Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1476.0000 (8.35%) ($1314.7200 - $1477.4400) on Thu. Jun. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.93% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $1476.0000(8.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(37%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(33%)    VWO(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.965% (StdDev 3.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1414.66(4.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1398.48(5.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1345.96(9.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   84%
Market Cap   $491.535b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 3.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.59%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.98%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.91%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2008	1146.04	1345.96	1398.48	1414.66	1401.57	1387.44	1476(8.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	144	-100	151	121	0.01	64%	0.21	60.2	3.93%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Jun_4_2008	1143.67	1333.84	1381.69	1402.85	1408.41	1371.78	1362.24(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-583	-170	-703	-222	0.01	61%	0.09	56.7	3.82%	0	0.4	62	0
3	Jun_3_2008	1142.63	1329.11	1378.46	1415.52	1424.16	1415.7	1355.04(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-335	-20	-415	-96	0.01	61%	-0.01	62.2	3.82%	0	0.4	57	0
4	Jun_2_2008	1142.76	1324.08	1375.16	1424.74	1427.67	1445.04	1421.28(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	296	90	324	213	0.01	64%	0.08	64.8	3.77%	0	1.4	72	0
5	May_30_2008	1141.83	1315.68	1361.36	1406.02	1408.5	1432.62	1458.72(2.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	485	130	548	296	0.01	64%	0.07	57.7	3.78%	0	2.2	80	0

6	May_29_2008	1141.06	1305.81	1344.87	1379.23	1377.9	1410.3	1416.96(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	475	160	538	284	0.01	64%	0	50.9	3.8%	0	2	80	0
7	May_28_2008	1141.06	1298.04	1331.94	1357.63	1354.05	1384.38	1425.6(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	584	150	669	329	0.01	64%	0.03	43.4	3.82%	0	2.6	77	0
8	May_27_2008	1140.68	1289.25	1319.83	1336.9	1334.7	1345.5	1401.12(5.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	350	50	396	213	0.01	64%	-0.27	52.6	3.81%	0	2.8	69	0
9	May_23_2008	1143.75	1281.68	1306.6	1319.33	1321.65	1323.72	1327.68(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	20	36	62	0	62%	-0.11	66.7	3.72%	0	1.6	64	0
10	May_22_2008	1145.02	1279.35	1298.59	1309.82	1317.33	1323.9	1324.8(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	114	50	122	88	0.01	59%	-0.09	82	3.75%	0	1.6	62	0

11	May_21_2008	1146.06	1278.06	1288.91	1304.93	1309.5	1319.58	1308.96(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	154	60	172	100	0.01	59%	0.15	117.2	3.83%	0	1.2	56	0
12	May_20_2008	1144.38	1277	1282.07	1301.47	1302.46	1310.76	1321.92(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	149	50	168	92	0	59%	-0.1	97.6	3.86%	0	1.2	58	0
13	May_19_2008	1145.48	1268.64	1275.97	1300.03	1299.76	1299.42	1313.28(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	81	-0	88	60	0.01	59%	-0.16	95.9	3.86%	0	1.1	59	0
14	May_16_2008	1147.26	1262.27	1269.41	1292.26	1297.6	1294.17	1280.16(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-10	-18	12	0	59%	-0.14	94.6	3.85%	0	0.4	55	0
15	May_15_2008	1148.89	1256.52	1267.2	1285.06	1290.4	1300.11	1300.32(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	112	70	128	62	0	59%	-0.17	85.5	3.88%	0	0.8	51	0

16	May_14_2008	1150.79	1247.45	1264.11	1269.79	1273.14	1301.04	1291.68(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	357	160	421	166	0	59%	0.13	78.9	3.89%	0	0.8	45	0
17	May_13_2008	1149.33	1241.01	1261.67	1259.14	1252.98	1280.7	1314.72(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	459	140	543	205	0	61%	-0.12	75.2	3.92%	0	1.2	52	0
18	May_12_2008	1150.72	1230.96	1255.7	1249.06	1241.73	1245.24	1274.4(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	225	0	267	100	0	61%	-0.52	68.5	3.98%	0	0.6	71	0
19	May_9_2008	1156.77	1221.24	1254	1244.16	1239.84	1225.26	1244.16(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-196	-90	-230	-94	0	61%	-0.48	60.1	3.95%	0	0.3	61	0
20	May_8_2008	1162.3	1211.73	1258.13	1247.04	1248.39	1238.22	1224(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-248	-50	-296	-104	0.01	61%	-0.49	55.6	3.98%	0	0.1	63	0

21	May_7_2008	1168.06	1204.66	1266.42	1257.12	1260.18	1254.42	1238.4(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-63	-20	-87	9	0	61%	-0.33	58.6	3.98%	0	0.4	70	0
22	May_6_2008	1171.95	1196.44	1271.99	1263.74	1264.41	1258.56	1264.32(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-100	-30	-136	10	0	61%	-0.3	63	3.97%	0	0.7	64	0
23	May_5_2008	1175.49	1186.1	1261.53	1263.17	1270.08	1265.94	1249.92(-0.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-33	-10	-60	47	0	61%	-0.35	66.4	4%	0	0.7	68	0
24	May_2_2008	1179.63	1176.64	1255.68	1265.18	1270.8	1270.26	1258.56(-1.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-55	10	-90	51	0	61%	-0.4	72.7	4.01%	0	0.9	72	0
25	May_1_2008	1184.41	1167.75	1246.37	1270.94	1275.99	1274.22	1274.4(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	0	-8	105	0.01	61%		82.4	4.04%	0	1.1	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.