Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1308.9600 (-0.98%) ($1294.5600 - $1366.5600) on Wed. May. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.83% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $1308.9600(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(37%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(33%)    VWO(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.915% (StdDev 3.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1304.93(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1288.91(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1278.06(2.42%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   63.2%
Market Cap   $435.908b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 3.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2008	1146.06	1278.06	1288.91	1304.93	1309.5	1319.58	1308.96(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	154	60	172	100	0.01	59%	0.15	117.2	3.83%	0	1.2	56	NAN
2	May_20_2008	1144.38	1277	1282.07	1301.47	1302.46	1310.76	1321.92(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	149	50	168	92	0	59%	-0.1	97.6	3.86%	0	1.2	58	NAN
3	May_19_2008	1145.48	1268.64	1275.97	1300.03	1299.76	1299.42	1313.28(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	81	-0	88	60	0.01	59%	-0.16	95.9	3.86%	0	1.1	59	NAN
4	May_16_2008	1147.26	1262.27	1269.41	1292.26	1297.6	1294.17	1280.16(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-10	-18	12	0	59%	-0.14	94.6	3.85%	0	0.4	55	NAN
5	May_15_2008	1148.89	1256.52	1267.2	1285.06	1290.4	1300.11	1300.32(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	112	70	128	62	0	59%	-0.17	85.5	3.88%	0	0.8	51	NAN

6	May_14_2008	1150.79	1247.45	1264.11	1269.79	1273.14	1301.04	1291.68(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	357	160	421	166	0	59%	0.13	78.9	3.89%	0	0.8	45	NAN
7	May_13_2008	1149.33	1241.01	1261.67	1259.14	1252.98	1280.7	1314.72(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	459	140	543	205	0	61%	-0.12	75.2	3.92%	0	1.2	52	NAN
8	May_12_2008	1150.72	1230.96	1255.7	1249.06	1241.73	1245.24	1274.4(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	225	0	267	100	0	61%	-0.52	68.5	3.98%	0	0.6	71	NAN
9	May_9_2008	1156.77	1221.24	1254	1244.16	1239.84	1225.26	1244.16(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-196	-90	-230	-94	0	61%	-0.48	60.1	3.95%	0	0.3	61	NAN
10	May_8_2008	1162.3	1211.73	1258.13	1247.04	1248.39	1238.22	1224(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-248	-50	-296	-104	0.01	61%	-0.49	55.6	3.98%	0	0.1	63	NAN

11	May_7_2008	1168.06	1204.66	1266.42	1257.12	1260.18	1254.42	1238.4(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-63	-20	-87	9	0	61%	-0.33	58.6	3.98%	0	0.4	70	NAN
12	May_6_2008	1171.95	1196.44	1271.99	1263.74	1264.41	1258.56	1264.32(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-100	-30	-136	10	0	61%	-0.3	63	3.97%	0	0.7	64	NAN
13	May_5_2008	1175.49	1186.1	1261.53	1263.17	1270.08	1265.94	1249.92(-0.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-33	-10	-60	47	0	61%	-0.35	66.4	4%	0	0.7	68	NAN
14	May_2_2008	1179.63	1176.64	1255.68	1265.18	1270.8	1270.26	1258.56(-1.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-55	10	-90	51	0	61%	-0.4	72.7	4.01%	0	0.9	72	NAN
15	May_1_2008	1184.41	1167.75	1246.37	1270.94	1275.99	1274.22	1274.4(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	0	-8	105	0.01	61%	-0.33	82.4	4.04%	0	1.1	75	NAN

16	Apr_30_2008	1188.39	1155.81	1230.78	1277.57	1281.48	1271.34	1271.52(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-63	-50	-110	79	0.01	61%	-0.38	88.6	4.04%	0	1.2	70	NAN
17	Apr_29_2008	1192.92	1141.52	1219.69	1281.89	1285.44	1277.75	1261.44(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-145	-30	-213	58	0.01	61%	-0.18	90.4	4.04%	0	1.2	70	NAN
18	Apr_28_2008	1195.08	1127.05	1204.94	1258.85	1292.28	1291.61	1260(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	230	80	230	228	0.01	61%	-0.12	81.6	4.05%	0	1.3	71	NAN
19	Apr_25_2008	1196.56	1111.98	1186.39	1243.3	1259.55	1293.12	1287.36(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	233	230	236	225	0.01	61%	-0.12	76.2	4.05%	0	1.7	73	NAN
20	Apr_24_2008	1198.05	1093.87	1161.62	1217.09	1229.49	1292.94	1307.52(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	980	390	1121	557	0.01	61%	-0.06	72	4.05%	0	2.1	70	NAN

21	Apr_23_2008	1198.71	1074.5	1136.9	1177.34	1192.05	1225.98	1293.12(12.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	913	240	1049	505	0.02	63%	-0	73.1	4.05%	0	2.4	73	NAN
22	Apr_22_2008	1198.75	1057.14	1112.75	1150.56	1151.91	1166.04	1146.24(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	159	90	162	149	0.01	58%	-0.14	84.1	3.77%	0	1.2	70	NAN
23	Apr_21_2008	1200.49	1049.21	1103.4	1143.07	1145.25	1158.12	1182.24(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	393	80	435	266	0	58%	-0.11	96.1	3.79%	0	1.8	76	NAN
24	Apr_18_2008	1201.78	1037.89	1090.19	1120.32	1125.54	1137.78	1156.32(4.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	243	90	260	192	0	58%	-0.1	101.2	3.81%	0	1.7	75	NAN
25	Apr_17_2008	1203	1025.65	1081.94	1096.7	1102.95	1132.38	1108.8(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	376	200	415	258	0.01	56%		97.1	3.79%	0	1.2	76	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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