Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 27, 2003

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)
FCEL latest price $1487.5200 (1.18%) ($1467.3600 - $1491.8400) on Wed. Aug. 27, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.36% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $1487.5200(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FCEL advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FCEL advances 16.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FCEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(38%)    EEM(34%)    QQQ(33%)    SPY(33%)    XLY(32%)
Factors Impacting FCEL price   FCEL will decline at least -2.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(4%)    XLU(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.18% (StdDev 4.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1452.38(2.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1379.4(7.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1231.65(20.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   51.7%
Market Cap   $495.371b

FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firmâ€™s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Companyâ€™s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 13.71% (three month std-dev: 4.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2003	1130.8	1231.65	1379.4	1452.38	1457.37	1477.08	1487.52(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	367	100	364	374	0	56%	0.68	49.8	4.36%	0	1.5	92	NAN
2	Aug_26_2003	1123.21	1213.83	1343.81	1423.3	1438.29	1457.64	1470.24(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	448	130	461	407	0.01	56%	0.66	47.2	4.5%	0	1.6	82	NAN
3	Aug_25_2003	1115.86	1197.63	1308.96	1397.66	1403.73	1437.66	1461.6(3.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	381	180	383	376	0.01	56%	0.64	46	4.54%	0	1.8	81	NAN
4	Aug_22_2003	1108.76	1182.39	1267.17	1368.86	1378.35	1418.94	1406.88(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	576	230	615	457	0.01	56%	0.58	44.2	4.52%	0	1.7	75	NAN
5	Aug_21_2003	1102.34	1169.21	1228.49	1358.21	1368.18	1369.8	1435.68(6.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	502	30	532	413	0.01	56%	0.63	46.1	4.52%	0	2.2	70	NAN

6	Aug_20_2003	1095.49	1152.95	1182.75	1295.14	1344.6	1337.76	1342.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1291	80	1477	734	0.01	53%	0.57	34.7	4.44%	0	1.8	63	NAN
7	Aug_19_2003	1089.29	1143.54	1151.55	1250.78	1080.36	1366.56	1342.08(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	506	1450	566	327	0.01	53%	0.24	22.5	4.45%	0	2	63	NAN
8	Aug_18_2003	1086.69	1133.92	1119.94	1205.57	1024.11	1351.44	1317.6(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	5825	1790	6837	2790	0.04	53%	0.22	7.2	4.44%	0	2.1	60	NAN
9	Aug_15_2003	1084.28	1126.29	1093.66	1149.41	944.28	794.16	1353.6(20.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	1368	-1650	1608	647	0.03	53%	0.26	-14.6	4.43%	0	2.9	60	NAN
10	Aug_14_2003	1081.45	1115.15	1067.35	1081.44	873.27	696.78	1120.32(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5907	-1990	-6932	-2830	0	55%	0.04	-55	3.65%	0	0.1	43	NAN

11	Aug_13_2003	1081.03	1116.99	1069.54	1053.5	1055.7	1094.4	1120.32(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	523	260	633	192	0	55%	0.04	-67.3	4.71%	0	0.1	47	NAN
12	Aug_12_2003	1080.61	1121.76	1071.56	1036.8	1031.85	1049.76	1116(7.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	317	110	395	84	0	55%	0.04	-72	4.72%	0	-0.1	42	NAN
13	Aug_11_2003	1080.23	1127.6	1075.82	1021.54	1025.28	1017	1036.8(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-50	4	-85	0	51%	-0.04	-77.6	4.63%	0	-1.2	31	NAN
14	Aug_8_2003	1080.7	1138.05	1090.39	1029.31	1029.33	1013.94	1013.76(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-329	-100	-362	-228	0	51%	-0.07	-75.2	4.62%	0	-1.6	26	NAN
15	Aug_7_2003	1081.45	1150.49	1106.17	1051.78	1051.02	1033.56	980.64(-5.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-292	-120	-323	-199	0	51%	-0.1	-69.3	4.62%	0	-2.4	27	NAN

16	Aug_6_2003	1082.58	1163.37	1123.29	1087.2	1080	1044.72	1036.8(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-391	-250	-444	-230	0	54%	-0.05	-63.7	4.56%	0	-2	31	NAN
17	Aug_5_2003	1083.1	1175.24	1138.1	1110.82	1106.46	1068.48	1039.68(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-636	-250	-735	-337	0	56%	-0.05	-48.2	4.58%	0	-2.2	25	NAN
18	Aug_4_2003	1083.6	1188.89	1152.64	1137.6	1139.04	1115.28	1075.68(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-387	-140	-445	-211	0	56%	-0.01	-32	4.59%	0	-2.1	26	NAN
19	Aug_1_2003	1083.69	1198.1	1164.87	1160.06	1157.22	1144.44	1126.08(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-241	-80	-276	-136	0	56%	0.05	-21.6	4.56%	0	-1.5	30	NAN
20	Jul_31_2003	1083.19	1202.02	1168.85	1168.68	1168.02	1162.8	1157.76(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-30	-67	-57	0	56%	0.08	-14.7	4.57%	0	-1	31	NAN

21	Jul_30_2003	1082.3	1205.11	1169.49	1164.93	1166.39	1170	1154.88(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	30	1	-39	0	56%	0.08	-7.8	4.58%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
22	Jul_29_2003	1081.43	1205.94	1176.3	1169.83	1160.63	1173.24	1173.6(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	82	50	109	2	0	56%	0.1	1.1	4.57%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
23	Jul_28_2003	1080.31	1206.57	1182.73	1170.4	1161.44	1162.78	1188(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	120	-10	155	14	0	56%	0.12	-3.3	4.57%	0	-0.4	32	NAN
24	Jul_25_2003	1078.98	1208.72	1187.96	1171.27	1162.43	1148.02	1169.14(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-171	-110	-187	-123	0	53%	0.1	-2.5	4.58%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
25	Jul_24_2003	1077.85	1208.73	1196.6	1169.57	1170.9	1160.1	1139.04(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-205	-60	-228	-135	0	58%		-7.3	4.66%	0	-1.6	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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