Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $381.6000 (8.61%) ($361.4400 - $385.9200) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.24% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $381.6000(8.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(28%)    VWO(24%)    EEM(23%)    SPY(23%)    XLY(23%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -3.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(1%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.62% (StdDev 7.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $350.78(8.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $376.93(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $372.77(2.37%)
To recent high   -41.8%
To recent low   33.8%
Market Cap   $127.08b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 11.18% (three month std-dev: 7.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2009	495.27	372.77	376.93	350.78	352.8	360.54	381.6(8.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	47	170	71	-24	0.01	50%	-0.31	-0.8	7.24%	0	0.2	54	0
2	Apr_1_2009	496.79	368.34	381	355.68	350.28	351.18	351.36(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-30	-28	-51	0	47%	-0.43	-10	7.25%	0	-0.4	47	0
3	Mar_31_2009	498.92	368.84	387.53	367.49	365.13	345.07	345.6(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-400	-89	-53	0.01	47%	-0.48	-7.5	7.31%	0	-0.6	50	0
4	Mar_30_2009	501.33	369.67	392.9	378.14	377.64	349.39	336.96(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-283	-530	-335	-125	0.04	47%	-0.59	-8.2	7.35%	0	-0.8	59	0
5	Mar_27_2009	504.29	370.14	397.53	396.86	396.99	385.2	338.4(-16.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-156	-210	-197	-31	0.02	47%	-0.55	0.2	7.32%	0	-0.8	63	0

6	Mar_26_2009	507.09	373.12	402.21	405.5	409.05	405.9	406.08(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-30	-15	71	0.01	53%	-0.63	2.5	7.08%	0	0.8	70	0
7	Mar_25_2009	510.33	372.54	400.17	409.82	407.07	408.78	410.4(2.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	10	-36	95	0	53%	-0.73	1.7	7.1%	0	0.9	74	0
8	Mar_24_2009	514.08	371.98	396.03	410.98	409.77	412.2	398.88(-7.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	74	30	53	138	0	53%	-0.65	-2.6	7.15%	0	0.6	57	0
9	Mar_23_2009	517.43	373.09	388.69	410.11	408.6	405.36	430.56(12.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-70	24	120	0	56%	-0.52	-9.8	7.12%	0	1.4	61	0
10	Mar_20_2009	520.11	370.06	375.53	398.88	401.4	407.34	381.6(-10.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	120	-15	85	0.01	51%	-0.55	-30.7	6.94%	0	0.3	59	0

11	Mar_19_2009	523.01	372.06	368.61	397.73	397.54	411.84	427.68(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	153	250	159	135	0	56%	-0.35	-39.3	6.86%	0	1.3	54	0
12	Mar_18_2009	524.84	371.83	354.41	389.09	389.89	395.47	416.16(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	126	110	138	88	0	56%	-0.28	-50.9	6.87%	0	1	52	0
13	Mar_17_2009	526.31	373.09	347.8	379.3	380.35	383.23	394.56(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	60	32	21	0.01	56%	-0.22	-55.5	6.84%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Mar_16_2009	527.45	377.26	343.49	364.03	374.13	384.3	374.4(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	113	270	141	27	0	56%	-0.34	-67.2	6.8%	0	-0.1	43	0
15	Mar_13_2009	529.25	383.5	339.68	348.19	356.67	377.46	375.84(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	153	480	197	21	0	56%	-0.4	-69.2	6.94%	0	-0.1	52	0

16	Mar_12_2009	531.36	390.32	340.81	334.37	336.42	363.96	384.48(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	230	590	294	37	0	56%	-0.45	-67.9	7%	0	-0.1	47	0
17	Mar_11_2009	533.76	396.93	341.42	314.5	318.78	335.88	367.2(15.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	172	420	235	-17	0	56%	-0.65	-68.5	6.98%	0	-0.4	44	0
18	Mar_10_2009	537.24	404.2	344.51	312.77	309.6	308.87	318.24(7.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-50	-13	-133	0	49%	-0.84	-66.6	6.68%	0	-1.1	34	0
19	Mar_9_2009	541.8	416.55	355.27	320.83	322.74	301.67	295.2(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-146	-440	-133	-183	0	44%	-0.85	-59.9	6.62%	0	-1.5	27	0
20	Mar_6_2009	546.42	430.32	364.04	329.76	335.79	310.32	306.72(7.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-324	-480	-339	-278	0	44%	-0.65	-57.1	6.63%	0	-1.5	27	0

21	Mar_5_2009	549.98	442.18	376.38	347.9	351.54	343.8	285.12(-20.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-236	-120	-237	-234	0.01	38%	-0.43	-55.8	6.59%	0	-2	21	0
22	Mar_4_2009	552.35	454.67	392.06	371.23	370.35	361.26	358.56(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-71	-180	-43	-156	0	37%	-0.46	-58.8	6.11%	0	-1.3	25	0
23	Mar_3_2009	554.9	463.45	401.53	381.02	380.79	359.28	358.56(5.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-225	-400	-228	-217	0	45%	-0.66	-59.3	6.79%	0	-1.5	27	0
24	Mar_2_2009	558.59	472.45	414.58	395.42	396.27	379.44	339.84(-14.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-216	-290	-218	-208	0	45%	-0.48	-58.6	6.95%	0	-2	19	0
25	Feb_27_2009	561.26	483.63	431.84	402.91	407.52	402.3	397.44(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-116	-60	-100	-163	0	54%		-62.1	6.79%	0	-1.4	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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