Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 22, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $232.9200 (-5.96%) ($231.8400 - $252.0000) on Tue. Jun. 22, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $232.9200(-5.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -13.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(24%)    EEM(20%)    VWO(20%)    XOP(20%)    EWG(19%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.6%

Resistance Level   $285.84
5 Day Moving Average   $248.47(-6.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $256.01(-9.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $285.84(-18.51%)
To recent high   -47.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $77.567b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 13.13% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 5.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 16.92%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.58%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 8.7%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.8%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2010	378.19	285.84	256.01	248.47	251.98	247.1	232.92(-5.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-120	-90	-98	-185	0.01	45%	-0.49	-42.5	5.5%	0	-1.4	41	0
2	Jun_21_2010	380.04	289.3	262.28	258.05	259.02	252.18	247.68(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-170	-57	-150	0.01	46%	-0.42	-44.6	5.51%	0	-1.2	46	0
3	Jun_18_2010	381.66	292.23	269.63	256.32	262.17	256.86	244.8(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-93	-70	-73	-154	0.01	46%	-0.46	-54.1	5.52%	0	-1.4	43	0
4	Jun_17_2010	383.42	295.34	279.28	256.61	260.46	265.86	254.88(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	190	-14	-121	0.01	46%	-0.46	-66.1	5.51%	0	-1.3	43	0
5	Jun_16_2010	385.21	299.41	290.88	259.49	259.65	267.48	262.08(-6.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	54	210	89	-53	0.01	46%	-0.44	-70.4	5.51%	0	-1.2	47	0

6	Jun_15_2010	386.93	302.73	295.59	264.96	262.71	255.06	280.8(17.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-36	-230	-18	-88	0.02	48%	-0.41	-72.7	5.46%	0	-0.7	48	0
7	Jun_14_2010	388.51	306.02	296.87	268.13	270.57	251.82	239.04(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-279	-460	-303	-206	0.01	42%	-0.55	-71.6	4.97%	0	-2.1	43	0
8	Jun_11_2010	390.64	311.86	304.54	285.41	285.87	270.36	246.24(-8.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-306	-370	-346	-187	0.02	46%	-0.59	-62.6	4.97%	0	-2.2	43	0
9	Jun_10_2010	392.97	318.26	312.46	305.28	307.29	289.32	269.28(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-220	-390	-259	-104	0.01	48%	-0.57	-46.5	5.08%	0	-1.8	47	0
10	Jun_9_2010	395.22	323.58	316.54	326.88	326.64	301.38	289.44(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-273	-540	-331	-97	0.01	50%	-0.58	-28.8	5.02%	0	-1.2	44	0

11	Jun_8_2010	397.51	327.06	318.95	330.34	341.55	325.26	296.64(-8.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-206	-230	-253	-64	0.01	50%	-0.26	-31.9	5.02%	0	-1.1	47	0
12	Jun_7_2010	398.55	330.76	319.43	329.18	339.75	351.9	325.44(-5.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	350	12	22	0.01	54%	-0.46	-39.4	4.91%	0	-0.2	47	0
13	Jun_4_2010	400.39	331.41	317.2	326.02	328.59	357.84	345.6(-8.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	330	650	390	149	0.01	56%	-0.45	-51	4.86%	0	0.5	49	0
14	Jun_3_2010	402.19	331.84	312.66	320.83	316.89	327.6	377.28(23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	315	200	383	110	0.03	59%	-0.39	-61.8	4.74%	0	1.6	49	0
15	Jun_2_2010	403.78	331.87	307.46	306.14	306.63	299.34	306.72(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-130	-160	-120	-160	0	51%	-0.54	-75.1	3.76%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	Jun_1_2010	405.98	336.22	309.3	306.72	310.14	306.18	290.88(-6.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-127	-60	-112	-172	0	48%	-1.03	-71.1	3.69%	0	-1.4	32	0
17	May_28_2010	410.22	342.35	314.91	307.87	310.77	313.92	309.6(-3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	100	20	-129	0	51%	-0.59	-64.6	3.62%	0	-0.9	33	0
18	May_27_2010	412.66	346.6	318.93	306.43	308.34	314.1	319.68(5.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	76	150	129	-84	0	51%	-0.59	-67.5	3.63%	0	-0.7	47	0
19	May_26_2010	415.12	350.72	323.73	302.98	304.29	307.62	303.84(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	13	90	56	-118	0	48%	-0.64	-71	3.59%	0	-1.2	38	0
20	May_25_2010	417.79	355.9	330.69	309.31	304.62	302.58	309.6(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-67	-90	-41	-146	0	48%	-0.65	-69.7	3.61%	0	-1.2	34	0

21	May_24_2010	420.54	360.82	335.6	312.77	311.46	300.96	296.64(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-185	-250	-177	-210	0	46%	-0.3	-69.7	3.56%	0	-1.7	29	0
22	May_21_2010	421.82	366.9	343.24	323.14	320.82	306.66	302.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-290	-330	-306	-240	0.01	53%	-0.58	-65.9	3.99%	0	-1.8	27	0
23	May_20_2010	424.28	373.11	347.42	333.22	334.05	321.96	302.4(-9.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-257	-250	-268	-223	0.01	53%	-0.45	-60.2	4.02%	0	-2	33	0
24	May_19_2010	426.18	379.65	353.49	347.33	345.51	334.98	335.52(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-234	-230	-244	-204	0	59%	-0.46	-57.3	3.86%	0	-1.4	36	0
25	May_18_2010	428.14	383.96	358.69	355.39	356.76	346.14	326.88(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-193	-200	-198	-177	0.01	59%		-53.8	3.84%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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