Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $581.7600 (2.54%) ($573.1200 - $581.7600) on Mon. Jul. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.07% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $581.7600(2.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(26%)    EEM(22%)    VWO(22%)    XOP(22%)    EWG(21%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.535% (StdDev 5.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $561.02(3.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $547.21(6.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $558.33(4.2%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   42.8%
Market Cap   $193.737b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.99% (three month std-dev: 5.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2009	471.22	558.33	547.21	561.02	565.34	573.93	581.76(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	124	130	151	42	0	62%	0.4	-6.4	5.07%	0	0.8	51	0
2	Jul_17_2009	469.34	557.1	543.57	552.1	553.19	566.55	567.36(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	133	170	167	30	0	62%	0.36	-31.6	5.08%	0	0.4	45	0
3	Jul_16_2009	467.65	556.99	544.6	543.17	542.34	556.74	574.56(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	191	180	239	48	0	62%	0.37	-58	5.08%	0	0.6	48	0
4	Jul_15_2009	465.94	555.39	546.92	531.07	531.54	539.82	558.72(6.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	118	110	154	8	0.01	62%	0.28	-82.9	5.07%	0	0.1	51	0
5	Jul_14_2009	464.64	554.84	550.58	526.18	525.96	527.94	522.72(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	30	19	-42	0	60%	0.32	-110.4	5.01%	0	-1.2	49	0

6	Jul_13_2009	463.15	560.1	555.91	531.36	529.92	523.26	537.12(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-100	-49	-53	0	60%	0.24	-88.1	5%	0	-0.7	58	0
7	Jul_10_2009	462.05	565.9	561.03	533.95	536.49	523.98	522.72(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-175	-150	-198	-105	0	60%	0.19	-62.6	5%	0	-1.2	45	0
8	Jul_9_2009	461.17	573.35	567.36	546.34	547.02	536.58	514.08(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-198	-130	-230	-100	0.01	65%	0.13	-33.8	5.04%	0	-1.4	42	0
9	Jul_8_2009	460.56	578.98	572.71	565.06	562.77	549	534.24(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-146	-180	-176	-54	0.01	65%	0.09	-13.2	5.27%	0	-1.1	51	0
10	Jul_7_2009	460.14	586.7	574.22	578.59	577.98	557.46	548.64(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-194	-250	-237	-63	0.01	65%	0.2	11.1	5.25%	0	-0.8	53	0

11	Jul_6_2009	459.23	588.75	571.8	583.78	587.07	576.54	550.08(-5.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-205	-110	-246	-82	0.01	65%	-0.06	20.7	5.31%	0	-0.8	39	0
12	Jul_2_2009	459.52	590.29	573.16	591.55	593.19	598.5	584.64(-3.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	70	19	15	0	71%	0.12	35	5.22%	0	-0.1	39	0
13	Jul_1_2009	458.96	588.3	571.32	591.26	591.48	597.6	607.68(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	126	70	152	48	0.01	71%	0.19	42.4	5.28%	0	0.4	39	0
14	Jun_30_2009	458.08	584.62	564.66	581.76	581.94	587.88	601.92(4.76%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	59	70	80	-6	0.01	71%	0.07	41.3	5.24%	0	0.4	48	0
15	Jun_29_2009	457.77	581.47	558.88	569.66	573.66	585.36	574.56(-2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	128	160	173	-8	0.03	71%	0.01	40.6	5.23%	0	-0.1	37	0

16	Jun_26_2009	457.74	579.23	563.71	557.86	560.56	576	588.96(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	150	210	199	3	0.02	62%	0.11	38.7	5.65%	0	0.2	53	0
17	Jun_25_2009	457.24	574.55	569.65	552.1	547.15	561.96	583.2(4.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	124	160	166	-3	0.01	62%	0.13	37.1	5.65%	0	0.1	54	0
18	Jun_24_2009	456.64	568.71	577.95	548.93	544.36	545.13	560.16(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	81	-20	111	-8	0.01	58%	0.07	34.5	5.65%	0	-0.1	56	0
19	Jun_23_2009	456.33	565.12	584.24	545.47	545.26	532.35	541.44(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-107	-170	-113	-87	0.01	62%	0.02	33.3	5.72%	0	-0.4	56	0
20	Jun_22_2009	456.24	561.76	599.13	546.62	547.83	543.6	515.52(-7.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-142	-50	-162	-81	0.01	62%	-0.09	34.4	5.9%	0	-0.7	53	0

21	Jun_19_2009	456.66	559.09	607.27	569.95	552.69	558.18	560.16(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-20	-66	-11	0.02	61%	-0.02	44.6	5.97%	0	0	59	0
22	Jun_18_2009	456.73	553.31	609.65	590.11	573.66	552.06	567.36(4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-76	-350	-104	8	0.02	61%	-0.07	50.9	5.97%	0	0.2	64	0
23	Jun_17_2009	457.04	547.95	608.01	612.29	600.12	547.2	542.88(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-451	-680	-557	-134	0.01	61%	-0.02	61.8	5.98%	0	-0.1	66	0
24	Jun_16_2009	457.13	543.91	608.27	628.7	629.26	595.26	547.2(-13.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-515	-380	-640	-138	0.07	61%	0.01	68.6	6.01%	0	0	62	0
25	Jun_15_2009	457.1	539.44	608.54	658.37	658.15	653.04	632.16(-4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-103	-60	-174	110	0	67%		78.9	5.74%	0	1.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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