Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1183.6800 (-1.2%) ($1163.5200 - $1203.8400) on Thu. Jul. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $1183.6800(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $1170.43(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1148.36(3.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1117.23(5.95%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $394.187b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.9% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.93%(100%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2007	1039.86	1117.23	1148.36	1170.43	1170.81	1187.64	1183.68(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	370	100	415	235	0.01	87%	0.17	73.3	2.43%	0	1.5	72	0
2	Jul_3_2007	1038.14	1112.02	1141.58	1162.08	1161.09	1173.6	1198.08(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	511	70	581	300	0.01	72%	0.17	84.2	2.62%	0	2.1	79	0
3	Jul_2_2007	1036.42	1106.92	1133.95	1143.07	1144.17	1153.98	1173.6(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	233	60	256	162	0.01	72%	0.15	96	2.66%	0	1.9	77	0
4	Jun_29_2007	1034.9	1101.2	1128.26	1131.55	1131.12	1148.58	1140.48(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	311	110	348	201	0.01	70%	0.09	89.4	2.65%	0	1	76	0
5	Jun_28_2007	1033.92	1094.11	1124.09	1128.1	1124.28	1134.36	1156.32(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	394	50	444	243	0.01	70%	0.12	81.7	2.67%	0	1.4	73	0

6	Jun_27_2007	1032.66	1086.12	1117.01	1123.2	1119.6	1113.66	1141.92(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-50	1	67	0.01	80%	0.1	76.2	2.71%	0	1.3	73	0
7	Jun_26_2007	1031.61	1079.29	1108.92	1118.3	1118.88	1114.2	1103.04(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-152	-30	-191	-34	0.01	81%	0.1	68.7	3.73%	0	0.5	55	0
8	Jun_25_2007	1030.63	1073.46	1104.88	1123.2	1123.47	1125.54	1116(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	10	15	46	0.01	81%	0.17	71.8	3.87%	0	0.9	51	0
9	Jun_22_2007	1028.88	1066.9	1098.25	1124.06	1124.73	1123.56	1123.2(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	70	-10	71	67	0.02	81%	0.17	73.8	3.87%	0	1.1	63	0
10	Jun_21_2007	1027.18	1059.68	1092.08	1118.88	1119.42	1121.4	1131.84(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-13	10	-28	34	0.01	81%	0.18	73.6	3.87%	0	1.4	74	0

11	Jun_20_2007	1025.34	1053.43	1084.16	1109.66	1116.09	1125.9	1117.44(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	186	80	205	129	0.01	81%	0.16	79.4	3.88%	0	1.3	73	0
12	Jun_19_2007	1023.75	1048.06	1080.41	1097.86	1104.39	1117.44	1127.52(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	242	100	270	157	0.01	81%	0.14	82.5	3.87%	0	1.7	72	0
13	Jun_18_2007	1022.36	1040.38	1077.4	1083.74	1089.09	1106.28	1120.32(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	279	130	312	180	0.01	81%	0.26	79.9	3.87%	0	1.7	74	0
14	Jun_15_2007	1019.74	1031.1	1071.25	1068.77	1074.69	1091.34	1097.28(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	310	130	348	195	0.01	81%	0.25	66.1	3.89%	0	1.4	72	0
15	Jun_14_2007	1017.18	1022.93	1061.21	1061.57	1062.45	1071.9	1085.76(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	210	60	231	146	0.01	81%	0.23	58.1	3.89%	0	1.3	72	0

16	Jun_13_2007	1014.85	1015.5	1052.35	1055.23	1055.95	1058.04	1058.4(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	20	50	67	0.01	76%	0.18	49.4	3.89%	0	0.9	59	0
17	Jun_12_2007	1013.04	1010.04	1047.27	1060.42	1057.57	1053	1056.96(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-60	-40	-86	17	0.01	76%	0.2	53.1	3.94%	0	0.9	58	0
18	Jun_11_2007	1011.01	1004.78	1040.02	1070.21	1066.84	1053.85	1045.44(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-157	-90	-203	-20	0.01	76%	0.18	60.6	3.94%	0	0.8	63	0
19	Jun_8_2007	1009.22	1000.7	1034.02	1073.66	1079.44	1062.13	1061.28(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-132	-100	-176	2	0.01	77%	0.22	66.8	3.96%	0	1.2	71	0
20	Jun_7_2007	1007	995.16	1025.72	1059.84	1074.06	1079.82	1054.08(-2.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-36	80	-62	44	0.01	77%	0.18	62.3	3.98%	0	1.2	71	0

21	Jun_6_2007	1005.21	991.45	1021.15	1047.74	1054.89	1096.74	1084.32(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	469	300	531	283	0.01	78%	0.2	58.9	3.97%	0	2	75	0
22	Jun_5_2007	1003.18	983.77	1013.35	1031.62	1033.02	1068.3	1105.92(4.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	807	240	929	439	0.02	74%	0.11	51.5	4.01%	0	2.8	76	0
23	Jun_4_2007	1002.12	974.98	999.61	1006.27	1002.69	1013.04	1062.72(7.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	263	60	294	168	0.02	73%	0.18	35.1	4.02%	0	2.7	71	0
24	Jun_1_2007	1000.35	968.2	986.53	989.86	989.91	997.74	992.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	60	88	69	0.01	71%	0.1	8.6	3.93%	0	0.9	57	0
25	May_31_2007	999.32	965.54	980.94	986.69	987.57	992.34	993.6(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	127	40	141	85	0.01	71%		-16	3.99%	0	1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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