Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $201.6000 (-1.41%) ($198.7200 - $214.5600) on Fri. Nov. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $201.6000(-1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 14.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    REMX(20%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EEM(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $212.54(-5.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $193.64(4.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $181.04(11.36%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $67.136b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 10.87% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.34%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.81%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 15.1%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -5.9%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 16.73%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.64%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2010	172.32	181.04	193.64	212.54	212.85	209.34	201.6(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-110	-64	171	0.01	60%	-0.09	61.5	4.37%	0	1	69	0
2	Nov_11_2010	172.47	179.64	190.06	208.8	213.73	215.1	204.48(-9.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	86	120	48	201	0.02	60%	-0.13	60.4	4.37%	0	1.3	66	0
3	Nov_10_2010	172.7	177.88	186.61	204.19	206.08	216.36	226.08(9.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	167	380	146	231	0.01	67%	-0.04	56.7	4.25%	0	2.6	75	0
4	Nov_9_2010	172.77	174.82	180.26	192.38	196.18	212.35	205.92(-8.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	298	640	314	249	0.03	63%	-0.24	46.9	4.1%	0	2.1	71	0
5	Nov_8_2010	173.19	172.8	176.04	184.61	183.71	195.79	224.64(22.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	291	450	316	215	0.05	70%	-0.12	33.9	3.96%	0	4	81	0

6	Nov_5_2010	173.4	169.71	169.38	172.51	173.03	180	182.88(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	188	290	214	109	0.01	55%	-0.41	12.4	2.8%	0	2.5	53	0
7	Nov_4_2010	174.12	168.79	167.84	168.77	168.53	171.63	181.44(8.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	115	120	138	45	0.02	55%	-0.47	-21.5	2.82%	0	2.9	53	0
8	Nov_3_2010	174.94	168.07	166.24	166.46	165.83	166.05	167.04(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-0	9	-30	0	43%	-0.65	-58.1	2.66%	0	-0.3	45	0
9	Nov_2_2010	176.09	168.21	166.22	166.18	166.23	165.42	167.04(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-30	-1	-40	0	43%	-0.41	-58.8	2.67%	0	-0.3	47	0
10	Nov_1_2010	176.81	168.55	166.33	165.89	166.14	165.6	164.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-29	-20	-21	-51	0	43%	-0.47	-60.9	2.68%	0	-1.2	46	0

11	Oct_29_2010	177.64	169.05	167.55	165.6	165.78	167.04	164.16(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	60	0	-35	0.01	43%	-0.6	-52	2.7%	0	-1.2	46	0
12	Oct_28_2010	178.71	169.75	168.67	166.61	165.96	166.68	169.92(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	28	20	38	-2	0.01	61%	-0.67	-32.9	2.67%	0	0	57	0
13	Oct_27_2010	179.91	170.07	168.77	166.03	166.37	164.52	165.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-70	-17	-23	0	61%	-0.73	-14.3	2.96%	0	-1	47	0
14	Oct_26_2010	181.24	170.38	169.24	166.32	166.73	165.24	165.6(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-60	-63	-40	0	61%	-0.88	8.4	2.96%	0	-1.1	45	0
15	Oct_25_2010	182.85	170.88	169.58	166.9	167.81	165.24	162.72(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	30	-26	-28	0.01	61%	-1	36.2	2.97%	0	-2	36	0

16	Oct_22_2010	184.7	171.23	170.25	169.78	169.25	168.21	169.2(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-50	-5	-6	0	67%	-1.12	73.2	2.95%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Oct_21_2010	186.8	171.16	169.95	171.07	170.55	167.4	167.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-62	-140	-70	-38	0	67%	-0.75	72.7	2.97%	0	-0.8	33	0
18	Oct_20_2010	188.21	170.69	170.14	171.94	172.35	170.28	167.04(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-80	-67	-40	0.01	67%	-0.66	62.5	2.99%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Oct_19_2010	189.46	170.02	170.47	171.94	173.12	173.7	168.48(-4.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	30	-8	-15	0.01	67%	-0.12	55.9	2.99%	0	-0.2	48	0
20	Oct_18_2010	189.68	169.39	171.03	172.51	172.67	174.42	177.12(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	70	59	10	0	77%	-0.71	51.2	2.93%	0	1	50	0

21	Oct_15_2010	191.03	168.47	170.64	170.78	170.69	172.53	175.68(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	70	55	3	0.01	77%	-0.76	44.8	2.95%	0	0.9	59	0
22	Oct_14_2010	192.5	167.55	170.78	168.77	168.8	170.91	171.36(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	35	90	47	-2	0	77%	-0.7	35.7	2.94%	0	0.5	57	0
23	Oct_13_2010	193.85	166.73	171.29	168.77	167.85	168.84	169.92(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	39	14	0.01	77%	-0.73	29.8	3.01%	0	0.4	68	0
24	Oct_12_2010	195.27	166.04	171.46	168.19	167.58	166.68	168.48(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-14	-50	-22	10	0	77%	-0.67	28.3	3.06%	0	0.3	71	0
25	Oct_11_2010	196.58	165.56	172.18	169.34	169.02	166.86	168.48(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-31	-100	-51	29	0.01	77%		32.2	3.12%	0	0.3	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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