Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $931.6800 (-1.97%) ($921.6000 - $959.0400) on Thu. Nov. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $931.6800(-1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $1023.17
5 Day Moving Average   $964.22(-3.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $997.62(-6.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1023.17(-8.94%)
To recent high   -34%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $310.266b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 4.02% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.97%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.16%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.21%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.54%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.17%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2006	1219.48	1023.17	997.62	964.22	964.17	949.68	931.68(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-595	-110	-658	-404	0.01	24%	-0.34	-58.2	2.03%	0	-2.2	34	0
2	Nov_1_2006	1223.62	1030.06	1009.89	983.52	983.7	963.9	950.4(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-576	-140	-646	-366	0.01	24%	-0.28	-66.5	2.03%	0	-2.3	36	0
3	Oct_31_2006	1227.08	1034.96	1021.11	1000.22	1001.7	978.66	953.28(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-735	-160	-843	-409	0.01	24%	-0.34	-79.5	2.03%	0	-2.7	42	0
4	Oct_30_2006	1231.29	1039.03	1034.97	1014.91	1016.37	1003.5	974.88(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-623	-80	-722	-325	0.01	25%	-0.37	-105.1	2.02%	0	-2.6	41	0
5	Oct_27_2006	1235.83	1043.48	1045.15	1030.18	1028.61	1024.74	1010.88(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-292	-30	-341	-144	0	31%	-0.34	-114.9	2.02%	0	-1.5	43	0

6	Oct_26_2006	1239.99	1047.65	1047.49	1035.94	1043.73	1029.24	1028.16(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-136	-70	-157	-71	0	31%	-0.36	-81.6	2.04%	0	-0.6	42	0
7	Oct_25_2006	1244.52	1054.12	1048.19	1040.54	1048.68	1032.48	1033.92(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-625	-80	-732	-302	0.01	31%	-0.35	-65.3	2.04%	0	-0.5	44	0
8	Oct_24_2006	1248.87	1059.63	1046.69	1045.73	1055.25	1058.22	1026.72(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-279	50	-326	-138	0.01	38%	-0.37	-59.1	2.04%	0	-0.8	49	0
9	Oct_23_2006	1253.5	1065.36	1047.9	1058.4	1065.51	1064.88	1051.2(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	233	20	270	122	0.01	39%	-0.4	-52.8	2.17%	0	-0.3	57	0
10	Oct_20_2006	1258.5	1069.92	1047.95	1062.72	1066.68	1052.28	1039.68(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-272	-80	-326	-111	0	39%	-0.36	-54.6	2.19%	0	-0.6	47	0

11	Oct_19_2006	1263.1	1075.3	1050.45	1060.42	1067.49	1066.14	1051.2(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-214	10	-254	-93	0	43%	-0.36	-63.3	2.2%	0	-0.5	42	0
12	Oct_18_2006	1267.69	1079.91	1051.47	1056.38	1061.46	1081.08	1059.84(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	371	140	443	156	0.01	43%	-0.33	-71.2	2.26%	0	-0.4	34	0
13	Oct_17_2006	1271.87	1085.24	1049.46	1047.17	1049.04	1068.84	1090.08(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	676	140	812	266	0.01	45%	-0.15	-78.7	2.24%	0	0.1	39	0
14	Oct_16_2006	1273.72	1089.67	1042.59	1036.22	1034.1	1041.84	1072.8(4.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	237	50	309	21	0.01	45%	-0.35	-81.2	2.23%	0	-0.3	38	0
15	Oct_13_2006	1278.18	1096.65	1040.63	1032.19	1032.39	1029.24	1028.16(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-20	-51	-154	0	41%	-0.37	-77.9	2.17%	0	-1	29	0

16	Oct_12_2006	1282.91	1107.51	1047.01	1039.68	1040.4	1026.36	1031.04(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-298	-90	-310	-261	0	41%	-0.31	-72.4	2.19%	0	-1	29	0
17	Oct_11_2006	1286.92	1118.84	1059.71	1046.02	1047.33	1035.54	1013.76(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-489	-80	-538	-341	0	41%	-0.36	-69.1	2.19%	0	-1.3	26	0
18	Oct_10_2006	1291.56	1131.71	1073.22	1051.2	1054.8	1054.44	1035.36(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-75	10	-51	-145	0	41%	-0.34	-71.8	2.19%	0	-1.2	25	0
19	Oct_9_2006	1295.97	1143.53	1084.09	1048.9	1050.84	1059.12	1052.64(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	107	60	166	-71	0	41%	-0.44	-78.9	2.19%	0	-1.1	25	0
20	Oct_6_2006	1301.73	1154.7	1093.53	1050.05	1045.26	1055.16	1065.6(0.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	138	50	207	-70	0	41%	-0.41	-84	2.19%	0	-1.1	23	0

21	Oct_5_2006	1307.05	1165.28	1101.98	1056.1	1050.75	1042.56	1062.72(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-146	-70	-122	-216	0	39%	-0.43	-87.4	2.2%	0	-1.2	20	0
22	Oct_4_2006	1312.63	1176.97	1110.56	1077.12	1070.37	1035.36	1039.68(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-886	-250	-994	-563	0.01	36%	-0.53	-82.5	2.21%	0	-1.5	13	0
23	Oct_3_2006	1319.57	1193.11	1124.25	1099.58	1102.95	1058.94	1023.84(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1265	-270	-1441	-735	0.01	36%	-0.55	-73.5	2.22%	0	-1.8	8	0
24	Oct_2_2006	1326.84	1212.37	1141.43	1124.06	1130.76	1105.38	1058.4(-3.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-1059	-140	-1202	-630	0.01	39%	-0.55	-71.7	2.19%	0	-1.8	9	0
25	Sep_29_2006	1334.12	1228.95	1158.22	1142.21	1148.13	1146.96	1095.84(-6.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-251	10	-256	-237	0.01	47%		-66.6	2.26%	0	-1.5	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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