Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1556.6400 (1.5%) ($1488.9600 - $1569.6000) on Tue. Jan. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $1556.6400(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    VWO(34%)    QQQ(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1483.78(4.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1450.15(7.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1380.84(12.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33%
Market Cap   $518.389b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.51% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.61%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.14%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.15%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.24%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.01%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2006	1331.05	1380.84	1450.15	1483.78	1487.07	1522.44	1556.64(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	903	170	1026	535	0.01	66%	-0.06	70.4	2.56%	0	2	81	NAN
2	Jan_30_2006	1331.88	1363.76	1431.52	1465.63	1464.57	1483.92	1533.6(5.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	653	90	731	418	0.01	66%	-0.08	68.3	2.59%	0	2.1	79	NAN
3	Jan_27_2006	1332.95	1348.87	1415.99	1441.44	1456.29	1451.7	1454.4(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	320	10	339	262	0	59%	-0.12	60.5	2.51%	0	1.4	74	NAN
4	Jan_26_2006	1334.51	1338.69	1408.62	1423.87	1439.55	1445.22	1448.64(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-95	60	-149	68	0	59%	-0.12	55.7	2.56%	0	1.4	75	NAN
5	Jan_25_2006	1336.05	1328.47	1392.14	1416.1	1426.5	1460.88	1425.6(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	575	190	639	381	0	59%	-0.14	55.3	2.56%	0	1.3	73	NAN

6	Jan_24_2006	1337.86	1320.39	1377.21	1410.34	1417.21	1433.88	1465.92(3.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	976	100	1111	572	0.01	62%	0.1	52.8	2.54%	0	2	82	NAN
7	Jan_23_2006	1336.53	1310.23	1357.93	1392.48	1393.63	1392.12	1412.64(3.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-63	-10	-111	80	0.01	59%	-0.13	46.6	2.5%	0	1.6	82	NAN
8	Jan_20_2006	1338.24	1303.32	1344.73	1387.3	1389.13	1400.54	1366.56(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	164	60	155	191	0.01	56%	-0.26	53.3	2.52%	0	1	72	NAN
9	Jan_19_2006	1341.68	1297.18	1335.75	1390.46	1384.99	1395.14	1409.76(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	533	40	586	372	0	59%	-0.18	59.8	2.55%	0	1.9	77	NAN
10	Jan_18_2006	1344.08	1288.56	1321.59	1363.68	1365.48	1377.72	1396.8(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	372	70	403	278	0	59%	-0.07	53.4	2.56%	0	2	77	NAN

11	Jan_17_2006	1344.98	1283.08	1306.51	1338.05	1337.13	1374.84	1376.64(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	665	200	756	391	0	59%	-0.03	51.8	2.57%	0	2	68	NAN
12	Jan_13_2006	1345.35	1280.23	1290.77	1317.6	1309.41	1353.24	1386.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	1166	220	1354	602	0.01	59%	-0.04	58.2	2.55%	0	2.6	68	NAN
13	Jan_12_2006	1345.84	1271.43	1275.75	1296.29	1285.11	1299.42	1382.4(8.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	713	50	829	364	0.01	55%	-0.06	52.9	2.55%	0	3.1	65	NAN
14	Jan_11_2006	1346.64	1262.47	1261.82	1274.4	1272.16	1265.58	1275.84(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-111	-40	-134	-41	0	46%	-0.1	46	2.38%	0	0.5	58	NAN
15	Jan_10_2006	1347.93	1260.84	1259.03	1273.54	1274.14	1270.8	1268.64(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-117	-20	-141	-45	0	46%	-0.1	43.3	2.41%	0	0.3	57	NAN

16	Jan_9_2006	1349.31	1259.01	1258.93	1269.5	1272.43	1278.74	1274.4(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	145	40	170	70	0	46%	-0.09	40.7	2.43%	0	0.5	43	NAN
17	Jan_6_2006	1350.5	1256.58	1258.71	1258.56	1261.36	1277.48	1280.16(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	340	100	406	141	0	46%	-0.08	26.3	2.43%	0	0.8	38	NAN
18	Jan_5_2006	1351.57	1252.96	1258.62	1251.36	1247.76	1266.12	1272.96(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	428	90	508	186	0	42%	-0.1	18.4	2.44%	0	0.7	59	NAN
19	Jan_4_2006	1352.95	1250.22	1255.85	1247.62	1241.46	1245.24	1271.52(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	267	10	318	112	0.01	39%	-0.11	15.9	2.53%	0	0.7	60	NAN
20	Jan_3_2006	1354.39	1248.17	1253.18	1243.01	1241.28	1229.4	1248.48(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-235	-70	-271	-128	0	39%	-0.19	14.9	2.57%	0	0	52	NAN

21	Dec_30_2005	1356.98	1247.07	1258.09	1247.33	1250.46	1237.68	1219.68(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-394	-60	-463	-188	0	39%	-0.17	17.6	2.55%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
22	Dec_29_2005	1359.35	1248.65	1269.47	1258.56	1263.42	1253.16	1244.16(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-253	-50	-306	-95	0	39%	-0.12	28.9	2.55%	0	-0.1	55	NAN
23	Dec_28_2005	1361.02	1247.4	1267.58	1266.62	1272.24	1263.24	1254.24(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-204	-40	-251	-62	0	39%	-0.15	31.7	2.55%	0	0.2	59	NAN
24	Dec_27_2005	1363	1245.12	1263.86	1264.9	1276.29	1273.68	1248.48(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	10	-103	-5	0	39%	-0.1	27.6	2.56%	0	0.1	56	NAN
25	Dec_23_2005	1364.36	1243.33	1263.67	1264.32	1272.51	1281.24	1270.08(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	70	60	63	0	39%		31.3	2.54%	0	0.8	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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