Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $499.6800 (-4.93%) ($498.2400 - $532.8000) on Tue. Nov. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.83% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $499.6800(-4.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(25%)    VWO(22%)    EEM(21%)    XOP(21%)    EWG(20%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.915% (StdDev 3.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

Resistance Level   $526.23
5 Day Moving Average   $501.12(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $496.78(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $526.23(-5.05%)
To recent high   -23.1%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $166.403b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.1% (three month std-dev: 3.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -5.53%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.35%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2009	559.96	526.23	496.78	501.12	505.88	514.96	499.68(-4.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	110	150	148	-3	0	57%	-0.03	-59.3	3.83%	0	-0.7	36	0
2	Nov_9_2009	560.12	530.02	499.18	499.97	500.3	507.04	525.6(5.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	159	100	209	9	0	60%	-0.06	-59.8	3.78%	0	-0.1	42	0
3	Nov_6_2009	560.47	533.25	497.95	489.02	492.57	496.8	499.68(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	45	80	86	-77	0	57%	-0.12	-61.6	3.73%	0	-0.8	33	0
4	Nov_5_2009	561.15	538.16	502.08	484.99	487.89	493.56	498.24(3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	27	100	68	-98	0	57%	-0.08	-59.3	3.73%	0	-0.9	36	0
5	Nov_4_2009	561.6	543.14	508.67	488.74	487.62	488.34	482.4(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	0	37	-106	0.01	57%	-0.12	-55.1	3.72%	0	-1.4	32	0

6	Nov_3_2009	562.25	549.38	517.2	491.9	492.75	482.22	493.92(4.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-144	-140	-134	-174	0	57%	-0.25	-56.7	3.71%	0	-1.3	31	0
7	Nov_2_2009	563.65	554.53	523.85	498.53	500.58	486.9	470.88(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-318	-180	-340	-252	0.01	55%	-0.34	-58.4	3.68%	0	-2.1	27	0
8	Oct_30_2009	565.57	560.06	535.05	508.03	513.72	503.28	479.52(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-237	-110	-248	-205	0.01	55%	-0.35	-63.8	3.68%	0	-2.3	25	0
9	Oct_29_2009	567.58	564.51	544.49	521.28	524.16	514.26	516.96(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-233	-120	-246	-194	0	60%	-0.19	-73.2	3.59%	0	-1.6	29	0
10	Oct_28_2009	568.67	568.02	549.8	531.94	535.77	524.16	498.24(-5.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-243	-130	-260	-192	0	58%	-0.35	-72.3	3.57%	0	-2.4	23	0

11	Oct_27_2009	570.66	574.03	558.75	546.34	548.46	534.06	527.04(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-260	-170	-284	-187	0	62%	-0.1	-73.9	3.53%	0	-1.9	25	0
12	Oct_26_2009	571.24	578.62	564.01	553.25	558.9	547.38	518.4(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-276	-110	-305	-190	0.01	62%	-0.1	-71.4	3.52%	0	-2.6	28	0
13	Oct_23_2009	571.81	582.9	572.04	565.92	567.45	562.86	545.76(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-143	-50	-156	-105	0	69%	0.01	-67	3.48%	0	-1.8	44	0
14	Oct_22_2009	571.74	586.8	577.57	570.82	572.38	570.42	570.24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-23	-20	-20	-33	0	73%	0.07	-59.5	3.5%	0	-0.8	57	0
15	Oct_21_2009	571.33	589.57	580.34	570.53	572.02	572.04	570.24(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	10	-38	-37	0.01	73%	0.06	-49.2	3.52%	0	-0.8	47	0

16	Oct_20_2009	570.98	593.34	583.82	573.41	572.29	574.35	561.6(-3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	20	7	-16	0	73%	0.07	-38.4	3.52%	0	-1.4	37	0
17	Oct_19_2009	570.59	595.57	587.31	576.58	574.99	572.01	581.76(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-40	6	-18	0	73%	0.17	-29	3.51%	0	-0.6	40	0
18	Oct_16_2009	569.63	596.83	586.67	579.46	576.9	570.24	570.24(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-152	-90	-172	-92	0	73%	0.2	-18.5	3.51%	0	-1.2	44	0
19	Oct_15_2009	568.47	599	586	585.5	583.47	577.98	568.8(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-121	-80	-133	-83	0	76%	0.16	9.7	3.52%	0	-1.4	38	0
20	Oct_14_2009	567.55	601.28	587.67	591.55	589.14	583.56	584.64(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-115	-80	-126	-82	0.01	76%	0.22	39.8	3.6%	0	-0.8	39	0

21	Oct_13_2009	566.3	602.24	590.46	595.87	594.81	588.96	577.44(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-104	-70	-112	-79	0	76%	0.02	60.5	3.62%	0	-1.2	33	0
22	Oct_12_2009	566.18	601.94	594.38	599.33	598.32	594.72	596.16(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-50	-67	-53	0.01	76%	0.27	73.2	3.61%	0	-0.3	50	0
23	Oct_9_2009	564.64	600.85	594.6	594.72	596.97	600.66	600.48(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	50	50	-15	0	76%	0.31	62.8	3.61%	0	-0	50	0
24	Oct_8_2009	562.92	596.99	596.55	586.37	589.77	601.92	599.04(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	160	160	201	35	0.01	76%	0.27	51	3.64%	0	0.1	48	0
25	Oct_7_2009	561.42	593.55	599.1	583.2	580.19	593.28	606.24(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	179	140	224	43	0	76%		51.1	3.66%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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