Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1440.0000 (0.6%) ($1419.8400 - $1447.2000) on Mon. Nov. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.53% (three month average)
RSI   12
Latest Price   $1440.0000(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -1.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.765% (StdDev 3.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $1622.08
5 Day Moving Average   $1444.9(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1488.13(-3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1622.08(-11.23%)
To recent high   -23.9%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $479.546b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 10.26% (three month std-dev: 3.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.52%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2004	1471.98	1622.08	1488.13	1444.9	1441.35	1432.08	1440(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-141	-50	-125	-190	0.01	52%	-0.07	-53.4	3.53%	0	-1.1	12	0
2	Nov_19_2004	1473.07	1642.38	1511.47	1448.06	1446.3	1437.84	1431.36(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-226	-40	-222	-237	0.01	52%	-0.12	-54	3.56%	0	-1.3	22	0
3	Nov_18_2004	1474.79	1660.67	1533.46	1450.66	1451.25	1450.62	1447.2(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-73	-0	-39	-173	0.01	52%	-0.16	-56.5	3.57%	0	-1.4	25	0
4	Nov_17_2004	1477.16	1679.37	1556.51	1452.38	1448.91	1454.76	1457.28(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-100	20	-68	-194	0	55%	-0.14	-59.8	3.58%	0	-1.5	25	0
5	Nov_16_2004	1479.29	1697.64	1580.62	1495.58	1459.89	1451.88	1448.64(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-335	-110	-347	-299	0.01	55%	-0.13	-54.2	3.62%	0	-1.7	21	0

6	Nov_15_2004	1481.23	1716.14	1621.93	1539.65	1514.52	1443.06	1455.84(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-727	-380	-815	-462	0.01	55%	-0.14	-48.6	3.62%	0	-2	26	0
7	Nov_12_2004	1483.38	1735.14	1656.76	1585.73	1569.51	1467.9	1444.32(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1829	-480	-2117	-964	0.02	55%	-0.15	-42.3	3.64%	0	-2.5	25	0
8	Nov_11_2004	1485.56	1754.66	1691.49	1627.78	1627.83	1585.98	1455.84(-12.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-1308	-180	-1510	-701	0.03	55%	-0.17	-33.5	3.68%	0	-3.1	32	0
9	Nov_10_2004	1488.05	1774.83	1728.18	1672.7	1669.41	1671.12	1673.28(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-60	0	-45	-103	0	67%	0.02	-22.4	3.28%	0	-1.4	40	0
10	Nov_9_2004	1487.73	1778.82	1749.19	1677.89	1676.52	1669.68	1668.96(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-188	-30	-199	-154	0	63%	0.02	-11.5	3.33%	0	-1.6	40	0

11	Nov_8_2004	1487.45	1782.58	1767.27	1718.78	1700.28	1667.7	1686.24(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-583	-170	-671	-317	0.01	63%	0.03	18.8	3.41%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	Nov_5_2004	1486.93	1786.43	1783.55	1741.54	1749.6	1683.36	1654.56(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-831	-250	-968	-420	0.01	59%	-0.01	42.3	3.51%	0	-2	38	0
13	Nov_4_2004	1487.03	1788.02	1798.28	1765.87	1779.39	1732.86	1680.48(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-1162	-160	-1360	-567	0.01	59%	-0	69.5	3.51%	0	-1.7	41	0
14	Nov_3_2004	1487.08	1790.75	1812.6	1790.64	1799.24	1815.84	1699.2(-9.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-278	80	-323	-141	0.02	56%	-0.02	86.7	3.51%	0	-1.3	40	0
15	Nov_2_2004	1487.32	1786.71	1824.97	1829.23	1818.86	1825.92	1873.44(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	529	10	618	262	0.01	56%	0.14	90.9	3.36%	0	1	65	0

16	Nov_1_2004	1485.24	1770.7	1817.15	1824.34	1821.92	1782.63	1800(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-458	-150	-544	-199	0	54%	0.22	84.9	3.5%	0	0.3	62	0
17	Oct_29_2004	1482.02	1758.93	1818.82	1833.55	1836.41	1811.79	1776.24(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-691	-90	-821	-300	0.01	58%	0.01	84.8	3.63%	0	0.2	56	0
18	Oct_28_2004	1481.94	1746.21	1822.54	1835.42	1853.37	1861.2	1804.32(-4.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	87	60	89	79	0.01	58%	0.03	81.3	3.63%	0	0.5	68	0
19	Oct_27_2004	1481.49	1730.8	1825.39	1836.58	1842.84	1861.02	1892.16(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	338	80	381	208	0.01	64%	0.06	80.1	3.58%	0	1.2	68	0
20	Oct_26_2004	1480.55	1711.28	1809.88	1819.87	1823.76	1845.54	1848.96(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	315	90	353	201	0	60%	0.02	76.4	3.64%	0	1	75	0

21	Oct_25_2004	1480.3	1692.86	1797.84	1809.79	1816.11	1824.66	1846.08(3.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	315	40	349	211	0.01	60%	0	68.3	3.74%	0	1.1	77	0
22	Oct_22_2004	1480.25	1670.33	1787.93	1803.46	1810.62	1801.98	1785.6(-1.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-51	-20	-86	54	0.01	60%	-0.07	60.8	3.72%	0	0.8	74	0
23	Oct_21_2004	1481.34	1651.43	1776.4	1807.78	1811.79	1807.56	1810.08(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-170	-10	-232	15	0.01	56%	-0.31	56.1	3.74%	0	1	79	0
24	Oct_20_2004	1485.93	1631.73	1767.04	1812.1	1821.07	1819.26	1808.64(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	110	10	90	169	0	58%	-0.37	53.9	3.84%	0	1.2	80	0
25	Oct_19_2004	1491.44	1614.52	1746.08	1797.7	1815.49	1816.02	1798.56(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	110	30	89	172	0.01	54%		51.2	3.87%	0	1.2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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