Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $177.1200 (3.36%) ($168.4800 - $178.5600) on Fri. Jul. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.94% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $177.1200(3.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    EEM(20%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EWG(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.97% (StdDev 5.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

Resistance Level   $185.34
5 Day Moving Average   $175.1(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.73(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.34(-4.44%)
To recent high   -58.9%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $58.984b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 15.23% (three month std-dev: 5.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2010	339.91	185.34	170.73	175.1	174.51	172.98	177.12(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-70	2	13	0.01	38%	-0.72	-62	5.94%	0	-0.3	46	0
2	Jul_15_2010	342.36	188.92	169.42	172.8	173.52	173.88	171.36(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	30	-9	-26	0.01	38%	-0.72	-59.1	5.97%	0	-0.6	24	0
3	Jul_14_2010	344.83	193.19	169.24	171.65	172.08	176.04	171.36(-5.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	16	170	35	-41	0.02	38%	-0.72	-57.9	5.99%	0	-0.6	21	0
4	Jul_13_2010	347.33	198.35	168.93	170.5	170.37	173.16	181.44(4.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	31	110	63	-64	0.02	38%	-0.74	-54.5	5.97%	0	-0.4	22	0
5	Jul_12_2010	349.91	201.14	168.26	167.33	167.52	168.12	174.24(5.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	30	8	-128	0.02	39%	-0.6	-63.6	5.93%	0	-0.7	14	0

6	Jul_9_2010	352.01	204.69	168.62	165.89	167.43	167.58	165.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-35	30	7	-160	0.01	39%	-0.62	-72.7	5.9%	0	-1	8	0
7	Jul_8_2010	354.19	209.78	173.24	165.6	167.25	166.92	165.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-43	20	2	-177	0.01	39%	-0.6	-80.5	5.9%	0	-1.1	7	0
8	Jul_7_2010	356.33	215.84	179	166.46	165.99	167.28	165.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-53	50	-8	-189	0.01	39%	-0.62	-79.1	5.91%	0	-1.2	7	0
9	Jul_6_2010	358.54	222.29	185.38	167.04	166.86	167.58	165.6(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-35	30	17	-192	0.03	39%	-0.61	-77	5.91%	0	-1.3	6	0
10	Jul_2_2010	360.74	230.1	193.25	169.34	167.31	164.7	167.04(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-74	-150	-31	-201	0.01	39%	-0.6	-64.8	5.89%	0	-1.2	31	0

11	Jul_1_2010	362.92	238.82	200.87	171.86	169.92	166.14	164.16(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-190	-69	-208	0.03	39%	-0.59	-57.3	5.92%	0	-1.3	28	0
12	Jun_30_2010	365.09	249.21	209.89	182.23	173.41	169.92	169.92(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-142	-290	-119	-211	0.02	39%	-0.59	-51.7	5.88%	0	-1.4	26	0
13	Jun_29_2010	367.27	256.25	219.12	193.75	186.55	173.7	168.48(-4.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-144	-590	-126	-197	0.05	39%	-0.58	-50.6	5.88%	0	-1.7	23	0
14	Jun_28_2010	369.4	262.73	230.4	206.64	201.76	176.9	177.12(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-285	-930	-298	-244	0.03	39%	-0.61	-48.9	5.86%	0	-1.7	23	0
15	Jun_25_2010	371.66	269.63	237.19	220.75	218.21	199.4	179.64(-16.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-326	-640	-347	-262	0.11	39%	-0.62	-45.5	5.86%	0	-2	21	0

16	Jun_24_2010	373.97	276.92	244.49	233.78	236.86	226.62	216(-5.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-160	-260	-148	-195	0.01	43%	-0.58	-41.5	5.52%	0	-1.5	23	0
17	Jun_23_2010	376.14	281.55	249.93	241.56	244.6	237.02	227.52(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-159	-180	-142	-210	0.01	43%	-0.54	-42.7	5.5%	0	-1.4	21	0
18	Jun_22_2010	378.19	285.84	256.01	248.47	251.98	247.1	232.92(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-120	-90	-98	-185	0.01	45%	-0.49	-42.5	5.5%	0	-1.4	41	0
19	Jun_21_2010	380.04	289.3	262.28	258.05	259.02	252.18	247.68(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-170	-57	-150	0.01	46%	-0.42	-44.6	5.51%	0	-1.2	46	0
20	Jun_18_2010	381.66	292.23	269.63	256.32	262.17	256.86	244.8(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-93	-70	-73	-154	0.01	46%	-0.46	-54.1	5.52%	0	-1.4	43	0

21	Jun_17_2010	383.42	295.34	279.28	256.61	260.46	265.86	254.88(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	190	-14	-121	0.01	46%	-0.46	-66.1	5.51%	0	-1.3	43	0
22	Jun_16_2010	385.21	299.41	290.88	259.49	259.65	267.48	262.08(-6.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	54	210	89	-53	0.01	46%	-0.44	-70.4	5.51%	0	-1.2	47	0
23	Jun_15_2010	386.93	302.73	295.59	264.96	262.71	255.06	280.8(17.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-36	-230	-18	-88	0.02	48%	-0.41	-72.7	5.46%	0	-0.7	48	0
24	Jun_14_2010	388.51	306.02	296.87	268.13	270.57	251.82	239.04(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-279	-460	-303	-206	0.01	42%	-0.55	-71.6	4.97%	0	-2.1	43	0
25	Jun_11_2010	390.64	311.86	304.54	285.41	285.87	270.36	246.24(-8.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-306	-370	-346	-187	0.02	46%		-62.6	4.97%	0	-2.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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