Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 29, 2007

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1272.9600 (-2.32%) ($1262.8800 - $1324.8000) on Thu. Nov. 29, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.78% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $1272.9600(-2.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(37%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    SPY(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.89% (StdDev 3.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $1314.08
5 Day Moving Average   $1268.06(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1272.02(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1314.08(-3.13%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $423.919b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.28% (three month std-dev: 3.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2007	1290.25	1314.08	1272.02	1268.06	1270.89	1287	1272.96(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	262	100	322	81	0.01	56%	0.09	-62.9	3.78%	0	-0.7	34	0
2	Nov_28_2007	1289.13	1322.43	1273.31	1262.02	1266.3	1265.58	1303.2(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	166	10	212	26	0.01	54%	0.11	-53.7	3.81%	0	-0.3	46	0
3	Nov_27_2007	1287.68	1327.58	1276.69	1250.78	1258.02	1254.78	1252.8(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-226	-0	-244	-172	0	52%	0.05	-53	3.83%	0	-1.2	35	0
4	Nov_26_2007	1287.1	1337.15	1284.26	1256.26	1268.46	1267.02	1226.88(-4.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	20	15	-67	0	52%	0.03	-44.5	3.83%	0	-1.7	43	0
5	Nov_23_2007	1286.72	1346.98	1298.28	1276.13	1275.12	1261.26	1284.48(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-194	-80	-210	-146	0	54%	0.08	-31.7	3.78%	0	-1	44	0

6	Nov_21_2007	1285.7	1350.35	1311.35	1276.99	1287.09	1269.9	1242.72(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-298	-70	-334	-191	0.01	54%	0.04	-37.4	3.75%	0	-1.8	40	0
7	Nov_20_2007	1285.25	1356.6	1322.91	1285.92	1296.54	1288.98	1247.04(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-255	-20	-281	-175	0.01	57%	0.06	-40	3.75%	0	-2	35	0
8	Nov_19_2007	1284.51	1362.73	1340.47	1306.08	1305.18	1304.28	1280.16(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-86	-10	-87	-83	0.01	57%	0.11	-34.6	3.8%	0	-1.7	41	0
9	Nov_16_2007	1283.1	1367.53	1346.91	1316.16	1315.98	1304.1	1326.24(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-82	-60	-81	-86	0.01	57%	0.13	-31.6	3.83%	0	-0.9	41	0
10	Nov_15_2007	1281.38	1367.36	1351.43	1324.51	1322.64	1306.08	1288.8(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-411	-90	-467	-241	0.01	55%	0.12	-36.3	3.85%	0	-1.7	41	0

11	Nov_14_2007	1279.9	1373.2	1360.24	1351.87	1344.96	1327.86	1287.36(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-247	-100	-280	-147	0.01	53%	0.15	-21.7	3.89%	0	-2	49	0
12	Nov_13_2007	1278.04	1378.86	1376.4	1365.12	1361.7	1339.2	1347.84(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-340	-120	-395	-176	0.01	53%	0.18	-17.5	3.88%	0	-0.8	51	0
13	Nov_12_2007	1275.69	1379.72	1382.89	1380.09	1374.03	1362.06	1330.56(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-304	-70	-357	-146	0.01	53%	0.16	-11.8	3.92%	0	-1.3	50	0
14	Nov_9_2007	1273.6	1382.25	1394.57	1381.25	1383.75	1384.2	1368(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	41	10	47	24	0	53%	0.19	-11.1	3.91%	0	-0.4	52	0
15	Nov_8_2007	1271.21	1384.27	1399.72	1381.82	1374.66	1386	1425.6(5.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	40	60	40	0.01	59%	0.25	-9.2	3.87%	0	1.1	62	0

16	Nov_7_2007	1268.1	1382.52	1391.78	1370.88	1371.96	1383.3	1353.59(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	162	60	189	80	0.01	60%	0.18	-14.3	4.09%	0	-0.8	47	0
17	Nov_6_2007	1265.82	1385.55	1392.76	1389.89	1378.53	1363.32	1422.72(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-69	-100	-84	-22	0.01	62%	0.24	11.4	4.16%	0	1.1	53	0
18	Nov_5_2007	1262.76	1384.17	1386.13	1387.87	1394.82	1360.62	1336.32(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-473	-160	-559	-213	0.01	60%	0.19	17.3	4.09%	0	-1.4	50	0
19	Nov_2_2007	1260.35	1386.31	1389.95	1410.05	1414.8	1393.74	1370.88(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-443	-90	-528	-188	0.01	59%	0.23	41.9	4.09%	0	-0.5	51	0
20	Nov_1_2007	1257.47	1387.64	1385.03	1419.55	1427.58	1429.02	1370.88(-5.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-33	20	-45	2	0.01	60%	0.25	66.9	4.09%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Oct_31_2007	1254.31	1387.7	1387.89	1414.08	1422.56	1435.86	1448.64(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	269	80	311	142	0.01	63%	0.32	50.8	4.05%	0	1.7	55	0
22	Oct_30_2007	1250.36	1381.48	1381.46	1395.36	1397.72	1426.14	1412.64(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	300	150	351	145	0.01	64%	0.3	18.5	4.05%	0	0.9	49	0
23	Oct_29_2007	1246.65	1378.29	1375.95	1384.13	1379	1409.26	1447.2(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	519	140	612	239	0.01	64%	0.31	-10.5	4.06%	0	2.1	55	0
24	Oct_26_2007	1242.75	1372.76	1367.87	1368	1363.61	1369.3	1418.4(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	282	20	336	119	0.01	63%	0.3	-36.5	4.06%	0	1.3	56	0
25	Oct_25_2007	1239.07	1366.07	1365.98	1346.69	1353.51	1348.74	1343.52(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-118	-10	-131	-80	0.01	61%		-71.9	4.04%	0	-0.6	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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