Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 26, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $960.4800 (-3.19%) ($948.9600 - $1006.5600) on Wed. Mar. 26, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.75% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $960.4800(-3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.875% (StdDev 3.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $931.97(3.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $894.99(7.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $931.13(3.15%)
To recent high   -35.4%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $319.857b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.16% (three month std-dev: 3.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2008	1246.81	931.13	894.99	931.97	944.78	978.75	960.48(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	408	290	471	218	0.01	43%	-0.39	-42.8	3.75%	0	0.3	42	0
2	Mar_25_2008	1251.67	936.12	883.22	912.1	913.19	963.27	992.16(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	858	390	1015	387	0.01	43%	-0.29	-49.1	3.75%	0	0.6	47	0
3	Mar_24_2008	1255.3	938.51	865.72	874.08	876.69	910.8	963.36(5.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	745	280	903	272	0.01	34%	-0.43	-61.3	3.76%	0	0.3	44	0
4	Mar_20_2008	1260.74	942.66	856.4	855.36	844.47	863.1	912.96(9.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	174	120	236	-13	0.02	33%	-0.44	-65.1	4.58%	0	-0.3	40	0
5	Mar_19_2008	1266.32	952.65	858.53	845.28	843.48	842.58	830.88(-3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	107	-10	166	-69	0.01	33%	-0.48	-65.8	4.36%	0	-1.1	28	0

6	Mar_18_2008	1272.38	969.08	878.89	852.48	846.63	825.84	861.12(7.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-244	-190	-250	-224	0.01	33%	-0.48	-63.4	4.59%	0	-1	31	0
7	Mar_17_2008	1278.49	982.91	893.88	849.54	854.28	844.38	802.08(-7.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-291	-60	-302	-257	0.01	28%	-0.5	-65.4	4.46%	0	-1.6	20	0
8	Mar_14_2008	1284.91	999.81	917	854.15	860.38	867.42	869.76(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	20	80	64	-112	0.01	29%	-0.38	-67.7	4.38%	0	-1.2	28	0
9	Mar_13_2008	1289.84	1014.4	932.67	857.03	856.15	864.18	862.56(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	60	27	-128	0.01	29%	-0.4	-67	4.4%	0	-1.4	26	0
10	Mar_12_2008	1294.97	1031.81	952.09	874.6	868.93	853.34	866.88(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-188	-150	-182	-206	0.01	29%	-0.39	-60.2	4.44%	0	-1.5	22	0

11	Mar_11_2008	1300.07	1045.94	970.81	911.18	901.96	848.12	846.43(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-687	-450	-772	-431	0.01	40%	-0.42	-56.5	4.42%	0	-1.9	17	0
12	Mar_10_2008	1305.49	1061.89	994.57	946.37	952.56	884.52	825.12(-6.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-875	-480	-1001	-496	0.01	43%	-0.39	-56.8	4.91%	0	-2.5	18	0
13	Mar_7_2008	1310.56	1078.1	1019.41	988.42	994.77	955.8	884.16(-6.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-746	-250	-855	-420	0.02	46%	-0.41	-62	4.9%	0	-2.5	22	0
14	Mar_6_2008	1315.93	1091.95	1038.41	1017.79	1024.47	1020.6	950.4(-9.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-196	-10	-209	-155	0.02	51%	-0.35	-69	4.84%	0	-2.3	24	0
15	Mar_5_2008	1320.54	1101.67	1056.34	1039.68	1034.91	1033.74	1049.77(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	-20	31	-56	0.01	59%	-0.24	-80.9	4.74%	0	-1	26	0

16	Mar_4_2008	1323.76	1107.88	1067.02	1040.26	1039.05	1028.34	1022.4(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-151	-80	-158	-129	0.01	59%	-0.28	-86.1	4.78%	0	-1.6	37	0
17	Mar_3_2008	1327.44	1118.14	1078.82	1051.49	1050.66	1036.08	1035.36(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-190	-100	-206	-143	0.01	59%	-0.29	-78	4.78%	0	-1.5	37	0
18	Feb_29_2008	1331.34	1127.85	1088.66	1056.1	1060.38	1049.76	1031.04(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-192	-60	-208	-142	0.01	59%	-0.29	-75.8	4.76%	0	-1.7	40	0
19	Feb_28_2008	1335.15	1137.01	1101.78	1062.14	1067.13	1065.24	1059.84(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-119	0	-124	-103	0.01	61%	-0.28	-77	4.75%	0	-1.4	41	0
20	Feb_27_2008	1338.84	1146.79	1116.51	1075.68	1076.4	1071	1052.64(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-107	-30	-114	-84	0.01	61%	-0.27	-63.5	4.78%	0	-1.6	42	0

21	Feb_26_2008	1342.47	1156.5	1125.9	1098.43	1096.47	1069.02	1078.56(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-222	-180	-253	-130	0.01	58%	-0.23	-46.2	4.78%	0	-1.4	40	0
22	Feb_25_2008	1345.53	1163.64	1133.61	1111.1	1114.74	1081.8	1058.4(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-493	-200	-571	-257	0.01	58%	-0.26	-38.9	4.81%	0	-1.9	32	0
23	Feb_22_2008	1349.05	1172.96	1141.53	1126.08	1135.26	1123.92	1061.28(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-286	-50	-328	-161	0.01	58%	-0.24	-32.7	4.83%	0	-2.2	32	0
24	Feb_21_2008	1352.25	1180.99	1150.84	1146.24	1147.23	1147.68	1127.52(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	10	-53	-46	0.01	61%	-0.15	-29.1	4.81%	0	-1.2	40	0
25	Feb_20_2008	1354.3	1184.44	1151.74	1163.23	1156.5	1146.6	1166.4(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-57	-80	-59	-51	0	61%		-26.9	4.79%	0	-0.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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