Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $868.3200 (-5.04%) ($859.6800 - $894.2400) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $868.3200(-5.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $931.04
5 Day Moving Average   $901.73(-3.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $905.14(-4.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $931.04(-6.74%)
To recent high   -27%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $289.166b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.49% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.39%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.41%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.95%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2006	1107.29	931.04	905.14	901.73	907.79	904.23	868.32(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-500	-10	-576	-272	0.01	32%	-0.37	-69.3	2.16%	0	-1.5	29	0
2	Dec_18_2006	1111.36	938.33	910.76	905.18	910.94	927.09	914.4(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	434	140	522	169	0.01	33%	-0.33	-64.8	2.1%	0	-0.6	45	0
3	Dec_15_2006	1115.04	942.81	911.72	903.17	900.81	911.34	931.68(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	343	70	421	110	0.01	33%	-0.28	-61.1	2.11%	0	-0.2	37	0
4	Dec_14_2006	1118.15	947.28	909.73	900.29	899.01	894.78	902.88(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	20	-40	52	-75	0.01	30%	-0.33	-56.3	2.06%	0	-0.9	22	0
5	Dec_13_2006	1121.89	954.44	913.14	903.46	902.7	890.28	891.36(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-424	-100	-465	-300	0.01	30%	-0.34	-47.3	2.05%	0	-1.2	22	0

6	Dec_12_2006	1125.73	960.91	918.96	909.5	912.42	903.24	885.6(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-371	-60	-400	-282	0.01	30%	-0.36	-40.9	2.04%	0	-1.5	23	0
7	Dec_11_2006	1129.77	966.8	923.73	916.7	919.26	915.12	904.32(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-214	-20	-212	-219	0.01	31%	-0.28	-34.5	2.04%	0	-1.3	24	0
8	Dec_8_2006	1132.89	970.87	930.66	921.02	922.59	921.6	917.28(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-80	-0	-53	-160	0	31%	-0.29	-29.4	2.03%	0	-1.2	28	0
9	Dec_7_2006	1136.23	975.1	940.71	920.45	923.22	923.4	918.72(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	10	-14	-146	0.01	29%	-0.32	-24.6	2.04%	0	-1.3	25	0
10	Dec_6_2006	1139.84	979.42	950.05	924.48	923.58	923.58	921.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-96	-0	-72	-169	0	28%	-0.27	-17.9	2.11%	0	-1.4	23	0

11	Dec_5_2006	1142.91	982.14	958.63	930.24	929.16	923.04	921.6(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-100	-50	-78	-165	0.01	28%	-0.28	-13.5	2.13%	0	-1.5	33	0
12	Dec_4_2006	1146.15	983.6	967.93	931.97	933.66	923.58	925.92(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-358	-70	-384	-281	0.01	28%	-0.28	-16.8	2.15%	0	-1.5	39	0
13	Dec_1_2006	1149.35	984.44	976.3	942.05	940.95	935.28	914.4(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-429	-50	-473	-297	0.01	28%	-0.31	-19.2	2.15%	0	-1.8	42	0
14	Nov_30_2006	1152.92	986	987.96	964.22	959.22	943.74	938.88(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-332	-130	-370	-217	0.01	29%	-0.32	-14.9	2.12%	0	-1.3	42	0
15	Nov_29_2006	1156.64	987.03	999.2	979.78	979.51	946.62	950.4(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-790	-240	-920	-401	0.01	29%	-0.33	-13.9	2.15%	0	-1	43	0

16	Nov_28_2006	1160.51	987.55	1006.55	991.58	997.87	974.7	930.24(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-943	-140	-1108	-446	0.01	26%	-0.33	-13.9	2.13%	0	-1.6	47	0
17	Nov_27_2006	1164.33	990.17	1014.36	1008.58	1012.63	1012.39	976.32(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-200	10	-247	-58	0.01	28%	-0.3	-11.4	2.06%	0	-0.4	61	0
18	Nov_24_2006	1167.84	991.85	1015.46	1014.91	1014.79	1021.03	1025.28(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	216	40	234	160	0	31%	-0.41	-9.9	2.02%	0	1	72	0
19	Nov_22_2006	1172.65	991.6	1012.77	1015.49	1012.59	1012.86	1016.64(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10	9	91	0	34%	-0.13	-12.5	2.02%	0	0.7	71	0
20	Nov_21_2006	1174.23	992.08	1011.25	1022.4	1018.71	1008.54	1009.44(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-137	-80	-195	36	0	34%	-0.31	-10.4	2.06%	0	0.5	64	0

21	Nov_20_2006	1177.91	992.65	1007.51	1024.42	1025.64	1012.32	1015.2(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-302	-90	-392	-32	0	34%	-0.31	-16	2.06%	0	0.6	64	0
22	Nov_17_2006	1181.59	994.01	1000.45	1020.96	1025.19	1028.88	1008(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-77	40	-123	63	0	34%	-0.26	-20.8	2.07%	0	0.4	57	0
23	Nov_16_2006	1184.65	995.28	993.24	1015.2	1017.27	1038.96	1028.16(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	540	160	611	327	0	34%	-0.22	-23	2.07%	0	0.8	51	0
24	Nov_15_2006	1187.3	995.95	983.73	1009.15	1004.58	1021.5	1051.2(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	643	100	742	344	0.01	39%	-0.21	-24.2	2.09%	0	1.3	51	0
25	Nov_14_2006	1189.79	995.73	973.12	999.07	996.75	995.58	1019.52(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	226	-20	263	114	0	36%		-24.4	2.11%	0	0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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