Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $249.3000 (-0.94%) ($247.4300 - $252.8000) on Tue. Aug. 4, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $249.3000(-0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(72%)    IVW(71%)    VUG(71%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-47%)    VXX(-46%)    UUP(-15%)    XLC(-7%)    IYT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $244.54(1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $239.3(4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $240.61(3.61%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   21.4%
Market Cap   $710.505b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.1%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -5.73%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.35%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.2%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2020	210.57	240.61	239.3	244.54	247.1	250.99	249.3(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	140	32	33	17.19	52%	0.5	35	2.35%	-1.7	1.4	58	1.6
2	Aug_3_2020	209.52	240.15	238.4	240.68	242.83	252.68	251.67(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.8	240	310	282	112	23.11	52%	0.4	34.3	2.35%	0.6	1.9	60	1.3
3	Jul_31_2020	208.69	239.51	237.55	237.06	237.56	243.2	253.75(8.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	248	170	296	102	52.98	52%	0.49	38.8	2.36%	1.4	2.5	63	1.5
4	Jul_30_2020	207.67	238.45	236.14	232.45	232.6	232.99	234.69(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	10	36	-38	19.9	42%	0.31	17.3	2.15%	1.3	-0.8	36	1.3
5	Jul_29_2020	207.02	238.62	236.73	232.03	231.88	231.93	233.31(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-0	-19	-66	13.53	50%	0.28	18.7	2.18%	-0.1	-1.1	35	1.6

6	Jul_28_2020	206.45	238.39	237.44	233.31	232.42	232.21	230(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-20	-29	-64	14.11	50%	0.3	10.9	2.27%	-0.6	-1.6	32	1.5
7	Jul_27_2020	205.83	238.07	238.52	235.66	234.59	231.83	233.54(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-100	-62	-65	12.78	50%	0.26	6.8	2.27%	0.3	-0.7	40	1.5
8	Jul_24_2020	205.3	237.33	239.14	238.07	237.23	232.64	230.71(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-138	-150	-154	-89	18.27	50%	0.23	0.9	2.28%	-1.1	-0.8	38	1.2
9	Jul_23_2020	204.83	237.62	240.63	240.34	240.42	237.35	232.57(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-107	-90	-125	-53	21.74	50%	0.21	8.9	2.29%	0.6	-0.7	53	1.3
10	Jul_22_2020	204.41	237.74	241.88	242	242.09	241.81	239.75(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10	-38	-1	15.35	60%	0.26	14.2	2.25%	0.7	0.3	55	1.8

11	Jul_21_2020	203.87	237.81	242.28	242.11	242.11	243.48	241.75(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	40	34	44	19.41	55%	0.23	18.3	2.38%	-1.4	0.5	70	1.8
12	Jul_20_2020	203.41	237.65	242.23	241.77	241.39	242.37	245.59(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	20	53	69	20.84	55%	0.27	21.2	2.44%	1.8	1	79	2.2
13	Jul_17_2020	202.87	237.25	241.68	240.48	240.12	240.74	242.05(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	10	4	66	18.12	55%	0.26	23.7	2.44%	1.7	0.6	81	1.9
14	Jul_16_2020	202.34	236.93	240.9	241.11	240.16	240.41	240.85(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-0	4	69	18.84	55%	0.22	33.9	2.45%	0.7	0.5	54	1.5
15	Jul_15_2020	201.89	236.65	240.6	241.83	241.13	239.49	240.29(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-60	-20	69	19.06	55%	0.22	36.7	2.45%	-0.3	0.5	55	1.4

16	Jul_14_2020	201.45	236.41	239.4	242.5	241.83	239.92	240.07(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-45	-60	-73	40	23.22	55%	0.2	37.9	2.45%	-1	0.5	49	0.9
17	Jul_13_2020	201.05	236.02	237.64	242.7	242.98	242.76	239.14(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-0	-22	45	24.5	55%	0.15	39.8	2.46%	-1	0.4	50	0
18	Jul_10_2020	200.75	235.5	235.5	242.93	243.09	243.74	245.2(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	20	36	49	22.95	58%	0.15	38.9	2.43%	1.6	1.3	54	1.2
19	Jul_9_2020	200.44	234.45	234.42	240.59	241.71	243.2	244.46(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	60	47	40	22.15	58%	0.14	28.8	2.45%	0.7	1.3	55	0.8
20	Jul_8_2020	200.16	233.98	233.24	239.19	239.53	242.44	243.65(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	70	90	79	43	29.73	58%	0.13	29.3	2.45%	0.8	1.4	55	0.9

21	Jul_7_2020	199.9	233.66	232.86	235.86	237.69	240.22	241.07(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	118	100	139	54	27.63	58%	0.22	21.1	2.47%	0.9	1.1	54	0.7
22	Jul_6_2020	199.47	233.15	232.51	231.78	233.4	236.62	240.25(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	89	120	110	25	26.05	63%	0.06	4.2	2.48%	1.1	1.1	56	1.1
23	Jul_2_2020	199.35	232.64	232.2	226.92	228.15	235.16	233.52(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	108	230	137	19	30.57	61%	0.12	-11.9	2.61%	0.4	0.1	56	0.8
24	Jul_1_2020	199.12	232.31	232.4	227.34	224.44	230.18	237.48(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	144	140	176	46	43.26	57%	0.16	-9.7	2.61%	1.6	0.8	62	0.6
25	Jun_30_2020	198.81	231.92	232.13	226.64	224.42	221.14	226.97(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-130	5	-27	33.87	58%		-12.4	2.61%	1.6	-0.8	44	0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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