Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $712.8000 (12.24%) ($612.0000 - $720.0000) on Wed. Dec. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.52% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $712.8000(12.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 7.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(32%)    EEM(28%)    SPY(28%)    VWO(28%)    QQQ(27%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -5.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.76% (StdDev 11.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 16.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $631.87(12.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $533.69(33.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $551.16(29.33%)
To recent high   -31.8%
To recent low   110.6%
Market Cap   $237.375b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 17.87% (three month std-dev: 11.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2008	853.35	551.16	533.69	631.87	623.59	641.88	712.8(12.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	210	170	229	154	0.01	57%	-0.35	-8.6	11.52%	0	1.6	62	0
2	Dec_2_2008	856.35	551.96	511.81	588.38	592.63	610.74	635.04(8.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	101	240	109	76	0.01	55%	-0.43	-10.7	11.42%	0	0.8	57	0
3	Dec_1_2008	860.03	554.87	497.96	565.06	563.11	605.3	583.2(-7.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	208	510	241	109	0.01	55%	-0.5	-7.6	11.4%	0	0.3	53	0
4	Nov_28_2008	864.32	559.3	492.38	523.87	528.1	574.52	627.84(4.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	351	640	418	148	0	52%	-0.61	-11.9	11.43%	0	0.6	53	0
5	Nov_26_2008	869.6	560.01	485.86	465.98	466.56	520.92	600.48(21.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	251	820	310	72	0.01	52%	-0.53	-22.7	11.45%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Nov_25_2008	874.2	559.75	476.74	421.06	420.75	481.68	495.36(-4.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	274	1010	349	49	0	50%	-0.57	-33.4	11.13%	0	-0.6	40	0
7	Nov_24_2008	879.21	563.3	481.83	425.09	406.35	412.2	518.4(37.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	141	-30	196	-26	0.01	50%	-0.41	-38	11.13%	0	-0.4	39	0
8	Nov_21_2008	882.85	563.21	486.43	423.94	421.02	359.82	377.28(11.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-322	-1040	-341	-264	0.01	45%	-0.74	-47.3	10.06%	0	-1.7	27	0
9	Nov_20_2008	889.47	572.92	510.86	457.06	462.6	400.5	338.4(-9.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-529	-900	-588	-352	0.01	43%	-0.71	-51.3	9.94%	0	-2.3	24	0
10	Nov_19_2008	895.87	586.32	539.02	507.17	514.62	482.22	375.84(-27.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-289	-400	-311	-221	0.01	46%	-0.7	-50.2	9.89%	0	-2.4	30	0

11	Nov_18_2008	902.18	599.36	573.43	537.41	542.43	524.7	515.52(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-136	-200	-138	-131	0	49%	-0.56	-43.3	9.39%	0	-1.1	45	0
12	Nov_17_2008	907.3	608.62	597.74	545.47	547.47	547.02	512.64(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-102	10	-104	-95	0	49%	-0.65	-34.2	9.4%	0	-1.2	50	0
13	Nov_14_2008	913.25	620.58	618.39	558.43	556.74	560.16	542.88(-7.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	13	30	24	-19	0	49%	-0.56	-27.9	9.38%	0	-1	59	0
14	Nov_13_2008	918.4	630.22	633.25	573.98	567.9	547.92	588.96(11.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-78	-280	-89	-44	0.01	49%	-0.57	-15.9	9.34%	0	-0.5	57	0
15	Nov_12_2008	923.62	633.33	640.67	577.73	586.08	553.32	527.04(-5.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-252	-350	-297	-117	0.01	47%	-0.59	-5.2	9.21%	0	-1.3	49	0

16	Nov_11_2008	929.12	633.88	650.13	615.74	615.42	587.88	555.84(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-269	-310	-323	-107	0	47%	-0.59	4.9	9.2%	0	-1	48	0
17	Nov_10_2008	934.65	636.87	652.37	658.66	658.44	618.84	577.44(-6.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-212	-420	-260	-69	0	47%	-0.56	13.3	9.2%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Nov_7_2008	939.9	643.58	647.4	687.17	695.34	642.96	620.64(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-306	-490	-368	-118	0	47%	-0.52	19.3	9.19%	0	-0.3	42	0
19	Nov_6_2008	944.86	642.73	641.31	700.7	714.96	698.04	607.68(-15.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-232	-100	-278	-92	0	47%	-0.57	12.6	9.26%	0	-0.4	42	0
20	Nov_5_2008	950.25	637.63	639.37	711.07	717.03	747.72	717.12(-6.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	150	320	171	88	0	49%	-0.49	-0.7	9.07%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Nov_4_2008	954.97	630.09	628.35	688.32	693.81	731.88	770.4(7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	349	410	406	178	0.01	48%	-0.44	-23	9.05%	0	1.6	69	0
22	Nov_3_2008	959.2	626.72	618.91	645.7	651.69	686.34	720(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	280	400	329	132	0	48%	-0.45	-41.6	9.05%	0	1.1	59	0
23	Oct_31_2008	963.58	629.03	619.9	602.5	608.22	655.74	688.32(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	284	580	340	115	0	48%	-0.47	-50.1	9.03%	0	0.7	51	0
24	Oct_30_2008	968.15	632.32	622.96	574.27	573.66	617.04	659.52(9.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	338	530	405	137	0	48%	-0.5	-59.4	9.01%	0	0.3	57	0
25	Oct_29_2008	972.97	638.23	621.19	558.14	547.92	560.7	603.36(8.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	135	110	164	46	0	48%		-63	8.93%	0	-0.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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