Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1425.6000 (0.71%) ($1404.0000 - $1440.0000) on Mon. Dec. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.85% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $1425.6000(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.925% (StdDev 3.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1409.18(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1372.27(3.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1349.35(5.65%)
To recent high   -24.7%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $474.751b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.07% (three month std-dev: 3.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2004	1477.24	1349.35	1372.27	1409.18	1414.71	1420.38	1425.6(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	96	40	80	144	0	56%	0.38	-5.2	3.85%	0	0.8	55	0
2	Dec_23_2004	1471.69	1349.34	1352.21	1404.29	1413.09	1415.34	1415.52(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	179	30	183	165	0	56%	0.13	-6.9	3.82%	0	0.7	51	0
3	Dec_22_2004	1469.85	1350.23	1332.31	1387.87	1401.03	1409.04	1401.12(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	103	70	104	101	0.01	56%	0.1	-11.7	3.86%	0	0.5	49	0
4	Dec_21_2004	1468.36	1352.33	1308.51	1377.5	1385.1	1410.84	1392.48(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	292	150	337	157	0	56%	0.05	-13.9	3.87%	0	0.4	46	0
5	Dec_20_2004	1467.57	1354.04	1287.6	1369.44	1371.78	1393.02	1411.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	568	110	671	257	0.01	56%	-0.01	-16.8	3.86%	0	0.6	46	0

6	Dec_17_2004	1467.77	1354.34	1280.35	1329.12	1343.52	1359.36	1401.12(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	355	120	432	123	0.01	56%	0.05	-28.1	3.87%	0	0.5	44	0
7	Dec_16_2004	1466.97	1355.93	1277.24	1292.26	1304.37	1350.54	1333.44(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	470	280	576	151	0.01	54%	0.04	-37.9	3.81%	0	-0.2	41	0
8	Dec_15_2004	1466.41	1361.77	1282.88	1267.78	1270.62	1327.68	1349.28(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	1037	320	1249	400	0.01	54%	0.05	-52.1	3.82%	0	-0.1	41	0
9	Dec_14_2004	1465.71	1366.41	1289.89	1228.9	1229.49	1258.2	1352.16(11.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	690	160	849	213	0.03	54%	0.1	-69.6	3.82%	0	-0.1	41	0
10	Dec_13_2004	1464.21	1371.27	1297.17	1194.91	1197.72	1213.56	1209.6(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	93	100	156	-97	0.01	46%	-0.05	-85.6	3.52%	0	-1.5	26	0

11	Dec_10_2004	1464.95	1383.62	1322.45	1225.44	1199.07	1200.78	1216.8(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-116	-50	-96	-174	0.01	49%	-0.03	-92.4	3.56%	0	-1.6	28	0
12	Dec_9_2004	1465.39	1396.22	1345.43	1261.44	1240.02	1181.88	1211.04(4.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-609	-380	-683	-387	0.01	49%	-0.06	-100.4	3.6%	0	-2	26	0
13	Dec_8_2004	1466.26	1419	1370.19	1301.18	1294.2	1197.36	1154.88(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-1682	-540	-1952	-872	0.01	46%	-0.16	-86	3.59%	0	-2.6	14	0
14	Dec_7_2004	1468.63	1444.97	1402.56	1358.78	1357.02	1298.16	1182.24(-13.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-1579	-310	-1842	-791	0.03	43%	-0.1	-86.4	3.58%	0	-2.7	17	0
15	Dec_6_2004	1470.17	1470.48	1430.71	1411.78	1419.48	1391.04	1362.24(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-512	-120	-595	-263	0.01	52%	-0.07	-85.1	3.24%	0	-1.2	30	0

16	Dec_3_2004	1471.19	1484.8	1438.48	1432.8	1441.35	1415.88	1396.8(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-525	-110	-614	-258	0	52%	-0.06	-81.8	3.25%	0	-1	40	0
17	Dec_2_2004	1472.02	1498.52	1443.95	1442.3	1454.04	1447.92	1409.76(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-295	-10	-345	-145	0.01	52%	-0.07	-79.9	3.25%	0	-0.9	39	0
18	Dec_1_2004	1473.03	1512.5	1448.99	1450.66	1459.53	1466.82	1442.88(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	113	50	140	31	0.01	52%	-0.08	-81.5	3.24%	0	-0.7	19	0
19	Nov_30_2004	1474.19	1532.6	1449.64	1454.11	1455.3	1460.16	1447.2(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	121	30	156	16	0.01	57%	0.05	-65.7	3.37%	0	-0.7	20	0
20	Nov_29_2004	1473.43	1549.41	1450.47	1452.67	1451.07	1452.24	1467.36(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	52	0	82	-38	0.01	57%	0.04	-63.2	3.41%	0	-0.6	20	0

21	Nov_26_2004	1472.89	1564.22	1448.02	1445.47	1445.04	1450.44	1444.32(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	12	30	43	-81	0	52%	0.06	-62.7	3.41%	0	-0.8	23	0
22	Nov_24_2004	1472.06	1581.75	1449.14	1446.05	1440.99	1449.9	1451.52(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	111	30	165	-52	0	52%	0.01	-57.5	3.51%	0	-0.8	22	0
23	Nov_23_2004	1471.86	1603	1469.07	1447.2	1438.74	1439.64	1460.16(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	43	-10	86	-86	0.01	52%	-0.01	-54.4	3.52%	0	-0.9	21	0
24	Nov_22_2004	1471.98	1622.08	1488.13	1444.9	1441.35	1432.08	1440(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-141	-50	-125	-190	0.01	52%	-0.07	-53.4	3.53%	0	-1.1	12	0
25	Nov_19_2004	1473.07	1642.38	1511.47	1448.06	1446.3	1437.84	1431.36(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-226	-40	-222	-237	0.01	52%		-54	3.56%	0	-1.3	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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