Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 10, 2010

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $377.2800 (-1.5%) ($371.5200 - $394.5600) on Wed. Feb. 10, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.27% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $377.2800(-1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(25%)    EEM(21%)    VWO(21%)    XOP(21%)    EWG(20%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.135% (StdDev 4.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $437.94
5 Day Moving Average   $388.51(-2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $402.87(-6.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $437.94(-13.85%)
To recent high   -34.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $125.641b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 10.8% (three month std-dev: 4.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.83%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.37%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.48%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2010	502.03	437.94	402.87	388.51	390.06	384.3	377.28(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-136	-90	-133	-144	0	46%	-0.46	-76.7	4.27%	0	-1.3	19	0
2	Feb_9_2010	504.36	445.02	408.26	398.88	398.88	389.34	383.04(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-165	-170	-168	-156	0	48%	-0.45	-75.1	4.3%	0	-1.3	18	0
3	Feb_8_2010	506.66	453.47	413.11	407.81	410.67	395.82	377.28(-5.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-218	-230	-228	-187	0	48%	-0.48	-69	4.36%	0	-1.5	13	0
4	Feb_5_2010	509.08	462.4	419.11	415.3	421.65	408.42	398.88(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-216	-170	-224	-193	0	50%	-0.43	-63.8	4.31%	0	-1.2	20	0
5	Feb_4_2010	511.27	469.84	423.97	416.74	425.16	425.52	406.08(-5.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-126	70	-113	-165	0	50%	-0.39	-58.5	4.33%	0	-1.2	19	0

6	Feb_3_2010	513.29	477.47	430.61	419.04	425.52	434.88	429.12(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	78	200	131	-80	0	53%	-0.27	-54.5	4.28%	0	-0.9	19	0
7	Feb_2_2010	514.69	484.16	436.11	419.33	423.54	424.8	427.68(3.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	60	50	111	-94	0.01	53%	-0.28	-45.4	4.33%	0	-1	24	0
8	Feb_1_2010	516.16	491.59	444.11	419.9	421.83	416.16	414.72(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-126	-80	-104	-190	0	53%	-0.2	-34	4.32%	0	-1.4	15	0
9	Jan_29_2010	517.18	498.15	452.84	423.94	425.97	422.28	406.08(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-138	-50	-118	-199	0.01	52%	-0.23	-24.8	4.4%	0	-1.7	11	0
10	Jan_28_2010	518.39	502.81	464.17	432.29	433.35	427.5	417.6(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-116	-90	-93	-183	0	50%	-0.22	-17.1	4.41%	0	-1.7	16	0

11	Jan_27_2010	519.51	508.62	475.49	443.81	441.72	429.66	430.56(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-214	-210	-212	-220	0	50%	-0.19	-0.6	4.45%	0	-1.7	16	0
12	Jan_26_2010	520.49	510.6	484.58	455.62	455.58	439.2	430.56(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-280	-250	-291	-246	0.01	48%	-0.18	9.9	4.46%	0	-1.8	16	0
13	Jan_25_2010	521.43	511.7	497.1	472.32	472.14	453.78	434.88(-2.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-300	-270	-320	-240	0.01	48%	-0.13	24.9	4.5%	0	-1.9	15	0
14	Jan_22_2010	522.12	512.23	509.54	486.14	487.89	471.96	447.84(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-280	-220	-303	-212	0	47%	-0.09	37.2	4.51%	0	-1.7	32	0
15	Jan_21_2010	522.6	511.72	520.03	500.54	500.67	490.5	475.2(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-213	-140	-232	-154	0.01	49%	0	44.1	4.46%	0	-0.9	52	0

16	Jan_20_2010	522.6	508.95	528.7	511.78	511.47	503.82	489.6(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-119	-110	-128	-90	0	49%	-0.03	42.3	4.45%	0	-0.4	47	0
17	Jan_19_2010	522.74	506.37	536.47	517.82	517.95	510.84	514.08(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-119	-100	-138	-62	0	50%	-0.07	39.8	4.43%	0	0.2	63	0
18	Jan_15_2010	523.09	501.68	542.83	526.18	523.53	519.12	504(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-121	-70	-154	-23	0	50%	-0.09	36.6	4.4%	0	0	65	0
19	Jan_14_2010	523.55	498.73	547.08	536.83	534.96	525.06	519.84(-2.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-44	-140	-76	53	0	50%	-0.06	36.2	4.39%	0	0.4	69	0
20	Jan_13_2010	523.85	495.17	544.72	542.59	540.54	527.94	531.36(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-183	-170	-248	14	0	50%	-0.02	34.8	4.39%	0	0.6	72	0

21	Jan_12_2010	523.97	491.32	544.49	548.35	547.92	544.86	519.84(-6.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-89	-40	-151	98	0.01	50%	-0.07	34.1	4.4%	0	0.5	73	0
22	Jan_11_2010	524.32	487.88	539.18	557.57	555.12	553.14	555.84(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	-40	6	195	0	53%	-0.05	36.2	4.32%	0	1.1	72	0
23	Jan_8_2010	524.56	482.07	527.88	562.18	557.37	550.98	557.28(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-19	-110	-86	184	0	53%	-0.02	37.3	4.32%	0	1.3	74	0
24	Jan_7_2010	524.65	478.11	515.5	559.01	559.89	557.1	548.64(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	45	-30	-12	215	0	53%	-0.08	37.7	4.32%	0	1.2	66	0
25	Jan_6_2010	525.05	474.92	503.16	546.62	551.97	563.76	560.16(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	155	180	124	248	0	54%		35.6	4.32%	0	1.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.