Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $372.9600 (-0.77%) ($370.0800 - $377.2800) on Thu. May. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.7% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $372.9600(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(25%)    VWO(21%)    XOP(21%)    EEM(20%)    EWG(20%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $395.19
5 Day Moving Average   $363.46(2.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $376.59(-0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $395.19(-5.63%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $124.202b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.65% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.18%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 5.11%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.1%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2010	431.16	395.19	376.59	363.46	371.43	372.78	372.96(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	65	90	105	-56	0	68%	-0.13	-59.7	3.7%	0	-0.8	37	0
2	May_12_2010	431.73	398.48	379.55	360.58	366.48	368.28	375.84(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-49	80	-24	-123	0	68%	-0.11	-60.2	3.73%	0	-0.9	37	0
3	May_11_2010	432.2	401.07	382.51	363.17	366.03	370.08	358.56(-3.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	100	10	-111	0	66%	-0.11	-56.6	3.68%	0	-1.6	35	0
4	May_10_2010	432.68	404.52	387.47	370.94	372.42	364.68	371.52(9.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-62	-130	-42	-122	0.01	66%	-0.13	-52.9	3.66%	0	-1.3	37	0
5	May_7_2010	433.26	407.41	391.87	379.87	380.52	361.98	338.4(-5.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-361	-340	-397	-252	0.01	56%	-0.18	-44.7	3.45%	0	-3	26	0

6	May_6_2010	434.03	411.54	400.86	391.39	393.92	380.16	358.56(-7.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-322	-230	-361	-206	0.01	61%	-0.19	-43	3.41%	0	-3.1	35	0
7	May_5_2010	434.87	414.97	408.3	400.61	401.93	399.06	388.8(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-160	-40	-175	-116	0	69%	-0.14	-35.1	3.29%	0	-2.1	32	0
8	May_4_2010	435.47	416.42	411.59	404.35	406.16	407.69	397.44(-4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	20	40	35	-26	0	63%	-0.14	-30.5	3.29%	0	-1.7	41	0
9	May_3_2010	436.07	417.93	414.12	404.35	406.79	404.81	416.16(5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-16	-30	-8	-41	0	68%	-0.08	-23	3.31%	0	-0.2	47	0
10	Apr_30_2010	436.43	418.08	413.96	406.37	407.97	404.64	396(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-113	-50	-120	-92	0	65%	-0.11	-22	3.23%	0	-2.2	38	0

11	Apr_29_2010	436.92	419.1	415.4	412.13	413.1	408.78	404.64(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-88	-70	-94	-71	0	65%	-0.2	-8.9	3.24%	0	-1.6	49	0
12	Apr_28_2010	437.79	419.32	418.88	417.31	418.23	411.3	407.52(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-111	-110	-127	-64	0	65%	-0.21	1.4	3.26%	0	-1.3	46	0
13	Apr_27_2010	438.71	419.78	420.96	419.9	421.47	417.42	407.52(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-124	-60	-145	-60	0	65%	-0.23	2.5	3.28%	0	-1.4	49	0
14	Apr_26_2010	439.7	420.23	422.82	422.78	423.99	425.16	416.16(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	3	30	2	5	0	65%	-0.17	6.2	3.27%	0	-0.5	47	0
15	Apr_23_2010	440.43	420.34	424	422.5	423.27	425.52	424.8(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	40	69	34	0	65%	-0.12	12.5	3.26%	0	0.6	53	0

16	Apr_22_2010	440.97	419.9	422.95	419.04	420.84	422.82	430.56(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	50	18	6	0.01	59%	-0.13	-1	3.28%	0	1.3	57	0
17	Apr_21_2010	441.56	419.2	422	421.06	421.57	421.02	420.48(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10	-0	9	0.01	59%	-0.1	-3.3	3.35%	0	0.2	58	0
18	Apr_20_2010	442.02	419.57	421.52	422.5	424.99	418.86	421.92(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-80	-66	-13	0	54%	-0.05	-3.7	3.36%	0	0.3	54	0
19	Apr_19_2010	442.22	419.74	421.9	423.07	426.84	422.13	414.72(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-126	-50	-154	-43	0.01	54%	-0.08	-13	3.4%	0	-0.6	52	0
20	Apr_16_2010	442.59	419.34	422.45	425.66	428.91	431.13	407.52(-7.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-5	60	-14	21	0.01	54%	-0.08	-30.9	3.41%	0	-1.4	48	0

21	Apr_15_2010	442.96	419.99	423.29	426.82	429.62	431.56	440.64(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	114	50	125	79	0.01	62%	-0.08	-57.1	3.3%	0	2.5	62	0
22	Apr_14_2010	443.32	419.43	419.79	423.07	424.58	426.7	427.68(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	50	11	21	0.01	62%	-0.13	-72.5	3.3%	0	1.1	56	0
23	Apr_13_2010	443.9	419.86	418.44	420.48	422.1	427.68	424.8(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	100	87	39	0	62%	-0.11	-61.7	3.3%	0	0.6	46	0
24	Apr_12_2010	444.4	420.77	417.38	420.77	421.2	422.46	427.68(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	91	20	107	44	0.01	55%	-0.09	-36.8	3.32%	0	0.7	50	0
25	Apr_9_2010	444.82	422.05	416.25	419.04	419.58	416.52	413.28(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-50	-55	-20	0	52%		-17.9	3.35%	0	-0.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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