Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $138.2400 (0.38%) ($137.4000 - $138.5700) on Thu. Mar. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $138.2400(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(44%)    IBUY(15%)    KWEB(13%)    GDXJ(12%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    XLU(-9%)    BND(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    IPO(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $137.57(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $136.99(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $135.68(1.89%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $393.984b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(43%) Average negative next day return: -2%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.54%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.06%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2017	126.09	135.68	136.99	137.57	137.51	137.73	138.24(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	10	29	82	15.54	85%	0.06	87.3	0.95%	0	1.6	72	0
2	Mar_8_2017	126.01	135.47	136.7	137.27	137.22	137.45	137.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	13	77	10.18	85%	0.08	91.9	0.95%	0	1.5	72	0
3	Mar_7_2017	125.91	135.18	136.53	137.21	137.1	137.29	137.3(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	10	26	92	13.53	85%	0.08	90.7	0.96%	0	1.3	68	0
4	Mar_6_2017	125.81	134.92	136.19	136.86	136.97	136.98	137.42(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	0	17	79	12.75	85%	0.08	86.8	0.96%	0	1.5	67	0
5	Mar_3_2017	125.71	134.6	135.82	136.66	136.67	136.9	137.17(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	10	9	69	11.16	86%	0.07	76.6	0.97%	0	1.5	65	0

6	Mar_2_2017	125.62	134.29	135.48	136.31	136.46	136.96	136.76(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	30	47	75	12.29	86%	0.06	63.9	0.98%	0	1.4	64	0
7	Mar_1_2017	125.54	134.1	135.16	136.03	135.93	136.44	137.42(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	20	40	64	16.26	77%	0.07	68.3	0.97%	0	2	68	0
8	Feb_28_2017	125.45	133.75	134.78	135.77	135.55	135.97	135.54(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	20	38	62	16.11	71%	0.05	67.5	1.06%	0	1.1	72	0
9	Feb_27_2017	125.39	133.52	134.63	135.41	135.31	135.41	136.41(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	0	38	62	14.31	71%	0.06	65.9	1.06%	0	1.7	76	0
10	Feb_24_2017	125.31	133.3	134.39	134.83	134.69	135.14	135.44(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	20	10	50	12.63	71%	0.06	76.7	1.06%	0	1.3	77	0

11	Feb_23_2017	125.24	133.16	134.25	134.51	134.37	135.21	135.36(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	40	64	77	18.42	71%	0.06	92	1.07%	0	1.5	77	0
12	Feb_22_2017	125.17	132.96	134.12	134.13	133.88	134.25	136.12(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	10	52	68	27.36	71%	0.06	99.1	1.06%	0	2.2	62	0
13	Feb_21_2017	125.09	132.62	133.69	133.68	133.46	133.54	133.72(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-0	-0	45	14.76	73%	0.02	97.2	1.05%	0	0.8	66	0
14	Feb_17_2017	125.07	132.39	133.54	133.74	133.5	133.51	133.53(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-0	-1	47	12.28	73%	0.04	75.5	1.15%	0	0.6	62	0
15	Feb_16_2017	125.02	132.09	133.31	133.87	133.68	133.38	133.84(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-20	-11	42	12.83	73%	0.04	72.7	1.16%	0	0.8	56	0

16	Feb_15_2017	124.97	131.79	133.03	133.93	133.88	133.5	133.44(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	-20	-28	30	13.23	75%	0.04	74	1.17%	0	0.7	52	0
17	Feb_14_2017	124.92	131.52	133	134.09	134.08	133.98	133.85(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-5	49	14.36	68%	0.06	80.7	1.18%	0	1	59	0
18	Feb_13_2017	124.85	131.23	132.66	133.68	134.01	134.26	134.05(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	20	21	53	13.53	68%	0.05	83.4	1.26%	0	1.2	66	0
19	Feb_10_2017	124.79	130.94	132.35	133.29	133.49	134.17	134.19(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	40	40	59	15.06	62%	0.03	90.8	1.28%	0	1.4	67	0
20	Feb_9_2017	124.75	130.56	132.13	132.64	132.77	133.77	134.14(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	60	60	71	16.47	62%	0.04	94.3	1.31%	0	1.6	71	0

21	Feb_8_2017	124.7	130.16	131.96	131.98	132.1	132.8	134.2(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	53	40	47	71	22.39	63%	0.04	101.1	1.31%	0	1.7	69	0
22	Feb_7_2017	124.65	129.67	131.66	131.79	131.87	131.77	131.84(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-0	16	67	14.6	63%	0.03	109.6	1.31%	0	0.9	64	0
23	Feb_6_2017	124.61	129.34	131.44	131.49	131.93	131.4	132.06(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-20	-12	56	17.06	63%	0.02	119.7	1.32%	0	1.1	64	0
24	Feb_3_2017	124.58	128.92	131.14	131.27	131.63	131.97	130.98(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	30	-18	52	24.8	55%	0.02	121.4	1.32%	0	0.7	60	0
25	Feb_2_2017	124.56	128.43	130.79	131.51	131.5	132.45	130.84(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	50	36	74	54.37	53%		113.5	1.5%	0	0.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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