Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $603.3600 (8.27%) ($557.2800 - $633.6000) on Wed. Oct. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.93% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $603.3600(8.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(34%)    VWO(31%)    EEM(30%)    SPY(30%)    XLY(30%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -4.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.465% (StdDev 8.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

Resistance Level   $638.23
5 Day Moving Average   $558.14(8.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $621.19(-2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $638.23(-5.46%)
To recent high   -52.3%
To recent low   24.3%
Market Cap   $200.93b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 16.88% (three month std-dev: 8.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.51%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.93%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.29%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2008	972.97	638.23	621.19	558.14	547.92	560.7	603.36(8.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	135	110	164	46	0	48%	-0.62	-63	8.93%	0	-0.3	61	0
2	Oct_28_2008	979	650.38	613.49	560.45	549.63	530.28	557.28(10.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-123	-300	-137	-79	0	47%	-0.71	-61.4	8.92%	0	-0.8	54	0
3	Oct_27_2008	985.96	665.37	618.93	589.25	579.06	535.14	504(-7.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-325	-580	-377	-170	0	45%	-0.82	-60.4	8.82%	0	-1.4	45	0
4	Oct_24_2008	994.08	678.16	640.31	639.65	628.2	568.98	547.2(-5.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-419	-710	-494	-195	0	45%	-0.93	-57.8	8.85%	0	-1.1	44	0
5	Oct_23_2008	1003.46	695.51	646.79	677.95	680.31	622.98	578.88(-5.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-365	-580	-432	-165	0	45%	-0.78	-51.7	8.87%	0	-0.9	46	0

6	Oct_22_2008	1011.37	714.25	639.83	691.78	699.39	687.42	614.88(-12.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-190	-90	-220	-101	0	46%	-0.73	-47.4	8.85%	0	-0.7	47	0
7	Oct_21_2008	1018.85	730.67	636.17	671.33	682.56	737.64	701.28(-7.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	240	620	297	67	0	48%	-0.71	-47.4	8.75%	0	-0.2	47	0
8	Oct_20_2008	1026.12	743.05	637.25	651.74	641.88	711.36	756(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	459	710	561	151	0.01	48%	-0.69	-46.3	8.71%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Oct_17_2008	1033.22	754.26	638.09	643.1	619.65	627.48	738.72(14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	257	-20	325	54	0.01	48%	-0.66	-40.9	8.7%	0	-0.1	53	0
10	Oct_16_2008	1040.07	768.25	639.28	614.59	620.28	572.4	648(26.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-173	-510	-173	-171	0.01	47%	-0.75	-41.4	8.52%	0	-0.7	45	0

11	Oct_15_2008	1047.93	783.79	652.66	582.05	607.32	611.82	512.64(-15.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-331	180	-349	-276	0.01	42%	-0.85	-45	7.92%	0	-1.6	35	0
12	Oct_14_2008	1056.9	803.65	687.64	593.28	604.26	668.16	603.36(-15.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	328	800	427	32	0.01	44%	-0.44	-46.7	7.72%	0	-1.3	39	0
13	Oct_13_2008	1061.53	819.69	713.49	618.62	600.57	602.82	712.8(19.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	234	-60	315	-11	0.01	47%	-0.59	-43.8	7.49%	0	-0.7	42	0
14	Oct_10_2008	1067.8	826.82	716.88	635.04	624.42	540.36	596.16(22.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-619	-990	-682	-431	0.01	43%	-0.69	-42.5	7.07%	0	-1.6	32	0
15	Oct_9_2008	1075.24	843.82	747.18	671.04	684.9	598.32	485.28(-14.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-1029	-820	-1162	-630	0.01	36%	-0.78	-38.7	6.45%	0	-2.7	19	0

16	Oct_8_2008	1083.64	865.58	796.55	733.54	745.38	708.48	568.8(-22.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-669	-300	-748	-433	0.01	41%	-0.7	-35.1	6.24%	0	-2.8	29	0
17	Oct_7_2008	1091.33	882.31	836.58	792.86	790.92	771.48	730.08(-8.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-220	-180	-228	-196	0.01	45%	-0.54	-29.7	5.7%	0	-1.8	43	0
18	Oct_6_2008	1097.28	888.79	860.55	820.51	814.05	782.28	794.88(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-299	-300	-327	-215	0.01	47%	-0.45	-28	5.63%	0	-1.2	45	0
19	Oct_3_2008	1102.23	893.13	881.28	811.3	829.4	810.36	776.16(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-351	-90	-391	-229	0.01	48%	-0.48	-40.5	5.67%	0	-1.6	50	0
20	Oct_2_2008	1107.58	899.01	907.96	836.35	842.18	845.82	797.76(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-151	50	-164	-111	0.01	48%	-0.45	-48.3	5.71%	0	-1.5	46	0

21	Oct_1_2008	1112.62	904.51	925.41	870.34	866.48	848.43	865.44(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-160	-60	-41	0	50%	-0.41	-61.8	5.64%	0	-0.6	52	0
22	Sep_30_2008	1117.2	907.58	928.76	888.48	892.85	838.53	868.32(15.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-498	-410	-585	-238	0.01	48%	-0.37	-74	5.65%	0	-0.6	53	0
23	Sep_29_2008	1121.35	910.39	933.91	908.64	924.93	884.52	748.8(-16.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-683	-250	-809	-306	0.01	44%	-0.45	-81.8	5.34%	0	-2.5	48	0
24	Sep_26_2008	1126.4	923.38	946.59	960.48	960.93	947.16	901.44(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-273	-100	-337	-79	0.01	49%	-0.29	-88.8	4.96%	0	-0.4	55	0
25	Sep_25_2008	1129.69	932.76	948.98	989.28	984.42	965.34	967.68(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-127	-150	-174	16	0.01	50%		-69.1	4.92%	0	0.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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