Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 9, 2003

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $2075.0400 (1.69%) ($2026.0800 - $2149.9200) on Thu. Oct. 9, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.74% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $2075.0400(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 9.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(34%)    QQQ(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(4%)    XLU(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.37% (StdDev 4.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $1981.73(4.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1854.08(11.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1714(21.06%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   111.6%
Market Cap   $691.026b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 12.35% (three month std-dev: 4.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 12.58%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.97%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2003	1343.27	1714	1854.08	1981.73	2016	2083.14	2075.04(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	604	290	674	394	0.01	76%	0.68	75.1	4.74%	0	1.7	74	0
2	Oct_8_2003	1334.19	1681.08	1813.85	1921.25	1941.3	2065.32	2040.48(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	1472	480	1697	796	0.01	76%	0.67	70.2	4.76%	0	1.8	75	0
3	Oct_7_2003	1325.36	1649.46	1797.13	1854.14	1868.58	1948.86	2086.56(7.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	1694	320	1957	905	0.03	77%	0.72	63.8	4.77%	0	2.3	76	0
4	Oct_6_2003	1315.88	1615.32	1747.33	1773.79	1779.66	1817.28	1935.36(9.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	527	160	590	338	0.01	75%	0.6	57.3	4.72%	0	2	74	0
5	Oct_3_2003	1308.02	1586.68	1710.57	1729.44	1736.82	1788.3	1771.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	542	220	609	342	0.01	72%	0.49	51.6	4.63%	0	1.2	72	0

6	Oct_2_2003	1301.62	1568.64	1687.78	1707.26	1720.76	1742.04	1772.64(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	677	110	767	407	0.01	72%	0.45	46.4	4.64%	0	1.4	72	0
7	Oct_1_2003	1295.74	1551.41	1658.99	1689.7	1697.36	1685.34	1704.96(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-245	-40	-317	-28	0	72%	0.59	43.9	4.65%	0	1.1	69	0
8	Sep_30_2003	1288.19	1538.61	1638.55	1731.17	1721.3	1699.49	1684.8(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-334	-110	-431	-43	0	72%	0.56	54.8	4.66%	0	1.1	69	0
9	Sep_29_2003	1280.97	1526.86	1617.31	1715.33	1772.42	1709.39	1713.6(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-120	-150	-178	56	0.01	72%	0.59	52.3	4.69%	0	1.4	70	0
10	Sep_26_2003	1273.45	1513.77	1589.99	1687.39	1745.1	1743.12	1660.32(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-600	90	-742	-175	0.01	74%	0.56	51.7	4.73%	0	1.2	72	0

11	Sep_25_2003	1266.42	1504.68	1566.62	1662.05	1709.28	1835.46	1684.8(-11.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1213	600	1394	671	0.02	74%	0.55	50.4	4.74%	0	1.5	69	0
12	Sep_24_2003	1259.44	1493.81	1541.03	1620	1638.09	1747.08	1912.32(19.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	2201	500	2560	1124	0.05	76%	0.75	49.4	4.46%	0	3.8	82	0
13	Sep_23_2003	1250.11	1469.36	1488.85	1535.62	1534.5	1583.1	1605.6(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	757	220	873	410	0.01	69%	0.52	68.6	4.05%	0	2.6	66	0
14	Sep_22_2003	1243.59	1461.39	1470.76	1506.82	1507.86	1529.1	1573.92(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	651	100	753	344	0.01	69%	0.54	82.4	4.05%	0	2.7	63	0
15	Sep_19_2003	1236.93	1452.67	1450.66	1479.11	1479.42	1485.9	1533.6(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	120	30	135	73	0	69%	0.52	85.1	4.05%	0	2.3	58	0

16	Sep_18_2003	1230.51	1447.39	1438.14	1456.36	1461.04	1486.62	1474.56(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	251	130	295	117	0	64%	0.49	128.6	4.02%	0	0.9	45	0
17	Sep_17_2003	1224.52	1441.16	1434.19	1447.72	1444.66	1472.94	1490.4(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	525	130	621	238	0.01	64%	0.52	126.6	4.08%	0	1.3	48	0
18	Sep_16_2003	1218.18	1433.97	1430.08	1434.76	1423.33	1435.46	1461.6(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	231	40	277	92	0	64%	0.51	133	4.08%	0	0.7	48	0
19	Sep_15_2003	1212.04	1427.22	1429.25	1429.29	1417.75	1416.38	1435.39(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	-30	81	10	0	64%	0.51	140.8	4.08%	0	0.2	45	0
20	Sep_12_2003	1205.86	1423.46	1432.14	1417.54	1415.97	1411.2	1419.84(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-30	-14	-30	0	64%	0.45	162.1	4.08%	0	-0.1	55	0

21	Sep_11_2003	1200.42	1410.08	1439.18	1416.67	1404.72	1419.12	1431.36(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	50	-7	-23	0	60%	0.55	107.5	4.09%	0	0.3	51	0
22	Sep_10_2003	1193.85	1395.89	1444.44	1418.4	1402.92	1420.74	1425.6(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	300	60	355	136	0	63%	0.58	91.9	4.15%	0	0.3	64	0
23	Sep_9_2003	1187.02	1381.66	1448.92	1425.02	1404.27	1390.32	1434.24(4.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-110	-10	5	0.01	59%	0.57	85.8	4.22%	0	0.4	65	0
24	Sep_8_2003	1180.28	1363.23	1451.74	1430.21	1414.08	1385.1	1376.64(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-490	-180	-584	-209	0.01	59%	0.17	74.1	4.28%	0	0.1	63	0
25	Sep_5_2003	1178.25	1346.77	1456.15	1448.64	1441.35	1418.22	1415.52(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-345	-130	-418	-126	0	59%		66.4	4.26%	0	0.4	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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