Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $868.3200 (15.96%) ($786.9600 - $871.2000) on Tue. Sep. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.65% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $868.3200(15.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(37%)    SPY(33%)    EEM(32%)    QQQ(32%)    VWO(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.825% (StdDev 5.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.1%

Resistance Level   $907.58
5 Day Moving Average   $888.48(-2.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $928.76(-6.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $907.58(-4.33%)
To recent high   -31.3%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $289.166b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.95% (three month std-dev: 5.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2008	1117.2	907.58	928.76	888.48	892.85	838.53	868.32(15.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-498	-410	-585	-238	0.01	48%	-0.37	-74	5.65%	0	-0.6	53	0
2	Sep_29_2008	1121.35	910.39	933.91	908.64	924.93	884.52	748.8(-16.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-683	-250	-809	-306	0.01	44%	-0.45	-81.8	5.34%	0	-2.5	48	0
3	Sep_26_2008	1126.4	923.38	946.59	960.48	960.93	947.16	901.44(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-273	-100	-337	-79	0.01	49%	-0.29	-88.8	4.96%	0	-0.4	55	0
4	Sep_25_2008	1129.69	932.76	948.98	989.28	984.42	965.34	967.68(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-127	-150	-174	16	0.01	50%	-0.24	-69.1	4.92%	0	0.5	59	0
5	Sep_24_2008	1132.46	945.65	940.73	988.42	997.38	974.7	956.16(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-180	-130	-237	-10	0.01	50%	-0.28	-45.4	4.94%	0	0.1	57	0

6	Sep_23_2008	1135.6	956.76	932.42	974.59	989.28	1003.5	969.12(-3.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-9	150	-31	57	0	50%	-0.25	-41.6	4.95%	0	0.1	54	0
7	Sep_22_2008	1138.47	965.94	919.61	962.78	967.59	1020.06	1008(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	615	390	708	334	0	50%	-0.22	-38.8	4.92%	0	0.3	57	0
8	Sep_19_2008	1141.02	975.19	905	929.95	928.89	975.06	1045.44(8.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	725	340	850	350	0.01	50%	-0.2	-39.3	4.91%	0	0.5	52	0
9	Sep_18_2008	1143.36	982.21	886.8	904.32	891.54	915.12	963.36(8.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	324	140	392	119	0.01	48%	-0.27	-39.5	4.8%	0	-0.1	37	0
10	Sep_17_2008	1146.5	992.87	878.99	887.9	883.98	882.72	887.04(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	154	-20	209	-11	0.01	45%	-0.33	-38.9	4.69%	0	-0.7	23	0

11	Sep_16_2008	1150.32	1006.83	882.18	884.16	876.24	867.96	910.08(7.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-163	-90	-153	-191	0.01	45%	-0.31	-38.2	4.68%	0	-0.6	30	0
12	Sep_15_2008	1153.9	1016.37	882.61	869.47	872.46	885.24	843.84(-8.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	110	37	-157	0.01	42%	-0.39	-41.5	4.59%	0	-1.1	26	0
13	Sep_12_2008	1158.42	1031.45	897.5	874.37	867.6	884.52	917.28(4.08%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	212	110	307	-73	0	44%	-0.34	-40.8	4.49%	0	-0.8	27	0
14	Sep_11_2008	1162.4	1042.78	914.1	866.59	863.64	859.68	881.28(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	-40	71	-185	0.01	43%	-0.36	-39.7	4.45%	0	-1.1	23	0
15	Sep_10_2008	1166.61	1055.35	949.42	869.47	867.96	850.68	868.32(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-307	-140	-302	-322	0.01	43%	-0.24	-41.3	4.49%	0	-1.3	24	0

16	Sep_9_2008	1169.44	1068.9	981.85	880.7	884.16	867.6	836.64(-3.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-314	-120	-313	-315	0.01	42%	-0.3	-42.4	4.48%	0	-1.7	24	0
17	Sep_8_2008	1172.97	1083.72	1015.85	897.7	900.18	885.24	868.32(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-327	-110	-334	-304	0.01	42%	-0.25	-43.2	4.49%	0	-1.7	35	0
18	Sep_5_2008	1175.91	1095.37	1051.32	923.9	922.5	900.72	878.4(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-408	-170	-439	-316	0.01	42%	-0.2	-46.3	4.69%	0	-1.9	33	0
19	Sep_4_2008	1178.26	1104.38	1085.93	969.41	963.99	915.12	895.68(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-572	-370	-642	-361	0.01	42%	-0.23	-46.7	4.82%	0	-2	34	0
20	Sep_3_2008	1180.95	1117.47	1117.27	1043.14	1013.85	944.28	924.48(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-1067	-560	-1238	-552	0.01	41%	-0.16	-35.5	4.81%	0	-2.1	38	0

21	Sep_2_2008	1182.83	1129.47	1143.83	1099.58	1094.58	1012.86	921.6(-7.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-938	-540	-1098	-459	0.01	41%	-0	-26.4	4.83%	0	-2.6	37	0
22	Aug_29_2008	1182.85	1139.95	1164.65	1150.56	1150.83	1083.42	999.36(-9.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-1045	-410	-1232	-483	0.01	42%	-0.06	-13.4	4.74%	0	-2.2	44	0
23	Aug_28_2008	1183.56	1150.39	1180.63	1195.49	1188.18	1176.3	1105.92(-12.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-534	-90	-642	-211	0.02	45%	0.04	7.4	4.6%	0	-0.8	57	0
24	Aug_27_2008	1183.14	1154.66	1185.36	1217.95	1215.55	1218.24	1264.32(4.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	264	10	287	193	0.01	51%	0.18	25.8	4.34%	0	2	80	0
25	Aug_26_2008	1180.99	1150.72	1170.6	1204.13	1205.16	1200.06	1206.72(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-81	-30	-115	23	0	49%		20.7	4.35%	0	1.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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