Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1216.8000 (0.6%) ($1195.2000 - $1236.9600) on Wed. Dec. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $1216.8000(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    VWO(34%)    QQQ(33%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $1218.45
5 Day Moving Average   $1224.58(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1224.57(-0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1218.45(-0.14%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $405.217b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2005	1375.11	1218.45	1224.57	1224.58	1224.27	1217.16	1216.8(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-250	-40	-295	-114	0	28%	-0.21	-71.1	2.15%	0	-0.1	44	0
2	Dec_13_2005	1377.98	1220.4	1224.61	1222.27	1224.54	1229.76	1209.6(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	3	40	5	-3	0	26%	-0.19	-75.8	2.16%	0	-0.5	42	0
3	Dec_12_2005	1380.54	1224.06	1224.56	1223.71	1221.39	1231.38	1242.72(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	259	50	306	117	0	28%	-0.2	-61.5	2.17%	0	0.7	56	0
4	Dec_9_2005	1383.27	1226.36	1221.17	1221.41	1219.5	1219.32	1229.76(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	157	-10	185	71	0	28%	-0.17	-49	2.16%	0	0.1	62	0
5	Dec_8_2005	1385.6	1229.43	1221.36	1220.26	1219.41	1211.4	1224(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-226	-50	-267	-102	0	28%	-0.22	-39.6	2.18%	0	-0.2	59	0

6	Dec_7_2005	1388.72	1232.98	1222.86	1225.15	1224.72	1219.68	1205.28(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-222	-30	-269	-82	0	28%	-0.2	-26.2	2.17%	0	-0.7	60	0
7	Dec_6_2005	1391.5	1237.48	1226.76	1227.17	1231.17	1227.42	1216.8(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10	19	33	0	28%	-0.16	-17.3	2.17%	0	-0.5	43	0
8	Dec_5_2005	1393.75	1240.69	1227.11	1224.86	1226.04	1229.76	1231.2(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-55	20	-67	-19	0	28%	-0.16	-16.5	2.18%	0	-0.2	41	0
9	Dec_2_2005	1395.98	1241.78	1222.61	1220.54	1222.53	1234.93	1224(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	255	80	306	102	0	24%	-0.17	-15.5	2.2%	0	-0.4	38	0
10	Dec_1_2005	1398.39	1243.35	1219.46	1222.56	1221	1222.33	1248.48(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	202	0	248	62	0	29%	-0.19	-9.8	2.34%	0	0.1	40	0

11	Nov_30_2005	1401.03	1242.98	1211.8	1221.12	1222.02	1210.14	1215.36(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-238	-70	-263	-161	0	44%	-0.25	-12.6	2.71%	0	-0.7	34	0
12	Nov_29_2005	1404.49	1244.47	1215.73	1226.88	1229.58	1219.68	1205.28(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-284	-50	-318	-181	0	44%	-0.25	-12.8	2.89%	0	-1	32	0
13	Nov_28_2005	1408.01	1247.43	1223.48	1229.47	1236.42	1233.9	1209.6(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	0	-29	-63	0	44%	-0.22	-15.4	2.89%	0	-1	37	0
14	Nov_25_2005	1411.06	1248.18	1231.84	1224	1230.21	1239.48	1234.08(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	113	70	147	9	0	42%	-0.24	-27.2	2.92%	0	-0.4	48	0
15	Nov_23_2005	1414.5	1247.31	1237.65	1215.07	1217.25	1238.94	1241.28(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	397	130	482	141	0	45%	-0.16	-35.9	2.95%	0	-0.2	49	0

16	Nov_22_2005	1416.77	1248.09	1243.06	1200.96	1200.6	1220.94	1244.16(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	395	120	481	136	0	45%	-0.12	-49.4	2.95%	0	-0.1	52	0
17	Nov_21_2005	1418.51	1249.56	1248.01	1204.13	1195.38	1195.56	1218.24(3.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	41	-20	62	-22	0	45%	-0.17	-46.1	2.94%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Nov_18_2005	1420.88	1253.39	1254.57	1218.24	1214.01	1180.26	1182.24(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-484	-210	-560	-256	0	43%	-0.2	-38.1	2.91%	0	-1.8	36	0
19	Nov_17_2005	1423.79	1258.7	1262.57	1241.57	1242.18	1195.2	1189.44(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1055	-260	-1239	-502	0.01	43%	-0.19	-26	2.92%	0	-1.9	49	0
20	Nov_16_2005	1426.48	1261.33	1270.06	1263.46	1274.04	1247.76	1170.72(-7.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-798	-120	-945	-358	0.01	43%	-0.23	-17.8	2.91%	0	-2.7	47	0

21	Nov_15_2005	1429.78	1267.55	1278.62	1289.66	1295.37	1289.16	1260(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-236	-20	-291	-72	0	47%	-0.07	2.8	2.78%	0	-0.3	52	0
22	Nov_14_2005	1430.77	1268.27	1277.32	1297.44	1303.38	1300.32	1288.8(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-0	-10	44	0	47%	-0.06	-1.8	2.77%	0	0.7	52	0
23	Nov_11_2005	1431.6	1268.69	1274.57	1296.29	1302.3	1301.58	1298.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	10	-7	39	0	49%	-0.07	-17.3	2.78%	0	1.1	49	0
24	Nov_10_2005	1432.62	1268.35	1266.61	1287.07	1295.37	1306.44	1298.88(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	162	80	184	97	0	49%	-0.13	-46.6	2.81%	0	1.1	52	0
25	Nov_9_2005	1434.45	1267.37	1257.96	1278.14	1284.3	1303.02	1301.76(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	384	120	448	191	0	52%		-75.5	2.83%	0	1.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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