Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 1, 2003

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1977.1200 (2.01%) ($1931.0400 - $2001.6000) on Mon. Dec. 1, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.41% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $1977.1200(2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL declines -8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(4%)    XLU(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.205% (StdDev 4.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $2175.02
5 Day Moving Average   $1954.66(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1994.11(-0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2175.02(-9.1%)
To recent high   -20.4%
To recent low   43.6%
Market Cap   $658.417b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 9.75% (three month std-dev: 4.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2003	1672.33	2175.02	1994.11	1954.66	1969.29	1969.92	1977.12(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	20	43	-102	0	64%	0.43	-25.9	4.41%	0	-0.9	34	0
2	Nov_28_2003	1665.09	2187.33	2025.73	1933.06	1951.69	1977.12	1938.24(-2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	128	120	188	-53	0	64%	0.67	-25.5	4.41%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	Nov_26_2003	1654.01	2201.02	2071.15	1935.94	1938.04	1968.66	1981.44(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	423	110	535	85	0	64%	0.41	-22.6	4.37%	0	-1.1	28	0
4	Nov_25_2003	1647.3	2213.93	2107.73	1920.1	1931.29	1926.25	1974.24(3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	62	-0	114	-95	0	64%	0.44	-21.4	4.37%	0	-1.3	26	0
5	Nov_24_2003	1640.08	2222.52	2142.71	1973.09	1944.25	1907.43	1902.24(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-841	-180	-952	-509	0	64%	0.16	-14.4	4.37%	0	-1.7	28	0

6	Nov_21_2003	1637.43	2231.54	2185.37	2042.5	2032.42	1936.33	1869.12(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-983	-350	-1124	-559	0.01	67%	0.42	-5.5	4.37%	0	-2	31	0
7	Nov_20_2003	1630.63	2241.24	2236.8	2133.22	2118.78	1981.08	1952.64(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2076	-480	-2420	-1042	0.01	67%	0.46	7.9	4.4%	0	-1.7	43	0
8	Nov_19_2003	1623.18	2245.39	2286.82	2226.53	2225.25	2128.5	1902.24(-15.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-1839	-310	-2154	-893	0.02	67%	0.46	20.7	4.4%	0	-2.1	42	0
9	Nov_18_2003	1615.69	2254.88	2347.84	2318.69	2325.24	2256.48	2239.2(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-864	-200	-1020	-395	0	82%	0.67	38.3	3.94%	0	-0.1	55	0
10	Nov_17_2003	1604.98	2249.5	2363.93	2336.26	2349.45	2322	2249.28(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-854	-60	-1015	-369	0.01	82%	0.64	40.7	3.96%	0	-0	62	0

11	Nov_14_2003	1594.7	2241.43	2374.04	2349.22	2363.04	2394	2322.72(-3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	224	110	248	152	0	86%	0.74	39.7	4.63%	0	0.5	71	0
12	Nov_13_2003	1582.95	2227.87	2364.16	2356.7	2353.05	2376.9	2419.2(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	436	70	492	266	0	86%	0.84	40.6	4.59%	0	1.2	78	0
13	Nov_12_2003	1569.81	2211.87	2341.38	2360.16	2352.33	2332.08	2363.04(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-143	-70	-193	7	0	87%	0.82	44.4	4.58%	0	1	78	0
14	Nov_11_2003	1557.08	2199.08	2327.35	2384.35	2385.99	2329.2	2327.04(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-532	-160	-657	-158	0	87%	0.72	53.3	4.65%	0	0.9	70	0
15	Nov_10_2003	1545.95	2188.43	2307.3	2397.02	2415.15	2372.58	2314.08(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-662	-100	-812	-213	0.01	87%	0.71	58.8	4.65%	0	0.9	62	0

16	Nov_7_2003	1534.98	2180	2280.81	2400.77	2423.88	2442.78	2360.16(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	80	5	117	0	83%	0.77	68.2	4.64%	0	1.2	67	0
17	Nov_6_2003	1523.25	2164.79	2246.06	2368.8	2399.08	2457.72	2436.48(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	898	210	1026	514	0.01	83%	0.83	74.9	4.68%	0	1.9	72	0
18	Nov_5_2003	1510.69	2145.55	2200.01	2317.54	2328.34	2404.98	2484(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	914	240	1051	502	0.01	83%	0.82	83	4.67%	0	2.7	68	0
19	Nov_4_2003	1498.33	2121.9	2152.67	2263.39	2273.98	2340.43	2390.4(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1104	220	1281	572	0.01	83%	0.78	105.9	4.7%	0	2.7	65	0
20	Nov_3_2003	1486.69	2105.3	2122.61	2206.37	2222.95	2251.69	2332.8(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	728	110	845	378	0.01	83%	0.77	125.7	4.75%	0	2.6	62	0

21	Oct_31_2003	1475.3	2084.97	2094.26	2144.45	2164.68	2207.52	2200.32(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	372	170	433	188	0	82%	0.68	107.3	4.73%	0	1.2	52	0
22	Oct_30_2003	1465.31	2064.48	2077.58	2103.55	2119.86	2194.2	2180.16(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	969	270	1140	455	0.01	82%	0.69	88.6	4.74%	0	1	58	0
23	Oct_29_2003	1455.2	2044.93	2069.05	2062.37	2061.72	2121.84	2213.28(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	934	200	1103	428	0.01	82%	0.68	70.7	4.74%	0	1.3	59	0
24	Oct_28_2003	1445.4	2020.28	2057.17	2025.79	2015.91	2045.52	2105.28(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	384	90	458	162	0.01	81%	0.66	50.5	4.72%	0	0.6	56	0
25	Oct_27_2003	1435.92	2000.48	2057.7	2028.1	2016.99	2001.6	2023.2(1.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0	15	-70	23	-10	0	81%		50.5	4.7%	0	0.2	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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