Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1105.9200 (4.07%) ($1069.9200 - $1124.6400) on Tue. Jun. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.01% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $1105.9200(4.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.005% (StdDev 4.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1031.62(7.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1013.35(9.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $983.77(12.42%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $368.291b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.37% (three month std-dev: 4.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 24.18%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 19.27%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 14.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2007	1003.18	983.77	1013.35	1031.62	1033.02	1068.3	1105.92(4.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	807	240	929	439	0.02	74%	0.11	51.5	4.01%	0	2.8	76	0
2	Jun_4_2007	1002.12	974.98	999.61	1006.27	1002.69	1013.04	1062.72(7.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	263	60	294	168	0.02	73%	0.18	35.1	4.02%	0	2.7	71	0
3	Jun_1_2007	1000.35	968.2	986.53	989.86	989.91	997.74	992.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	83	60	88	69	0.01	71%	0.1	8.6	3.93%	0	0.9	57	0
4	May_31_2007	999.32	965.54	980.94	986.69	987.57	992.34	993.6(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	127	40	141	85	0.01	71%	0.1	-16	3.99%	0	1	60	0
5	May_30_2007	998.31	964.5	975.45	990.14	985.68	982.08	1003.68(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-65	-40	-83	-9	0.01	71%	0.12	-27	4.02%	0	1.5	52	0

6	May_29_2007	997.16	962.13	969.74	992.16	995.49	982.8	979.2(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-97	-80	-122	-20	0	71%	0.2	-47.7	4.01%	0	0.7	60	0
7	May_25_2007	995.14	963.48	967.04	991.58	1001.07	989.28	980.64(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-140	-50	-173	-39	0	63%	0.06	-45	4.11%	0	0.6	59	0
8	May_24_2007	994.58	965.93	965.29	982.08	993.96	1008.18	976.32(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	65	140	68	54	0.01	63%	0.07	-50	4.14%	0	0.3	60	0
9	May_23_2007	993.86	969.87	962.95	973.15	977.4	1012.86	1010.88(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	490	270	570	249	0.01	63%	0.02	-53	4.15%	0	1	65	0
10	May_22_2007	993.69	971.68	959.67	958.18	954.81	979.74	1013.76(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	500	170	585	244	0.01	63%	0.02	-59.5	4.16%	0	0.9	55	0

11	May_21_2007	993.48	974.14	951.47	944.93	937.62	941.94	976.32(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	128	10	152	56	0.01	65%	0.05	-68.1	4.13%	0	0	53	0
12	May_18_2007	993	977.68	947.68	940.03	937.17	929.88	933.12(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-93	-60	-104	-60	0.01	66%	-0.03	-72.5	4.17%	0	-0.8	35	0
13	May_17_2007	993.26	985.1	948.01	946.37	945.54	933.3	931.68(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-161	-90	-181	-100	0.01	66%	-0.01	-66.4	4.2%	0	-0.9	31	0
14	May_16_2007	993.39	992.81	949.02	950.69	951.93	944.46	936(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-201	-50	-224	-130	0.01	66%	0.02	-62.1	4.23%	0	-1	28	0
15	May_15_2007	993.15	1000.63	953.06	960.77	960.57	957.78	947.52(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-20	-30	-56	0.01	66%	-0.05	-54.5	4.23%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	May_14_2007	993.63	1009.05	954.35	958.46	962.28	959.4	951.84(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10	-3	-63	0.01	66%	0.02	-49.1	4.24%	0	-0.8	29	0
17	May_11_2007	993.48	1018.81	959.99	956.16	956.25	963.36	964.8(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	50	17	-64	0.01	66%	0.03	-46.5	4.17%	0	-0.8	36	0
18	May_10_2007	993.21	1024.73	966.64	949.82	951.3	965.16	953.28(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	195	110	253	20	0.02	66%	0.07	-49.7	4.2%	0	-1.1	30	0
19	May_9_2007	992.54	1031.24	977.21	946.94	942.84	949.14	986.4(5.38%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	97	30	140	-31	0.02	66%	0.13	-51.5	4.21%	0	-0.7	33	0
20	May_8_2007	991.3	1036.28	983.81	945.22	942.75	937.44	936(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	-50	-44	-112	0.01	63%	0.02	-57.5	4.16%	0	-1.5	20	0

21	May_7_2007	991.07	1043.88	997.77	950.11	949.95	936.54	940.32(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-216	-100	-226	-187	0.01	63%	0.01	-62	4.16%	0	-1.7	19	0
22	May_4_2007	990.98	1051.51	1009.49	964.8	961.02	948.06	933.12(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-325	-110	-353	-239	0.01	67%	0.03	-63.4	4.2%	0	-2	15	0
23	May_3_2007	990.66	1059.48	1025.12	986.11	983.43	963.36	938.88(-3.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-265	-150	-287	-197	0.02	67%	0.05	-68.9	4.23%	0	-2.3	33	0
24	May_2_2007	990.16	1066.51	1040.7	1011.74	1004.49	973.98	977.76(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-459	-230	-521	-273	0.01	67%	0.1	-80.9	4.23%	0	-2.1	37	0
25	May_1_2007	989.19	1075.63	1052.78	1028.45	1027.71	1003.5	960.48(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-477	-170	-546	-270	0.03	67%		-82.4	4.23%	0	-2.7	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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