Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1529.2800 (-1.39%) ($1506.2400 - $1581.1200) on Fri. Sep. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.27% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $1529.2800(-1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.135% (StdDev 4.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $1546.56(-1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1489.87(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1415.36(8.05%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   43.1%
Market Cap   $509.278b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.49% (three month std-dev: 4.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2004	1633.98	1415.36	1489.87	1546.56	1556.01	1548.54	1529.28(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-20	-36	68	0.01	44%	-0.58	95.3	4.27%	0	1.1	77	0
2	Sep_16_2004	1643.45	1400.89	1482.31	1540.22	1558.71	1550.16	1550.88(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-0	-18	95	0	44%	-0.59	100.3	4.27%	0	1.4	81	0
3	Sep_15_2004	1653.26	1383.76	1470.22	1516.9	1540.08	1563.48	1530.72(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	218	150	227	192	0	44%	-0.63	98.1	4.28%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Sep_14_2004	1663.68	1366.02	1460.14	1486.08	1502.73	1567.26	1565.28(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	825	330	941	476	0.01	42%	-0.71	89.9	4.29%	0	1.8	72	0
5	Sep_13_2004	1675.56	1343.7	1436.1	1448.06	1454.22	1516.68	1556.64(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1005	310	1157	548	0.01	42%	-0.71	81.1	4.35%	0	1.9	73	0

6	Sep_10_2004	1687.51	1321.04	1407.32	1426.18	1418.31	1438.2	1497.6(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	504	80	571	302	0.01	42%	-0.74	75.1	4.35%	0	1.6	67	0
7	Sep_9_2004	1700.02	1299.81	1382.18	1426.18	1413.36	1391.76	1434.24(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-131	-120	-176	3	0	40%	-0.75	65.1	4.31%	0	1.2	68	0
8	Sep_8_2004	1712.85	1283.81	1371.5	1417.82	1427.49	1398.42	1376.64(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-449	-120	-554	-133	0	40%	-0.74	59.8	4.28%	0	0.8	68	0
9	Sep_7_2004	1725.6	1271.82	1363.02	1429.34	1445.04	1434.96	1375.2(-4.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-179	-20	-243	13	0.01	40%	-1.37	57.7	4.29%	0	0.9	70	0
10	Sep_3_2004	1749.62	1257.26	1352.42	1419.26	1444.23	1456.56	1447.2(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	290	110	304	246	0	37%	-0.5	44.8	4.22%	0	1.5	80	0

11	Sep_2_2004	1758.33	1241.29	1335.96	1383.26	1405.62	1455.12	1455.84(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	527	300	587	348	0	37%	-0.49	27.1	4.66%	0	1.9	81	0
12	Sep_1_2004	1767.03	1228.02	1313.39	1340.35	1355.22	1431.9	1434.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	952	430	1088	543	0.01	37%	-0.52	13.4	4.67%	0	2	82	0
13	Aug_31_2004	1776.33	1216.72	1290.16	1319.33	1313.19	1356.12	1434.24(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	883	210	1007	511	0.02	37%	-0.55	6.6	4.69%	0	2.4	75	0
14	Aug_30_2004	1786.18	1206.14	1263.32	1289.38	1286.64	1278.54	1324.8(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	141	-50	137	154	0.01	33%	-0.27	-4.3	4.59%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Aug_27_2004	1790.94	1204.35	1243.23	1276.7	1280.16	1270.26	1267.2(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-252	-50	-326	-30	0	33%	-0.52	-2.4	4.54%	0	0.7	69	0

16	Aug_26_2004	1800.39	1210.98	1227.98	1281.02	1288.53	1294.74	1241.28(-6.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	80	50	64	129	0	33%	-0.41	6	4.54%	0	0.3	59	0
17	Aug_25_2004	1807.86	1214.25	1212.03	1279.87	1286.63	1290.06	1329.12(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	203	30	212	176	0	35%	-0.37	8.6	4.48%	0	1.2	57	0
18	Aug_24_2004	1814.51	1210.67	1189.75	1255.39	1269.17	1282.32	1284.48(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	148	110	155	126	0	39%	-0.38	0.4	4.45%	0	0.8	53	0
19	Aug_23_2004	1821.52	1209.68	1173.95	1232.93	1245.86	1283.2	1261.44(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	435	240	501	237	0	39%	-0.45	-11.9	4.6%	0	0.6	49	0
20	Aug_20_2004	1829.76	1206.56	1155.33	1204.13	1215.98	1256.02	1288.8(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	655	260	772	303	0.01	39%	-0.41	-26.6	4.59%	0	0.9	45	0

21	Aug_19_2004	1837.36	1205.42	1138.82	1167.26	1179.09	1208.52	1235.52(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	493	210	597	181	0.01	39%	-0.4	-46.5	4.56%	0	0.3	34	0
22	Aug_18_2004	1844.75	1206.23	1134.69	1133.86	1144.62	1175.94	1206.72(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	341	220	427	82	0	39%	-0.43	-65	4.55%	0	0	42	0
23	Aug_17_2004	1852.77	1210.32	1135.57	1114.85	1124.82	1149.66	1172.16(4.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	422	180	528	105	0	39%	-0.4	-74.2	4.53%	0	-0.4	44	0
24	Aug_16_2004	1860.22	1220.52	1142.07	1107.07	1106.19	1113.3	1117.44(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	108	40	161	-51	0	36%	-0.42	-81.9	4.49%	0	-1	39	0
25	Aug_13_2004	1868	1231.45	1160.46	1099.01	1104.84	1099.98	1104.48(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10	-22	-119	0	36%		-79.8	4.49%	0	-1.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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