Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1264.3200 (-0.79%) ($1239.8400 - $1274.4000) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $1264.3200(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $1331.98
5 Day Moving Average   $1274.11(-0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1320.34(-4.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1331.98(-5.08%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $421.042b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2006	1417.99	1331.98	1320.34	1274.11	1273.14	1267.74	1264.32(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-254	-30	-271	-203	0	59%	-0.52	17.9	2.39%	0	-1.4	39	0
2	Sep_13_2006	1425.35	1333.06	1334.23	1280.74	1281.15	1275.66	1274.4(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-200	-30	-214	-159	0	54%	-0.54	27.2	2.43%	0	-1.2	45	0
3	Sep_12_2006	1433.02	1332.1	1344.7	1298.88	1292.76	1278.54	1274.4(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-416	-90	-475	-240	0	51%	-0.49	39.4	2.53%	0	-1.1	40	0
4	Sep_11_2006	1440.07	1328.99	1354.88	1326.24	1317.96	1286.64	1278.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-670	-190	-784	-328	0.01	51%	-0.41	46.3	2.57%	0	-0.9	50	0
5	Sep_8_2006	1445.98	1325.92	1364.65	1348.42	1350.09	1306.98	1278.72(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-960	-220	-1134	-437	0	48%	-0.45	50	2.57%	0	-0.7	50	0

6	Sep_7_2006	1452.5	1323.45	1371.76	1373.18	1375.56	1349.28	1297.44(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-928	-130	-1106	-395	0.01	48%	-0.45	53.1	2.61%	0	-0.4	55	0
7	Sep_6_2006	1459.1	1320.15	1375.34	1394.5	1397.52	1393.2	1365.12(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-169	-20	-222	-10	0	52%	-0.38	55.5	2.54%	0	0.6	71	0
8	Sep_5_2006	1464.73	1312.45	1373.85	1396.51	1401.84	1393.2	1411.2(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	127	10	119	150	0	51%	-0.31	50.8	2.51%	0	1.3	85	0
9	Sep_1_2006	1469.23	1302.55	1363.52	1388.16	1392.3	1393.2	1389.6(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	96	60	79	146	0	54%	-0.22	45.7	2.57%	0	1.2	87	0
10	Aug_31_2006	1472.5	1294.77	1355.25	1383.84	1385.73	1401.84	1402.56(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	485	90	532	344	0	54%	-0.19	43.8	2.57%	0	1.6	87	0

11	Aug_30_2006	1475.27	1288.44	1344.04	1370.59	1372.59	1382.76	1404(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	424	60	459	318	0	54%	-0.17	45	2.58%	0	1.8	82	0
12	Aug_29_2006	1477.85	1281.77	1330.74	1353.6	1355.85	1369.62	1375.2(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	232	80	235	223	0	54%	-0.15	42.3	2.59%	0	1.6	79	0
13	Aug_28_2006	1480.06	1275.88	1317.39	1347.84	1347.84	1362.42	1369.44(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	472	80	516	338	0	54%	-0.18	42.5	2.61%	0	1.7	80	0
14	Aug_25_2006	1482.74	1270.43	1300.1	1335.17	1337.49	1342.08	1368(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	303	30	322	247	0	56%	-0.21	38.2	2.61%	0	2	76	0
15	Aug_24_2006	1485.8	1265.34	1283.24	1322.5	1324.8	1333.26	1336.32(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	104	50	93	137	0	56%	-0.26	41.3	2.66%	0	1.6	66	0

16	Aug_23_2006	1489.72	1260.22	1270.84	1313.28	1317.6	1332.9	1319.04(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	413	90	463	264	0	56%	-0.25	37.4	2.68%	0	1.4	53	0
17	Aug_22_2006	1493.49	1257.5	1260.63	1303.78	1304.37	1316.34	1346.4(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	420	70	476	251	0	50%	-0.22	32.6	2.67%	0	2.2	57	0
18	Aug_21_2006	1496.76	1253.16	1245.97	1282.18	1286.5	1302.3	1306.08(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	353	100	407	190	0	48%	-0.24	25.8	2.87%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Aug_18_2006	1500.29	1251.68	1236.42	1259.14	1265.26	1292.4	1304.64(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	548	160	646	255	0	48%	-0.23	13.7	2.89%	0	1.5	54	0
20	Aug_17_2006	1503.76	1246.97	1228.91	1237.82	1240.33	1270.7	1290.24(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	659	180	784	284	0	45%	-0.24	-7.7	2.88%	0	1.3	50	0

21	Aug_16_2006	1507.37	1244.63	1227.41	1222.27	1220.17	1238.12	1271.52(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	487	100	583	197	0	45%	-0.3	-24.3	2.97%	0	0.8	55	0
22	Aug_15_2006	1511.9	1244.54	1227.61	1211.62	1209.96	1209.96	1238.4(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	95	-0	125	5	0	45%	-0.26	-38.3	2.95%	0	-0.2	44	0
23	Aug_14_2006	1515.88	1244.04	1230	1204.99	1210.95	1202.22	1190.88(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-164	-40	-177	-124	0	42%	-0.27	-59.7	2.9%	0	-1.7	34	0
24	Aug_11_2006	1519.92	1246.96	1238.17	1209.89	1214.91	1209.96	1198.08(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-225	-20	-250	-151	0	40%	-0.21	-70.4	2.95%	0	-1.7	33	0
25	Aug_10_2006	1523.09	1249.51	1246.36	1217.95	1222.83	1219.68	1212.48(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-129	-10	-141	-91	0	40%		-81.1	2.95%	0	-1.4	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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