Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $127.8700 (-0.37%) ($127.4000 - $128.3400) on Tue. Jan. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $127.8700(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(49%)    XHB(44%)    IBUY(15%)    KWEB(13%)    GDXJ(12%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    XLU(-9%)    BND(-9%)    EMHY(-8%)    IPO(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $126.65(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124(3.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121(5.68%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $364.43b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 46 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(52%) Sample size 46 Average positive next three day return: 2.39%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(61%) Sample size 46 Average positive next weekly return: 2.2%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.33%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2017	124.23	121	124	126.65	126.78	128.02	127.87(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	70	55	192	15.29	51%	0.01	45.5	1.5%	0	1.6	77	INF
2	Jan_13_2017	124.22	120.6	122.76	126.06	125.99	127.03	128.34(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	108	60	80	190	24.88	50%	0.04	48.6	1.48%	0	2	78	INF
3	Jan_12_2017	124.17	120.15	121.55	125.07	125.02	125.55	126.62(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	79	30	53	156	18.65	50%	0.02	51.1	1.48%	0	1.9	68	INF
4	Jan_11_2017	124.14	119.79	120.56	123.88	124.05	124.95	126.09(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	50	60	132	18.36	49%	0.02	51.2	1.48%	0	2.1	67	INF
5	Jan_10_2017	124.12	119.35	119.7	122.4	122.69	124.48	124.35(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	100	110	95	116	17.32	50%	0	43.8	1.47%	0	1.9	63	INF

6	Jan_9_2017	124.12	119.08	118.96	120.91	121.08	123.15	124.9(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	128	120	138	97	22.88	50%	0.01	39.3	1.48%	0	2.5	62	INF
7	Jan_6_2017	124.11	118.75	118.15	118.94	119.16	120.89	123.41(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	95	110	113	40	28.55	50%	0	28.9	1.47%	0	2.5	56	INF
8	Jan_5_2017	124.11	118.45	117.64	117.52	117.59	119	120.67(1.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2	58	90	79	-5	19.49	48%	-0.03	8.5	1.44%	0	1.4	49	INF
9	Jan_4_2017	124.15	118.28	117.43	116.77	116.85	117.43	118.69(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	28	40	49	-37	19.63	46%	-0.04	-16.3	1.42%	0	0.3	41	INF
10	Jan_3_2017	124.2	118.22	117.45	116.64	116.65	116.19	116.86(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-30	-10	-61	20.66	44%	-0.06	-27.4	1.41%	0	-0.9	48	INF

11	Dec_30_2016	124.28	118.17	117.74	116.72	116.92	116.27	115.05(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-51	-30	-43	-73	18.68	42%	-0.08	-38.9	1.39%	0	-2	33	INF
12	Dec_29_2016	124.38	118.21	118.3	117.19	117.22	117.12	116.35(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10	-30	-54	9.93	42%	-0.07	-47.3	1.39%	0	-1.2	41	INF
13	Dec_28_2016	124.47	118.32	118.69	117.73	117.55	117.57	116.92(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-0	-4	-27	12.09	42%	-0.06	-49.2	1.39%	0	-0.9	48	INF
14	Dec_27_2016	124.55	118.51	118.69	118.16	117.9	117.33	118.01(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-40	-20	-15	12.05	43%	-0.06	-42.7	1.39%	0	-0.3	55	INF
15	Dec_23_2016	124.63	118.62	119.04	118.41	118.32	117.54	117.27(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-50	-54	-22	10.89	42%	-0.06	-27.9	1.38%	0	-0.8	52	INF

16	Dec_22_2016	124.7	118.78	119.29	118.93	118.93	118.48	117.4(-1.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-31	-30	-43	7	16.26	42%	-0.04	-11.8	1.39%	0	-0.9	61	INF
17	Dec_21_2016	124.75	118.95	119.47	119.56	119.52	119.1	119.04(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-30	-23	41	10.77	42%	-0.03	10.9	1.39%	0	0.1	70	INF
18	Dec_20_2016	124.79	119.06	119.38	119.8	119.97	119.39	119.09(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-30	-27	44	13.68	42%	-0.04	25.5	1.39%	0	0	52	INF
19	Dec_19_2016	124.84	119.17	119.23	120.04	120.19	119.94	119.24(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10	-17	42	15.92	42%	-0.04	44.8	1.39%	0	0	44	INF
20	Dec_16_2016	124.89	119.07	119.07	119.75	120.15	120.54	119.87(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	30	14	40	25.32	42%	-0.04	34.6	1.39%	0	0.4	47	INF

21	Dec_15_2016	124.94	118.97	118.64	119.71	119.67	120.44	120.57(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	40	35	32	20.14	42%	-0.02	26.9	1.39%	0	0.8	49	INF
22	Dec_14_2016	124.97	118.77	118.11	119.38	119.36	119.76	120.21(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	20	46	11	25.91	42%	-0.01	6.1	1.39%	0	0.7	46	INF
23	Dec_13_2016	124.98	118.62	117.9	118.92	118.94	118.9	120.31(2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-0	16	-21	29.77	41%	-0.02	-16.5	1.4%	0	0.9	45	INF
24	Dec_12_2016	125	118.36	117.89	118.32	118.45	118.96	117.77(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	30	7	-41	17.81	40%	-0.02	-39.3	1.37%	0	-0.3	35	INF
25	Dec_9_2016	125.03	118.43	118.13	118.26	118.15	118.98	119.68(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	47	50	65	-9	17.46	39%		-44.5	1.37%	0	0.6	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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