Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1267.2000 (-3.08%) ($1252.8000 - $1307.5200) on Thu. Jul. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.19% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $1267.2000(-3.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.595% (StdDev 3.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

Resistance Level   $1330.95
5 Day Moving Average   $1308.1(-3.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1326.66(-4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1330.95(-4.79%)
To recent high   -37.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $422.001b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 3.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.3%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2006	1578.42	1330.95	1326.66	1308.1	1309.05	1301.94	1267.2(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-337	-40	-393	-167	0	45%	-0.14	-43.2	3.19%	0	-1.8	45	NAN
2	Jul_12_2006	1580.62	1335.01	1330.08	1323.94	1322.73	1318.32	1307.52(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-30	-57	-26	0	45%	-0.1	-53.1	3.19%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
3	Jul_11_2006	1582.25	1334.68	1329.67	1327.97	1332.22	1316.16	1333.44(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-212	-70	-249	-101	0	47%	-0.16	-71.7	3.19%	0	-0	54	NAN
4	Jul_10_2006	1584.82	1336.31	1331.39	1336.03	1340.05	1327.14	1308.96(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-399	-60	-472	-179	0	47%	-0.09	-79.1	3.23%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
5	Jul_7_2006	1586.18	1341.77	1333.44	1350.14	1354.9	1348.27	1323.36(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-70	-20	-86	-21	0	47%	-0.08	-74.6	3.24%	0	-0.5	42	NAN

6	Jul_6_2006	1587.38	1346.43	1333.39	1347.84	1356.52	1352.95	1346.4(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	0	-7	-4	0	46%	-0.04	-78	3.24%	0	-0	40	NAN
7	Jul_5_2006	1588.05	1352.3	1332.18	1336.61	1343.52	1361.52	1327.68(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	127	110	152	50	0	46%	0.13	-73.7	3.25%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
8	Jul_3_2006	1585.91	1358.72	1330.97	1330.56	1329.75	1360.08	1373.76(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	552	160	653	248	0	47%	0.01	-65.8	3.22%	0	0.3	60	NAN
9	Jun_30_2006	1585.82	1363.54	1324.7	1326.53	1317.42	1325.52	1379.52(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	348	20	416	143	0.01	47%	-0.01	-58.9	3.2%	0	0.2	51	NAN
10	Jun_29_2006	1585.94	1370.87	1324.01	1315.87	1317.06	1299.42	1311.84(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-171	-90	-190	-114	0	43%	-0.06	-56.9	3.13%	0	-0.8	40	NAN

11	Jun_28_2006	1586.95	1379.75	1334.16	1317.6	1320.3	1309.32	1290.24(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-417	-50	-479	-229	0	45%	-0.06	-50.9	3.16%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
12	Jun_27_2006	1587.95	1390.45	1339.83	1326.82	1328.04	1334.7	1297.44(-4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	32	40	51	-26	0	47%	-0.09	-47.2	3.23%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
13	Jun_26_2006	1589.33	1399.38	1340.4	1329.98	1328.13	1331.28	1353.6(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	176	10	226	25	0	49%	-0.06	-47.4	3.22%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
14	Jun_23_2006	1590.26	1406.9	1341.54	1322.21	1320.75	1321.38	1326.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-129	0	-127	-135	0	51%	-0.08	-54.8	3.27%	0	-1	35	NAN
15	Jun_22_2006	1591.49	1415.25	1350.72	1334.02	1327.95	1324.98	1320.48(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-120	-30	-115	-136	0	51%	-0.11	-57	3.29%	0	-1.2	30	NAN

16	Jun_21_2006	1593.21	1420.98	1360.62	1354.18	1347.66	1320.12	1336.32(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-288	-160	-313	-211	0	50%	-0.14	-63.5	3.29%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
17	Jun_20_2006	1595.46	1427.89	1373.91	1355.33	1363.95	1330.92	1313.28(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-595	-150	-674	-358	0	50%	-0.14	-80.5	3.3%	0	-1.6	34	NAN
18	Jun_19_2006	1597.71	1436.09	1388.92	1351.3	1364.49	1375.2	1314.72(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-267	80	-287	-208	0	50%	-0.09	-105.6	3.3%	0	-1.8	39	NAN
19	Jun_16_2006	1599.13	1450.99	1405.92	1362.24	1359.18	1396.98	1385.28(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	546	190	669	176	0.01	52%	-0.04	-105.1	3.24%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
20	Jun_15_2006	1599.78	1460.78	1420.96	1370.02	1358.55	1353.78	1421.28(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	316	-50	395	77	0	52%	-0	-113.7	3.23%	0	-0.5	44	NAN

21	Jun_14_2006	1599.83	1469.69	1427.65	1370.3	1369.98	1321.38	1342.08(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-815	-250	-936	-451	0	51%	-0.08	-120.7	3.14%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
22	Jun_13_2006	1601.09	1488.03	1444.42	1397.38	1396.8	1363.32	1293.12(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1103	-170	-1281	-567	0.01	49%	-0.08	-109	3.14%	0	-2.1	36	NAN
23	Jun_12_2006	1602.31	1510.08	1464.05	1431.65	1437.21	1418.58	1369.44(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-321	-80	-368	-178	0	52%	0	-107.4	3.07%	0	-1.5	42	NAN
24	Jun_9_2006	1602.28	1529.67	1478.77	1454.69	1454.31	1430.28	1424.16(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-556	-120	-646	-286	0	54%	0.01	-99.7	3.04%	0	-1	34	NAN
25	Jun_8_2006	1602.13	1550.8	1486.1	1479.17	1476.09	1455.84	1422.72(-3.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-545	-100	-635	-276	0.01	52%		-81.2	3.04%	0	-1	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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