Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2003

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $2436.4800 (-1.91%) ($2378.8800 - $2561.7600) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.68% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $2436.4800(-1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(4%)    XLU(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.34% (StdDev 4.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $2368.8(2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2246.06(8.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2164.79(12.55%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   148.5%
Market Cap   $811.392b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 6.49% (three month std-dev: 4.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2003	1523.25	2164.79	2246.06	2368.8	2399.08	2457.72	2436.48(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	898	210	1026	514	0.01	83%	0.83	74.9	4.68%	0	1.9	72	0
2	Nov_5_2003	1510.69	2145.55	2200.01	2317.54	2328.34	2404.98	2484(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	914	240	1051	502	0.01	83%	0.82	83	4.67%	0	2.7	68	0
3	Nov_4_2003	1498.33	2121.9	2152.67	2263.39	2273.98	2340.43	2390.4(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1104	220	1281	572	0.01	83%	0.78	105.9	4.7%	0	2.7	65	0
4	Nov_3_2003	1486.69	2105.3	2122.61	2206.37	2222.95	2251.69	2332.8(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	728	110	845	378	0.01	83%	0.77	125.7	4.75%	0	2.6	62	0
5	Oct_31_2003	1475.3	2084.97	2094.26	2144.45	2164.68	2207.52	2200.32(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	372	170	433	188	0	82%	0.68	107.3	4.73%	0	1.2	52	0

6	Oct_30_2003	1465.31	2064.48	2077.58	2103.55	2119.86	2194.2	2180.16(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	969	270	1140	455	0.01	82%	0.69	88.6	4.74%	0	1	58	0
7	Oct_29_2003	1455.2	2044.93	2069.05	2062.37	2061.72	2121.84	2213.28(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	934	200	1103	428	0.01	82%	0.68	70.7	4.74%	0	1.3	59	0
8	Oct_28_2003	1445.4	2020.28	2057.17	2025.79	2015.91	2045.52	2105.28(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	384	90	458	162	0.01	81%	0.66	50.5	4.72%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Oct_27_2003	1435.92	2000.48	2057.7	2028.1	2016.99	2001.6	2023.2(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	15	-70	23	-10	0	81%	0.55	50.5	4.7%	0	0.2	45	0
10	Oct_24_2003	1428.08	1986.31	2070.71	2037.6	2038.59	1986.3	1995.84(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-526	-180	-618	-251	0	81%	0.53	52.6	4.71%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Oct_23_2003	1420.51	1971.12	2078.79	2046.82	2058.48	2032.38	1974.24(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-656	-70	-776	-295	0.01	81%	0.52	55.3	4.74%	0	0	68	0
12	Oct_22_2003	1413.18	1958.04	2090.22	2074.18	2082.69	2090.88	2030.4(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	40	-9	39	0	81%	0.51	66.7	4.72%	0	0.4	71	0
13	Oct_21_2003	1405.97	1951.85	2092.46	2091.46	2094.03	2084.58	2116.8(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	74	-30	66	98	0	81%	0.58	77.2	4.68%	0	0.9	81	0
14	Oct_20_2003	1397.88	1927.04	2089.19	2092.61	2100.51	2074.5	2070.72(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-347	-80	-437	-76	0	81%	0.53	78.6	4.69%	0	0.7	80	0
15	Oct_17_2003	1390.5	1903.11	2077.39	2110.18	2119.95	2103.48	2041.92(-3.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-229	-40	-306	1	0	76%	0.45	81.8	4.69%	0	0.7	76	0

16	Oct_16_2003	1384.28	1878.7	2053.73	2115.07	2129.31	2126.52	2111.04(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	10	-26	127	0	76%	0.54	81.6	4.72%	0	1	83	0
17	Oct_15_2003	1376.83	1847.52	2021.86	2107.87	2117.07	2136.42	2116.8(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	145	80	128	197	0	76%	0.57	81.1	4.73%	0	1.2	80	0
18	Oct_14_2003	1369.04	1816.37	1982.51	2092.61	2104.65	2132.1	2122.56(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	420	110	455	313	0	76%	0.56	80.8	4.73%	0	1.3	59	0
19	Oct_13_2003	1361.35	1783.26	1939.78	2085.41	2090.43	2097.72	2158.56(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	331	30	348	279	0.01	76%	0.7	82	4.72%	0	1.7	73	0
20	Oct_10_2003	1351.88	1746.61	1894.65	2040.77	2071.26	2077.2	2066.4(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	291	60	302	258	0	76%	0.64	80.8	4.71%	0	1.5	72	0

21	Oct_9_2003	1343.27	1714	1854.08	1981.73	2016	2083.14	2075.04(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	604	290	674	394	0.01	76%	0.68	75.1	4.74%	0	1.7	74	0
22	Oct_8_2003	1334.19	1681.08	1813.85	1921.25	1941.3	2065.32	2040.48(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	1472	480	1697	796	0.01	76%	0.67	70.2	4.76%	0	1.8	75	0
23	Oct_7_2003	1325.36	1649.46	1797.13	1854.14	1868.58	1948.86	2086.56(7.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	1694	320	1957	905	0.03	77%	0.72	63.8	4.77%	0	2.3	76	0
24	Oct_6_2003	1315.88	1615.32	1747.33	1773.79	1779.66	1817.28	1935.36(9.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	527	160	590	338	0.01	75%	0.6	57.3	4.72%	0	2	74	0
25	Oct_3_2003	1308.02	1586.68	1710.57	1729.44	1736.82	1788.3	1771.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	542	220	609	342	0.01	72%		51.6	4.63%	0	1.2	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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