Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 26, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1353.6000 (2.06%) ($1321.9300 - $1359.3600) on Mon. Jun. 26, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.22% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $1353.6000(2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    VWO(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    XOP(-3%)    REMX(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.61% (StdDev 3.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $1399.38
5 Day Moving Average   $1329.98(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1340.4(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1399.38(-3.27%)
To recent high   -33.2%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $450.773b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.4% (three month std-dev: 3.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_26_2006	1589.33	1399.38	1340.4	1329.98	1328.13	1331.28	1353.6(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	176	10	226	25	0	49%	-0.06	-47.4	3.22%	0	-0.6	39	0
2	Jun_23_2006	1590.26	1406.9	1341.54	1322.21	1320.75	1321.38	1326.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-129	0	-127	-135	0	51%	-0.08	-54.8	3.27%	0	-1	35	0
3	Jun_22_2006	1591.49	1415.25	1350.72	1334.02	1327.95	1324.98	1320.48(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-120	-30	-115	-136	0	51%	-0.11	-57	3.29%	0	-1.2	30	0
4	Jun_21_2006	1593.21	1420.98	1360.62	1354.18	1347.66	1320.12	1336.32(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-288	-160	-313	-211	0	50%	-0.14	-63.5	3.29%	0	-1.1	37	0
5	Jun_20_2006	1595.46	1427.89	1373.91	1355.33	1363.95	1330.92	1313.28(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-595	-150	-674	-358	0	50%	-0.14	-80.5	3.3%	0	-1.6	34	0

6	Jun_19_2006	1597.71	1436.09	1388.92	1351.3	1364.49	1375.2	1314.72(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-267	80	-287	-208	0	50%	-0.09	-105.6	3.3%	0	-1.8	39	0
7	Jun_16_2006	1599.13	1450.99	1405.92	1362.24	1359.18	1396.98	1385.28(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	546	190	669	176	0.01	52%	-0.04	-105.1	3.24%	0	-0.9	40	0
8	Jun_15_2006	1599.78	1460.78	1420.96	1370.02	1358.55	1353.78	1421.28(5.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	316	-50	395	77	0	52%	-0	-113.7	3.23%	0	-0.5	44	0
9	Jun_14_2006	1599.83	1469.69	1427.65	1370.3	1369.98	1321.38	1342.08(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-815	-250	-936	-451	0	51%	-0.08	-120.7	3.14%	0	-1.6	45	0
10	Jun_13_2006	1601.09	1488.03	1444.42	1397.38	1396.8	1363.32	1293.12(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-1103	-170	-1281	-567	0.01	49%	-0.08	-109	3.14%	0	-2.1	36	0

11	Jun_12_2006	1602.31	1510.08	1464.05	1431.65	1437.21	1418.58	1369.44(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-321	-80	-368	-178	0	52%	0	-107.4	3.07%	0	-1.5	42	0
12	Jun_9_2006	1602.28	1529.67	1478.77	1454.69	1454.31	1430.28	1424.16(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-556	-120	-646	-286	0	54%	0.01	-99.7	3.04%	0	-1	34	0
13	Jun_8_2006	1602.13	1550.8	1486.1	1479.17	1476.09	1455.84	1422.72(-3.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-545	-100	-635	-276	0.01	52%	0.02	-81.2	3.04%	0	-1	37	0
14	Jun_7_2006	1601.87	1573.36	1487.64	1493.57	1502.28	1478.34	1477.44(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-280	-90	-319	-161	0	50%	0.06	-70.1	3.03%	0	-0.7	39	0
15	Jun_6_2006	1600.84	1594.03	1487.08	1499.33	1504.24	1496.34	1464.48(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-455	-30	-519	-263	0	50%	-0.09	-63.4	3.21%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	Jun_5_2006	1602.24	1617.59	1487.82	1501.06	1509.84	1526.22	1484.64(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	226	90	290	33	0	50%	0.06	-57.7	3.22%	0	-0.8	31	0
17	Jun_2_2006	1601.24	1639.53	1499.8	1505.95	1502.01	1512.13	1546.56(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	263	40	338	37	0	52%	0.11	-53.4	3.18%	0	-0.5	32	0
18	Jun_1_2006	1599.54	1657.16	1502.41	1495.01	1497.78	1493.46	1494.72(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	70	-10	122	-88	0	50%	0.14	-53.7	3.15%	0	-0.9	23	0
19	May_31_2006	1597.29	1677	1512.99	1480.9	1488.26	1491.88	1506.24(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-91	30	-57	-193	0.01	50%	0.15	-57.5	3.22%	0	-0.9	22	0
20	May_30_2006	1594.84	1698.28	1532.4	1473.41	1477.71	1502.1	1473.12(-2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	186	120	276	-84	0	50%	0.33	-60.2	3.21%	0	-1.2	18	0

21	May_26_2006	1589.6	1721.26	1557.55	1472.26	1477.35	1484.64	1509.12(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	326	40	447	-39	0.01	52%	0.15	-63	3.16%	0	-1.1	17	0
22	May_25_2006	1587.19	1740.8	1582.35	1493.86	1481.49	1453.32	1491.84(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-575	-160	-612	-465	0	52%	0.14	-61.3	3.18%	0	-1.4	18	0
23	May_24_2006	1584.94	1763.33	1618.49	1512.86	1517.58	1470.06	1424.16(-3.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-927	-210	-1027	-627	0.01	51%	0.11	-60.5	3.15%	0	-1.9	12	0
24	May_23_2006	1583.15	1792.32	1665.25	1550.02	1557.81	1509.66	1468.8(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1157	-200	-1304	-717	0.01	51%	-0.07	-59.1	3.16%	0	-1.9	16	0
25	May_22_2006	1584.33	1820.94	1709.85	1600.13	1600.65	1565.1	1467.36(-9.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-1030	-150	-1161	-636	0.01	51%		-54.8	3.16%	0	-2.3	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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