Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1287.3600 (-1.54%) ($1249.9200 - $1314.7200) on Fri. Apr. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.05% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $1287.3600(-1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(37%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(33%)    VWO(33%)    QQQ(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.025% (StdDev 4.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $1243.3(3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1186.39(8.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1111.98(15.77%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   60.5%
Market Cap   $428.714b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.37% (three month std-dev: 4.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2008	1196.56	1111.98	1186.39	1243.3	1259.55	1293.12	1287.36(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	233	230	236	225	0.01	61%	-0.12	76.2	4.05%	0	1.7	73	0
2	Apr_24_2008	1198.05	1093.87	1161.62	1217.09	1229.49	1292.94	1307.52(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	980	390	1121	557	0.01	61%	-0.06	72	4.05%	0	2.1	70	0
3	Apr_23_2008	1198.71	1074.5	1136.9	1177.34	1192.05	1225.98	1293.12(12.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	913	240	1049	505	0.02	63%	-0	73.1	4.05%	0	2.4	73	0
4	Apr_22_2008	1198.75	1057.14	1112.75	1150.56	1151.91	1166.04	1146.24(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	159	90	162	149	0.01	58%	-0.14	84.1	3.77%	0	1.2	70	0
5	Apr_21_2008	1200.49	1049.21	1103.4	1143.07	1145.25	1158.12	1182.24(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	393	80	435	266	0	58%	-0.11	96.1	3.79%	0	1.8	76	0

6	Apr_18_2008	1201.78	1037.89	1090.19	1120.32	1125.54	1137.78	1156.32(4.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	243	90	260	192	0	58%	-0.1	101.2	3.81%	0	1.7	75	0
7	Apr_17_2008	1203	1025.65	1081.94	1096.7	1102.95	1132.38	1108.8(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	376	200	415	258	0.01	56%	-0.17	97.1	3.79%	0	1.2	76	0
8	Apr_16_2008	1205.02	1012.25	1074.7	1088.93	1082.79	1113.3	1159.2(4.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	599	180	674	374	0.01	59%	-0.08	81.6	3.76%	0	1.9	83	0
9	Apr_15_2008	1206	997.24	1056.85	1069.92	1065.78	1073.52	1108.8(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	305	40	331	228	0.01	52%	-0.1	77.8	3.72%	0	1.5	72	0
10	Apr_14_2008	1207.23	982.23	1043.09	1058.4	1060.92	1052.28	1068.48(2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-35	-50	-65	56	0.01	50%	-0.19	67.1	3.8%	0	1.1	61	0

11	Apr_11_2008	1209.48	972.34	1032.51	1055.81	1059.66	1058.04	1038.24(-2.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-142	0	-191	6	0	50%	-0.15	65.7	3.8%	0	0.8	62	0
12	Apr_10_2008	1211.28	963.69	1022.35	1064.45	1064.07	1069.56	1069.92(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	131	40	126	146	0.01	50%	-0.15	63.3	3.81%	0	1.3	73	0
13	Apr_9_2008	1213.1	953.38	1008.52	1057.54	1062.36	1061.28	1064.16(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	176	10	175	177	0.01	50%	-0.16	51.7	3.82%	0	1.4	79	0
14	Apr_8_2008	1215.02	942.36	997.89	1041.12	1045.62	1058.58	1051.2(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	90	100	73	139	0	50%	-0.2	36.3	3.83%	0	1.4	72	0
15	Apr_7_2008	1217.43	930.99	991.33	1024.7	1029.33	1063.44	1055.52(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	503	250	554	350	0.01	50%	-0.23	18.4	3.83%	0	1.6	77	0

16	Apr_4_2008	1220.28	921.9	981.56	1005.12	1011.24	1032.66	1081.44(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	658	170	736	422	0.01	50%	-0.18	3	3.83%	0	2.2	68	0
17	Apr_3_2008	1222.46	914.23	964.14	974.3	981.81	995.22	1035.36(5.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	215	120	220	199	0.01	47%	-0.22	-17.9	3.78%	0	1.9	67	0
18	Apr_2_2008	1225.12	913.5	944.13	952.99	964.62	989.82	982.08(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	334	220	367	236	0.01	43%	-0.31	-26.8	3.71%	0	1.1	63	0
19	Apr_1_2008	1228.97	914.54	932.36	948.67	955.26	968.4	969.12(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	384	120	425	260	0.01	43%	-0.31	-31.5	3.7%	0	0.8	64	0
20	Mar_31_2008	1232.77	916.89	916.45	953.28	950.85	939.42	957.6(3.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-73	-90	-114	49	0.01	43%	-0.35	-29.6	3.73%	0	0.6	66	0

21	Mar_28_2008	1237.09	919.74	907.57	954.43	960.44	942.12	927.36(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-221	-110	-288	-19	0.01	43%	-0.42	-29.8	3.72%	0	0.1	55	0
22	Mar_27_2008	1242.34	925.6	901.24	951.55	962.78	962.28	928.8(-3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-35	30	-64	54	0.01	43%	-0.36	-32.5	3.75%	0	0	48	0
23	Mar_26_2008	1246.81	931.13	894.99	931.97	944.78	978.75	960.48(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	408	290	471	218	0.01	43%	-0.39	-42.8	3.75%	0	0.3	42	0
24	Mar_25_2008	1251.67	936.12	883.22	912.1	913.19	963.27	992.16(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	858	390	1015	387	0.01	43%	-0.29	-49.1	3.75%	0	0.6	47	0
25	Mar_24_2008	1255.3	938.51	865.72	874.08	876.69	910.8	963.36(5.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	745	280	903	272	0.01	34%		-61.3	3.76%	0	0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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