Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1198.0800 (-1.19%) ($1188.0000 - $1213.9200) on Fri. Aug. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $1198.0800(-1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $1246.96
5 Day Moving Average   $1209.89(-0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1238.17(-3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1246.96(-3.92%)
To recent high   -35.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $398.982b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.06%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.3%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.18%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2006	1519.92	1246.96	1238.17	1209.89	1214.91	1209.96	1198.08(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-225	-20	-250	-151	0	40%	-0.21	-70.4	2.95%	0	-1.7	33	NAN
2	Aug_10_2006	1523.09	1249.51	1246.36	1217.95	1222.83	1219.68	1212.48(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-129	-10	-141	-91	0	40%	-0.18	-81.1	2.95%	0	-1.4	53	NAN
3	Aug_9_2006	1525.78	1252.37	1249.61	1233.22	1235.61	1219.86	1218.24(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-235	-80	-270	-131	0	40%	-0.16	-76.1	2.95%	0	-1.2	47	NAN
4	Aug_8_2006	1528.21	1256.74	1255.25	1246.46	1251.27	1225.98	1205.28(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-530	-130	-620	-260	0	40%	-0.2	-60.6	2.95%	0	-1.6	42	NAN
5	Aug_7_2006	1531.25	1263.05	1262.34	1258.85	1269.27	1251.36	1215.36(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-424	-70	-500	-195	0	40%	-0.19	-57.9	2.96%	0	-1.6	51	NAN

6	Aug_4_2006	1534.2	1267.77	1269.74	1270.08	1276.02	1276.56	1238.4(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-162	20	-197	-57	0	40%	-0.17	-58.4	2.96%	0	-1	51	NAN
7	Aug_3_2006	1536.86	1271.9	1268.1	1278.14	1277.37	1287.18	1288.8(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	229	50	262	131	0	42%	-0.15	-45.9	2.94%	0	0.5	57	NAN
8	Aug_2_2006	1539.14	1274.3	1264	1268.35	1271.7	1275.48	1284.48(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	175	30	202	95	0	42%	-0.15	-45	2.95%	0	0.3	52	NAN
9	Aug_1_2006	1541.39	1276.13	1262.75	1266.05	1265.13	1267.56	1267.2(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	10	-36	-6	0	42%	-0.12	-42.1	2.94%	0	-0.2	44	NAN
10	Jul_31_2006	1543.27	1281.02	1258.89	1266.91	1268.01	1267.92	1271.52(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	0	74	23	0	42%	-0.1	-34.7	2.96%	0	-0.2	42	NAN

11	Jul_28_2006	1544.88	1285.97	1256	1269.79	1269.27	1262.7	1278.72(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-53	-40	-58	-37	0	42%	-0.12	-24.5	2.98%	0	-0.2	46	NAN
12	Jul_27_2006	1546.69	1287.56	1252.24	1256.54	1266.75	1268.1	1239.84(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	30	-55	-59	0	40%	-0.14	-33.2	2.95%	0	-1	39	NAN
13	Jul_26_2006	1548.93	1290.37	1254.97	1258.27	1259.14	1275.84	1272.96(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	143	90	182	25	0	40%	-0.15	-38	2.95%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
14	Jul_25_2006	1551.29	1291.68	1257.68	1258.85	1258.6	1265.4	1271.52(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	383	40	465	135	0	42%	-0.25	-39.6	2.95%	0	-0.4	43	NAN
15	Jul_24_2006	1555.13	1295.6	1262.96	1249.63	1251.67	1242.44	1285.92(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-94	-50	-92	-101	0	45%	-0.22	-40.7	2.99%	0	-0.2	39	NAN

16	Jul_21_2006	1558.52	1297.53	1264.56	1240.99	1245.73	1251.8	1212.48(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-176	50	-182	-156	0	40%	-0.26	-51.2	2.98%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
17	Jul_20_2006	1562.61	1303.33	1275.74	1247.04	1248.3	1260.9	1248.48(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	317	70	396	81	0.01	40%	-0.23	-63.1	2.99%	0	-1.3	43	NAN
18	Jul_19_2006	1566.21	1307.89	1285.2	1250.78	1244.07	1239.66	1275.84(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-35	-40	-21	-76	0	40%	-0.21	-64.4	2.98%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
19	Jul_18_2006	1569.54	1309.93	1290.13	1257.12	1252.44	1235.7	1225.44(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-409	-100	-463	-246	0	40%	-0.23	-59.9	2.93%	0	-2.1	42	NAN
20	Jul_17_2006	1573.17	1314.88	1304.97	1278.72	1275.21	1248.48	1242.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-470	-150	-541	-256	0	45%	-0.18	-59.5	2.98%	0	-2	37	NAN

21	Jul_14_2006	1576.05	1322.07	1318.71	1291.97	1293.75	1269.18	1242.72(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-574	-130	-669	-288	0	45%	-0.15	-56.8	3.17%	0	-2.3	42	NAN
22	Jul_13_2006	1578.42	1330.95	1326.66	1308.1	1309.05	1301.94	1267.2(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-337	-40	-393	-167	0	45%	-0.14	-43.2	3.19%	0	-1.8	45	NAN
23	Jul_12_2006	1580.62	1335.01	1330.08	1323.94	1322.73	1318.32	1307.52(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-30	-57	-26	0	45%	-0.1	-53.1	3.19%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
24	Jul_11_2006	1582.25	1334.68	1329.67	1327.97	1332.22	1316.16	1333.44(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-212	-70	-249	-101	0	47%	-0.16	-71.7	3.19%	0	-0	54	NAN
25	Jul_10_2006	1584.82	1336.31	1331.39	1336.03	1340.05	1327.14	1308.96(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-399	-60	-472	-179	0	47%		-79.1	3.23%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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