_2010	173.58	186.77	180.87	175.39	175.23	173.7	171.36(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-73	-60	-48	-147	0.01	61%	0.03	9.2	4.28%	0	-0.9	24	NAN
17	Nov_26_2010	173.52	186.62	183.81	177.98	177.75	175.68	174.24(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-90	-36	-123	0	61%	0.1	12.1	4.27%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
18	Nov_24_2010	173.35	186.57	186.76	180	180.36	176.76	175.68(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-130	-61	-113	0.01	61%	0.06	16	4.26%	0	-0.6	53	NAN
19	Nov_23_2010	173.25	186.23	191.55	181.73	183.24	179.82	174.24(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-72	-110	-71	-75	0.01	57%	0.01	18.2	4.27%	0	-0.7	58	NAN
20	Nov_22_2010	173.24	185.97	194.81	184.03	185.67	183.96	181.44(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-40	-54	-35	0.01	57%	0.08	20.8	4.34%	0	-0.2	61	NAN

21	Nov_19_2010	173.1	185.18	199.01	187.2	187.83	186.66	184.32(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-30	-30	-46	20	0.01	57%	0.12	22.1	4.34%	0	-0	63	NAN
22	Nov_18_2010	172.89	184.5	199.22	190.66	192.15	187.38	184.32(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-32	-150	-57	43	0.01	57%	0.08	25.6	4.39%	0	-0	63	NAN
23	Nov_17_2010	172.75	183.72	199.3	194.69	196.38	189	184.32(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-109	-240	-155	31	0	57%	0.09	30.5	4.39%	0	0	60	NAN
24	Nov_16_2010	172.59	182.93	198.08	203.04	203.13	196.92	185.76(-5.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-76	-210	-129	83	0.01	57%	0.05	42.5	4.42%	0	0.1	62	NAN
25	Nov_15_2010	172.5	182.12	196.65	207.07	209.43	203.76	197.28(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-44	-160	-99	122	0.01	60%		49.1	4.36%	0	0.8	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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