Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1218.2400 (-1.74%) ($1202.4000 - $1252.8000) on Mon. Jan. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.89% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $1218.2400(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.445% (StdDev 4.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

Resistance Level   $1315.17
5 Day Moving Average   $1199.23(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1225.19(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1315.17(-7.37%)
To recent high   -34.3%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $405.696b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.78% (three month std-dev: 4.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.54%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -18.99%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.34%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2008	1388.08	1315.17	1225.19	1199.23	1207.49	1234.89	1218.24(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	215	180	277	27	0.01	54%	-0.08	-89.2	4.89%	0	-0.9	32	0
2	Jan_25_2008	1389.14	1326.17	1235.51	1191.46	1176.8	1226.43	1239.84(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	422	260	524	114	0.01	56%	-0.1	-100.2	4.94%	0	-0.8	32	0
3	Jan_24_2008	1390.59	1338.14	1248.45	1187.71	1167.93	1180.08	1212.48(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	393	20	493	93	0.01	56%	-0.16	-106	4.93%	0	-1.2	27	0
4	Jan_23_2008	1392.76	1350.17	1267.76	1194.34	1174.68	1127.16	1190.88(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-406	-330	-447	-281	0.01	56%	-0.17	-110.5	4.93%	0	-1.5	28	0
5	Jan_22_2008	1395.09	1381.71	1287.48	1208.45	1199.61	1155.78	1134.72(-3.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-882	-280	-1008	-504	0.01	56%	-0.18	-105.6	4.88%	0	-2.4	20	0

6	Jan_18_2008	1397.67	1413.2	1315.49	1255.1	1250.37	1222.2	1179.36(-3.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-412	-170	-460	-269	0.01	53%	-0.12	-70.9	4.92%	0	-1.7	19	0
7	Jan_17_2008	1399.37	1442.63	1341.68	1285.34	1288.8	1243.44	1221.12(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-480	-240	-544	-289	0.01	53%	0.03	-57.6	4.9%	0	-1.5	29	0
8	Jan_16_2008	1398.94	1462.64	1365.19	1317.89	1317.51	1278.54	1245.6(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-686	-210	-789	-375	0.01	53%	0.09	-52.1	4.9%	0	-1.4	28	0
9	Jan_15_2008	1397.69	1481.17	1384.25	1352.16	1352.07	1334.16	1261.44(-7.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-334	-90	-379	-198	0.01	53%	0.06	-45.4	4.9%	0	-1.4	34	0
10	Jan_14_2008	1396.81	1500.96	1402.06	1377.79	1375.49	1356.48	1368(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-210	-100	-227	-158	0.01	56%	0.13	-37	4.81%	0	-0.9	22	0

11	Jan_11_2008	1395.03	1518.17	1413.49	1385.57	1389.08	1369.98	1330.56(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-298	-90	-325	-215	0.01	56%	0.11	-27.7	4.8%	0	-1.3	26	0
12	Jan_10_2008	1393.47	1534.89	1425.09	1406.59	1399.25	1394.5	1383.84(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-233	-40	-244	-198	0.01	56%	0.13	-15.9	4.78%	0	-1	28	0
13	Jan_9_2008	1391.68	1551.07	1435.11	1420.13	1414.64	1408.18	1416.96(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-63	-40	-43	-122	0.01	56%	0.15	-1.3	4.77%	0	-0.9	43	0
14	Jan_8_2008	1389.63	1554.95	1438.4	1422.14	1428.3	1404	1389.6(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-210	-110	-213	-202	0.01	56%	0.13	4	4.77%	0	-1.1	42	0
15	Jan_7_2008	1387.79	1557.42	1481.41	1429.92	1433.34	1421.1	1406.88(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-381	-50	-419	-267	0.01	56%	0.19	8.8	4.77%	0	-1.1	40	0

16	Jan_4_2008	1385.1	1560.16	1516.37	1445.76	1446.66	1452.6	1435.68(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	31	30	62	-64	0.01	56%	0.26	17.2	4.77%	0	-0.9	38	0
17	Jan_3_2008	1381.48	1558.66	1549.05	1446.34	1448.46	1445.58	1451.52(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10	17	-74	0.02	56%	0.24	19.8	4.78%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Jan_2_2008	1378.15	1552.96	1565.77	1452.96	1453.5	1440.72	1427.04(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-185	-60	-192	-162	0.01	56%	0.29	22.2	4.79%	0	-0.9	40	0
19	Dec_31_2007	1374.1	1549.24	1584.95	1457.28	1466.19	1451.34	1428.48(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-259	-50	-282	-188	0.01	58%	0.11	23.8	4.79%	0	-0.8	54	0
20	Dec_28_2007	1372.6	1545.06	1608.24	1542.53	1482.57	1466.28	1486.08(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-638	-190	-743	-323	0.03	54%	0.13	39.1	4.79%	0	-0.4	59	0

21	Dec_27_2007	1370.79	1536.12	1631.92	1600.42	1574.19	1481.04	1438.56(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-553	-460	-656	-244	0.01	54%	0.09	48.3	4.95%	0	-0.6	56	0
22	Dec_26_2007	1369.5	1531.06	1655.85	1668.1	1649.97	1498.86	1484.64(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1697	-670	-2017	-738	0.03	54%	0.45	60.7	4.96%	0	-0.3	61	0
23	Dec_24_2007	1363.4	1521.11	1679.62	1693.44	1701.72	1667.34	1448.64(-21.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1248	-130	-1501	-488	0.05	54%	0.28	60.4	4.92%	0	-0.4	63	0
24	Dec_21_2007	1359.56	1511.87	1686.52	1724.54	1723.86	1801.08	1854.72(4.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	1017	310	1146	631	0.03	63%	0.57	62.1	4.07%	0	1.7	79	0
25	Dec_20_2007	1351.88	1482.43	1641.97	1683.07	1678.32	1736.1	1775.52(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1126	230	1275	677	0.02	63%		59.9	4.04%	0	1.6	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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