Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FCEL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 28, 2004

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $2285.2800 (-0.5%) ($2237.7600 - $2318.4000) on Fri. May. 28, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.29% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $2285.2800(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    SPY(34%)    EEM(33%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.145% (StdDev 4.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $2270.02(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2193.4(4.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2249.98(1.57%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $761.04b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 5.22% (three month std-dev: 4.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2004	2094.1	2249.98	2193.4	2270.02	2266.02	2292.66	2285.28(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	397	80	460	206	0	73%	0.08	-46.4	4.29%	0	0.3	55	0
2	May_27_2004	2092.45	2254.08	2183.11	2227.39	2238.48	2270.52	2296.8(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	625	120	736	293	0.01	73%	0.1	-64.7	4.32%	0	0.3	46	0
3	May_26_2004	2090.31	2260.43	2174.31	2185.34	2185.65	2239.38	2249.28(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	487	170	580	207	0	73%	0.09	-76.8	4.32%	0	-0.1	40	0
4	May_25_2004	2088.49	2271.96	2169.39	2166.62	2157.66	2206.44	2266.56(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	800	150	955	336	0.01	74%	0.13	-79.9	4.33%	0	-0	36	0
5	May_24_2004	2085.81	2284.41	2165.82	2137.82	2144.88	2131.92	2252.16(8.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	323	-30	400	92	0.01	74%	0.17	-74.4	4.37%	0	-0.2	35	0

6	May_21_2004	2082.36	2305.67	2160.21	2107.87	2125.98	2108.88	2072.16(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-574	-30	-648	-352	0	68%	-0	-70.2	4.26%	0	-1.2	24	0
7	May_20_2004	2082.46	2337.18	2185.69	2132.35	2135.7	2157.84	2086.56(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	80	-9	-92	0.01	68%	0.1	-67.3	4.29%	0	-1.3	30	0
8	May_19_2004	2080.28	2368.04	2214.3	2160.58	2160.72	2143.08	2155.68(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	177	-60	233	10	0.01	65%	0.1	-55.9	4.28%	0	-1.1	30	0
9	May_18_2004	2078.11	2393.9	2244.1	2172.1	2176.38	2113.56	2122.56(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-838	-200	-962	-466	0.01	65%	0.13	-47.8	4.32%	0	-1.4	24	0
10	May_17_2004	2075.5	2419.01	2279.22	2197.73	2206.17	2178.36	2102.4(-4.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-754	-80	-864	-423	0.01	67%	0.15	-40.3	4.32%	0	-1.7	21	0

11	May_14_2004	2072.44	2447.38	2312.85	2219.33	2228.49	2239.2	2194.56(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	50	24	-75	0	67%	0.06	-32.1	4.33%	0	-1.3	19	0
12	May_13_2004	2071.17	2477.35	2332.71	2246.95	2232.9	2233.98	2227.68(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-15	-99	0.01	67%	0.23	-15	4.36%	0	-1.4	19	0
13	May_12_2004	2066.51	2483.52	2354.99	2277.19	2261.24	2217.78	2213.28(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-437	-160	-485	-291	0.01	67%	0.23	-2.4	4.38%	0	-1.5	19	0
14	May_11_2004	2061.84	2490.85	2384.3	2328.74	2307.23	2231.82	2250.72(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1153	-260	-1330	-623	0.01	67%	0.24	14.9	4.37%	0	-1.4	23	0
15	May_10_2004	2056.94	2497.82	2413.55	2374.82	2378.15	2304.7	2210.4(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1101	-210	-1271	-591	0.01	67%	0.24	35	4.37%	0	-1.8	27	0

16	May_7_2004	2051.99	2509.48	2463.8	2418.88	2432.24	2382.64	2332.66(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-792	-130	-911	-433	0.01	70%	0.3	56.5	4.3%	0	-1.2	29	0
17	May_6_2004	2045.94	2504.82	2501.32	2429.28	2447.55	2451.6	2378.88(-3.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-335	30	-373	-219	0	70%	0.37	59.8	4.32%	0	-0.8	25	0
18	May_5_2004	2038.32	2487.7	2534.11	2443.1	2450.52	2481.84	2471.04(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	406	100	492	149	0	70%	0.39	52	4.3%	0	-0.1	62	0
19	May_4_2004	2030.37	2465.6	2554.32	2449.44	2443.77	2443.5	2481.12(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	141	-10	175	40	0.01	65%	0.43	46.8	4.31%	0	0.1	62	0
20	May_3_2004	2021.72	2442.21	2568.02	2461.54	2458.8	2419.2	2430.72(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-557	-120	-651	-274	0.01	65%	0.32	45.8	4.43%	0	-0	58	0

21	Apr_30_2004	2015.24	2425.66	2591.42	2518.85	2512.08	2444.04	2384.64(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-993	-200	-1173	-454	0.01	67%	0.29	54.3	4.46%	0	-0.2	54	0
22	Apr_29_2004	2009.51	2409.93	2633.46	2585.09	2594.16	2498.4	2448(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1117	-250	-1334	-467	0.01	67%	0.37	62.6	4.44%	0	0.1	65	0
23	Apr_28_2004	2002.13	2387.19	2624.4	2637.79	2654.01	2580.12	2502.72(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1295	-180	-1554	-518	0.01	67%	0.4	68.4	4.43%	0	0.4	73	0
24	Apr_27_2004	1994.1	2362.54	2609.55	2672.93	2699.55	2689.92	2541.6(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-399	0	-509	-67	0.01	64%	0.39	73.9	4.44%	0	0.6	74	0
25	Apr_26_2004	1986.3	2331.44	2593.28	2687.33	2711.25	2727.9	2717.28(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	283	70	283	282	0.01	67%		74.6	4.44%	0	1.2	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.