Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 23, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1261.4400 (-2.12%) ($1255.6800 - $1321.9200) on Mon. Aug. 23, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.6% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $1261.4400(-2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.3% (StdDev 4.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $1232.93(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1173.95(7.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1209.68(4.28%)
To recent high   -46.3%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $420.082b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 7.51% (three month std-dev: 4.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2004	1821.52	1209.68	1173.95	1232.93	1245.86	1283.2	1261.44(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	435	240	501	237	0	39%	-0.45	-11.9	4.6%	0	0.6	49	0
2	Aug_20_2004	1829.76	1206.56	1155.33	1204.13	1215.98	1256.02	1288.8(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	655	260	772	303	0.01	39%	-0.41	-26.6	4.59%	0	0.9	45	0
3	Aug_19_2004	1837.36	1205.42	1138.82	1167.26	1179.09	1208.52	1235.52(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	493	210	597	181	0.01	39%	-0.4	-46.5	4.56%	0	0.3	34	0
4	Aug_18_2004	1844.75	1206.23	1134.69	1133.86	1144.62	1175.94	1206.72(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	341	220	427	82	0	39%	-0.43	-65	4.55%	0	0	42	0
5	Aug_17_2004	1852.77	1210.32	1135.57	1114.85	1124.82	1149.66	1172.16(4.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	422	180	528	105	0	39%	-0.4	-74.2	4.53%	0	-0.4	44	0

6	Aug_16_2004	1860.22	1220.52	1142.07	1107.07	1106.19	1113.3	1117.44(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	108	40	161	-51	0	36%	-0.42	-81.9	4.49%	0	-1	39	0
7	Aug_13_2004	1868	1231.45	1160.46	1099.01	1104.84	1099.98	1104.48(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10	-22	-119	0	36%	-0.43	-79.8	4.49%	0	-1.2	46	0
8	Aug_12_2004	1875.99	1248.95	1191.24	1105.92	1109.19	1099.08	1068.48(-3.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-234	-50	-247	-193	0	36%	-0.41	-73.8	4.46%	0	-1.6	38	0
9	Aug_11_2004	1883.66	1269.37	1216.92	1135.01	1126.47	1109.7	1111.68(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-320	-130	-355	-215	0.01	36%	-0.38	-64.3	4.44%	0	-1.3	42	0
10	Aug_10_2004	1890.85	1288.96	1234.29	1159.49	1161.57	1119.31	1133.28(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-433	-250	-491	-258	0	35%	-0.39	-54.3	4.46%	0	-1.3	41	0

11	Aug_9_2004	1898.18	1309.76	1249.86	1183.39	1193.34	1143.25	1077.12(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-867	-270	-1002	-460	0.01	32%	-0.45	-48	4.42%	0	-2	32	0
12	Aug_6_2004	1906.69	1325.61	1265.17	1230.91	1237.41	1203.84	1139.04(-6.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-728	-170	-843	-382	0.01	34%	-0.44	-49.1	4.38%	0	-1.7	40	0
13	Aug_5_2004	1915.12	1340.04	1280.95	1289.38	1291.5	1243.44	1213.92(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-507	-260	-588	-264	0	36%	-0.41	-46.6	4.35%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Aug_4_2004	1923.05	1349.66	1286.59	1310.98	1329.75	1270.98	1234.08(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-772	-270	-897	-396	0.01	36%	-0.38	-55	4.35%	0	-1.2	37	0
15	Aug_3_2004	1930.46	1360.07	1293.44	1319.62	1345.14	1339.56	1252.8(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-468	30	-535	-266	0.01	36%	-0.38	-65.4	4.37%	0	-1.2	36	0

16	Aug_2_2004	1937.74	1369.29	1306.63	1325.09	1341.27	1388.52	1314.72(-8.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	576	280	697	214	0.01	37%	-0.36	-74.9	4.35%	0	-0.6	36	0
17	Jul_30_2004	1944.68	1380.37	1308.25	1302.91	1304.28	1350.72	1431.36(8.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	742	250	897	277	0.01	40%	-0.26	-81.3	4.29%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Jul_29_2004	1949.74	1387.46	1308.4	1273.25	1272.06	1294.02	1321.92(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	403	120	503	102	0.01	35%	-0.33	-83.1	4.14%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Jul_28_2004	1956.15	1404.35	1322.3	1260.86	1263.58	1257.84	1277.28(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	33	-30	68	-73	0.01	35%	-0.38	-76.6	4.1%	0	-1	45	0
20	Jul_27_2004	1963.56	1423.35	1344.28	1264.9	1266.91	1250.1	1280.16(6.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-401	-90	-445	-270	0	33%	-0.35	-71.2	4.1%	0	-1.1	43	0

21	Jul_26_2004	1970.54	1441.13	1370.86	1286.78	1294.54	1269.33	1203.84(-6.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-329	-120	-366	-217	0.01	28%	-0.44	-66.6	4.05%	0	-1.8	38	0
22	Jul_23_2004	1979.28	1464.64	1389.87	1312.99	1318.57	1283.73	1283.04(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-585	-170	-666	-340	0.01	30%	-0.39	-63.4	4%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	Jul_22_2004	1987.11	1483.61	1404.13	1348.99	1345.59	1319.76	1260(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-693	-140	-794	-389	0.01	30%	-0.34	-58	3.99%	0	-1.7	32	0
24	Jul_21_2004	1993.86	1505.95	1419.7	1392.77	1393.02	1353.42	1297.44(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-480	-200	-543	-290	0	30%	-0.3	-50.8	3.99%	0	-1.7	30	0
25	Jul_20_2004	1999.83	1523.73	1435.01	1435.1	1433.25	1371.42	1389.6(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-960	-310	-1108	-515	0.01	32%		-48.3	3.95%	0	-1.1	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.