Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $678.2400 (8.53%) ($631.8700 - $698.4000) on Thu. Jun. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.71% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $678.2400(8.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 18.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(26%)    EEM(22%)    VWO(22%)    XOP(22%)    EWG(21%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.855% (StdDev 5.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $631.58(7.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $580.93(16.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $516.93(31.21%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   101.3%
Market Cap   $225.866b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 15.6% (three month std-dev: 5.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2009	455.22	516.93	580.93	631.58	651.58	663.26	678.24(8.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-7	220	-65	167	0.01	70%	0.2	66.2	5.71%	0	2	81	0
2	Jun_10_2009	454.29	502.98	558.6	603.65	626.49	687.6	624.96(-10.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	534	800	581	394	0.02	70%	0.18	55.1	5.91%	0	1.6	73	0
3	Jun_9_2009	453.48	493.08	543.82	584.64	593.64	639.9	695.52(18.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	803	590	899	513	0.03	75%	0.55	46.9	5.79%	0	2.9	83	0
4	Jun_8_2009	450.99	480.42	519.25	552.67	548.28	565.38	584.64(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	234	190	237	226	0	71%	0.03	44	5.39%	0	2.1	77	0
5	Jun_5_2009	450.84	474.47	505.17	540.29	537.21	547.38	574.56(6.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	233	120	237	219	0	63%	-0.07	44.6	5.45%	0	2.3	80	0

6	Jun_4_2009	451.17	468.57	490.75	522.72	523.44	531.18	538.56(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	127	110	121	143	0	61%	-0.11	40.5	6.04%	0	1.9	74	0
7	Jun_3_2009	451.68	465.2	481.86	506.02	508.23	527.04	529.92(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	174	270	179	157	0	61%	-0.29	32.2	6.04%	0	1.9	77	0
8	Jun_2_2009	452.98	462.54	473.75	495.65	492.39	515.7	535.68(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	278	310	304	200	0	55%	-0.08	32.9	6.06%	0	2.3	68	0
9	Jun_1_2009	453.33	459.08	464.57	480.67	476.83	489.42	522.72(7.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	213	160	234	149	0	55%	-0.26	27.6	6.35%	0	2.4	59	0
10	May_29_2009	454.49	455.41	454.05	465.12	463.33	469.08	486.72(6.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	76	80	81	59	0	53%	-0.34	14	6.34%	0	1.4	51	0

11	May_28_2009	456.03	453.78	448	454.18	455.95	464.24	455.04(-4.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	72	140	83	40	0	51%	-0.33	4.8	6.34%	0	0.1	47	0
12	May_27_2009	457.52	454.42	443.54	453.6	449.56	457.58	478.08(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	75	100	90	28	0	51%	-0.38	6.9	6.35%	0	1.1	48	0
13	May_26_2009	459.27	452.49	438.87	448.42	447.84	447.66	460.8(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	41	-10	55	-2	0	51%	-0.7	-7	6.34%	0	0.4	43	0
14	May_22_2009	462.5	451.88	438.63	446.11	446.67	441.54	444.96(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-80	-34	-42	0	51%	-0.04	-10.3	6.64%	0	-0.3	43	0
15	May_21_2009	462.69	452.35	441.47	441.22	444.15	448.02	432(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	80	-12	-35	0	51%	-0.28	-17.7	6.69%	0	-1	46	0

16	May_20_2009	463.99	452.78	444.93	440.35	440.64	451.8	452.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	107	180	135	24	0	51%	-0.16	-26.1	6.71%	0	-0	50	0
17	May_19_2009	464.73	452.98	447.38	431.42	431.1	440.28	452.16(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	83	150	109	6	0	51%	-0.22	-38.4	6.72%	0	-0	46	0
18	May_18_2009	465.77	453.96	450.41	427.97	425.16	429.48	449.28(6.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	21	50	35	-20	0	51%	-0.22	-37.8	6.74%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	May_15_2009	466.8	453.95	452.93	430.85	429.39	421.92	420.48(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-130	-41	-43	0	49%	-0.1	-32.7	6.72%	0	-1.6	46	0
20	May_14_2009	467.28	456	456.92	442.37	438.66	420.84	427.68(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-162	-310	-186	-89	0	49%	-0.22	-12	6.77%	0	-1.5	46	0

21	May_13_2009	468.3	458.06	460.31	450.43	452.79	436.86	407.52(-6.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-183	-230	-214	-88	0.01	49%	-0.33	22.3	6.8%	0	-2.8	47	0
22	May_12_2009	469.86	460.94	467.07	465.12	466.47	456.48	434.88(-6.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-113	-140	-137	-39	0	49%	-0.24	88.3	6.76%	0	-1.8	47	0
23	May_11_2009	471	461.8	468.3	475.49	475.47	468.72	463.68(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-100	-80	-10	0	49%	-0.1	134.7	6.71%	0	0.1	48	0
24	May_8_2009	471.47	460.75	467.09	478.08	480.06	476.46	478.08(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-24	-40	-36	11	0	49%	-0.12	154.1	6.69%	0	1.2	58	0
25	May_7_2009	472.02	458.29	464.63	473.76	479.07	482.22	468(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	80	13	25	0	49%		151.7	6.74%	0	0.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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